Prediction 581

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state AL.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 883.87 - 859.01 - - - - 909.26 -
2022-07-03 838.64 - 814.61 - - - - 863.19 -
2022-07-10 828.66 - 804.82 - - - - 853.03 -
2022-07-17 772.07 - 749.28 - - - - 795.36 -
2022-07-24 728.98 - 707.01 - - - - 751.45 -
2022-07-31 645.88 - 625.53 - - - - 666.72 -
2022-08-07 601.09 - 581.64 - - - - 621.02 -
2022-08-14 573.95 - 555.04 - - - - 593.33 -
2022-08-21 498.54 - 481.20 - - - - 516.33 -
2022-08-28 483.78 - 466.76 - - - - 501.25 -
2022-09-04 456.88 - 440.44 - - - - 473.76 -
2022-09-11 396.61 - 381.50 - - - - 412.14 -
2022-09-18 412.21 - 396.77 - - - - 428.09 -
2022-09-25 387.69 - 372.82 - - - - 403.00 -
2022-10-02 356.45 - 342.31 - - - - 371.02 -
2022-10-09 340.38 - 326.61 - - - - 354.56 -
2022-10-16 364.67 - 350.33 - - - - 379.44 -
2022-10-23 345.19 - 331.32 - - - - 359.48 -
2022-10-30 345.88 - 331.97 - - - - 360.21 -
2022-11-06 405.12 - 389.84 - - - - 420.86 -
2022-11-13 405.90 - 390.58 - - - - 421.67 -
2022-11-20 327.77 - 314.30 - - - - 341.65 -
2022-11-27 310.24 - 297.23 - - - - 323.66 -
2022-12-04 293.17 - 280.60 - - - - 306.16 -
2022-12-11 282.34 - 270.01 - - - - 295.11 -
2022-12-18 214.58 - 204.09 - - - - 225.44 -
2022-12-25 199.61 - 189.84 - - - - 209.71 -
2023-01-01 186.02 - 12.72 - - - - 850.45 -
2023-01-08 215.12 - 14.71 - - - - 983.48 -
2023-01-15 228.42 - 15.62 - - - - 1044.29 -
2023-01-22 239.38 - 16.37 - - - - 1094.39 -
2023-01-29 264.38 - 18.08 - - - - 1208.66 -
2023-02-05 295.21 - 20.18 - - - - 1349.56 -
2023-02-12 330.84 - 22.62 - - - - 1512.46 -
2023-02-19 363.42 - 24.85 - - - - 1661.38 -
2023-02-26 440.39 - 30.11 - - - - 2013.21 -
2023-03-05 518.03 - 35.42 - - - - 2368.11 -
2023-03-12 544.22 - 37.22 - - - - 2487.80 -
2023-03-19 640.83 - 43.82 - - - - 2929.42 -
2023-03-26 667.00 - 45.61 - - - - 3049.08 -
2023-04-02 712.47 - 48.72 - - - - 3256.91 -
2023-04-09 738.70 - 50.52 - - - - 3376.79 -
2023-04-16 768.93 - 52.59 - - - - 3514.98 -
2023-04-23 804.64 - 55.03 - - - - 3678.23 -
2023-04-30 930.39 - 63.63 - - - - 4253.02 -
2023-05-07 997.05 - 68.19 - - - - 4557.76 -
2023-05-14 1026.57 - 70.21 - - - - 4692.69 -
2023-05-21 967.96 - 66.20 - - - - 4424.78 -
2023-05-28 955.89 - 65.37 - - - - 4369.61 -
2023-06-04 919.47 - 62.88 - - - - 4203.10 -
2023-06-11 889.59 - 60.84 - - - - 4066.53 -
2023-06-18 806.92 - 55.18 - - - - 3688.63 -
2023-06-25 692.42 - 47.35 - - - - 3165.27 -
2023-07-02 656.98 - 44.93 - - - - 3003.30 -
2023-07-09 649.16 - 44.39 - - - - 2967.55 -
2023-07-16 604.83 - 41.36 - - - - 2764.90 -
2023-07-23 571.08 - 39.05 - - - - 2610.60 -
2023-07-30 505.98 - 34.60 - - - - 2313.04 -
2023-08-06 470.89 - 32.20 - - - - 2152.63 -
2023-08-13 449.62 - 30.74 - - - - 2055.43 -
2023-08-20 390.55 - 26.70 - - - - 1785.39 -
2023-08-27 378.99 - 25.91 - - - - 1732.54 -
2023-09-03 357.91 - 24.47 - - - - 1636.21 -
2023-09-10 310.70 - 21.24 - - - - 1420.41 -
2023-09-17 322.92 - 22.08 - - - - 1476.26 -
2023-09-24 303.71 - 20.76 - - - - 1388.45 -
2023-10-01 279.24 - 19.09 - - - - 1276.60 -
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