Prediction 582

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state BA.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 557.26 - 544.90 - - - - 569.82 -
2022-07-03 586.25 - 573.48 - - - - 599.23 -
2022-07-10 550.73 - 538.47 - - - - 563.20 -
2022-07-17 473.18 - 462.05 - - - - 484.50 -
2022-07-24 406.23 - 396.12 - - - - 416.52 -
2022-07-31 366.23 - 356.75 - - - - 375.89 -
2022-08-07 325.79 - 316.96 - - - - 334.80 -
2022-08-14 281.75 - 273.66 - - - - 290.01 -
2022-08-21 250.74 - 243.19 - - - - 258.46 -
2022-08-28 236.46 - 229.17 - - - - 243.92 -
2022-09-04 231.33 - 224.13 - - - - 238.69 -
2022-09-11 221.01 - 214.00 - - - - 228.19 -
2022-09-18 208.44 - 201.67 - - - - 215.38 -
2022-09-25 199.24 - 192.64 - - - - 206.00 -
2022-10-02 188.91 - 182.51 - - - - 195.47 -
2022-10-09 178.88 - 172.68 - - - - 185.24 -
2022-10-16 185.52 - 179.19 - - - - 192.02 -
2022-10-23 173.00 - 166.92 - - - - 179.25 -
2022-10-30 184.99 - 178.67 - - - - 191.47 -
2022-11-06 201.16 - 194.53 - - - - 207.96 -
2022-11-13 208.63 - 201.85 - - - - 215.57 -
2022-11-20 233.97 - 226.72 - - - - 241.38 -
2022-11-27 258.88 - 251.19 - - - - 266.75 -
2022-12-04 276.49 - 268.49 - - - - 284.67 -
2022-12-11 260.26 - 252.54 - - - - 268.14 -
2022-12-18 229.16 - 222.00 - - - - 236.48 -
2022-12-25 225.66 - 218.95 - - - - 232.52 -
2023-01-01 657.46 - 131.10 - - - - 2033.99 -
2023-01-08 798.62 - 159.25 - - - - 2470.62 -
2023-01-15 888.30 - 177.14 - - - - 2748.03 -
2023-01-22 1052.36 - 209.86 - - - - 3255.54 -
2023-01-29 1260.89 - 251.45 - - - - 3900.60 -
2023-02-05 1481.35 - 295.42 - - - - 4582.57 -
2023-02-12 1858.37 - 370.62 - - - - 5748.82 -
2023-02-19 2090.75 - 416.97 - - - - 6467.65 -
2023-02-26 2268.05 - 452.33 - - - - 7016.10 -
2023-03-05 2436.45 - 485.92 - - - - 7537.03 -
2023-03-12 2548.41 - 508.25 - - - - 7883.38 -
2023-03-19 2548.49 - 508.26 - - - - 7883.60 -
2023-03-26 2388.13 - 476.28 - - - - 7387.57 -
2023-04-02 2563.53 - 511.27 - - - - 7930.15 -
2023-04-09 2506.48 - 499.89 - - - - 7753.66 -
2023-04-16 2419.75 - 482.59 - - - - 7485.37 -
2023-04-23 2375.25 - 473.71 - - - - 7347.73 -
2023-04-30 2394.90 - 477.63 - - - - 7408.52 -
2023-05-07 2372.63 - 473.19 - - - - 7339.61 -
2023-05-14 2204.48 - 439.65 - - - - 6819.45 -
2023-05-21 1956.31 - 390.15 - - - - 6051.78 -
2023-05-28 1799.35 - 358.85 - - - - 5566.25 -
2023-06-04 1580.35 - 315.17 - - - - 4888.80 -
2023-06-11 1280.06 - 255.28 - - - - 3959.89 -
2023-06-18 992.50 - 197.92 - - - - 3070.38 -
2023-06-25 920.43 - 183.55 - - - - 2847.44 -
2023-07-02 968.31 - 193.10 - - - - 2995.56 -
2023-07-09 909.65 - 181.40 - - - - 2814.09 -
2023-07-16 781.55 - 155.85 - - - - 2417.85 -
2023-07-23 670.97 - 133.79 - - - - 2075.76 -
2023-07-30 604.90 - 120.62 - - - - 1871.40 -
2023-08-06 538.11 - 107.29 - - - - 1664.78 -
2023-08-13 465.36 - 92.78 - - - - 1439.75 -
2023-08-20 414.15 - 82.57 - - - - 1281.33 -
2023-08-27 390.57 - 77.87 - - - - 1208.39 -
2023-09-03 382.08 - 76.18 - - - - 1182.14 -
2023-09-10 365.05 - 72.78 - - - - 1129.44 -
2023-09-17 344.28 - 68.64 - - - - 1065.22 -
2023-09-24 329.08 - 65.60 - - - - 1018.18 -
2023-10-01 312.02 - 62.20 - - - - 965.42 -