Prediction 583

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state MA.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 66.54 - 62.34 - - - - 70.94 -
2022-07-03 65.27 - 61.13 - - - - 69.62 -
2022-07-10 65.72 - 61.56 - - - - 70.09 -
2022-07-17 64.69 - 60.56 - - - - 69.01 -
2022-07-24 58.30 - 54.44 - - - - 62.37 -
2022-07-31 66.60 - 62.40 - - - - 71.00 -
2022-08-07 75.48 - 70.93 - - - - 80.24 -
2022-08-14 72.17 - 67.75 - - - - 76.80 -
2022-08-21 66.50 - 62.30 - - - - 70.90 -
2022-08-28 50.97 - 47.41 - - - - 54.71 -
2022-09-04 49.03 - 45.56 - - - - 52.68 -
2022-09-11 40.68 - 37.60 - - - - 43.96 -
2022-09-18 35.24 - 32.41 - - - - 38.24 -
2022-09-25 27.22 - 24.80 - - - - 29.80 -
2022-10-02 26.74 - 24.35 - - - - 29.29 -
2022-10-09 25.32 - 23.01 - - - - 27.79 -
2022-10-16 25.82 - 23.49 - - - - 28.33 -
2022-10-23 23.01 - 20.83 - - - - 25.36 -
2022-10-30 27.40 - 24.97 - - - - 30.00 -
2022-11-06 25.22 - 22.91 - - - - 27.69 -
2022-11-13 29.50 - 26.96 - - - - 32.21 -
2022-11-20 29.97 - 27.41 - - - - 32.70 -
2022-11-27 32.70 - 30.00 - - - - 35.58 -
2022-12-04 39.68 - 36.63 - - - - 42.91 -
2022-12-11 34.98 - 32.17 - - - - 37.97 -
2022-12-18 31.90 - 29.24 - - - - 34.73 -
2022-12-25 34.08 - 31.35 - - - - 36.98 -
2023-01-01 93.41 - 12.32 - - - - 344.87 -
2023-01-08 148.87 - 19.64 - - - - 549.52 -
2023-01-15 193.86 - 25.59 - - - - 715.51 -
2023-01-22 216.23 - 28.54 - - - - 798.05 -
2023-01-29 239.84 - 31.66 - - - - 885.19 -
2023-02-05 322.59 - 42.59 - - - - 1190.53 -
2023-02-12 380.65 - 50.26 - - - - 1404.76 -
2023-02-19 376.79 - 49.75 - - - - 1390.51 -
2023-02-26 437.18 - 57.72 - - - - 1613.37 -
2023-03-05 434.93 - 57.42 - - - - 1605.04 -
2023-03-12 427.56 - 56.45 - - - - 1577.86 -
2023-03-19 387.93 - 51.22 - - - - 1431.64 -
2023-03-26 393.13 - 51.90 - - - - 1450.84 -
2023-04-02 357.26 - 47.17 - - - - 1318.48 -
2023-04-09 341.42 - 45.07 - - - - 1260.01 -
2023-04-16 371.31 - 49.02 - - - - 1370.29 -
2023-04-23 345.67 - 45.64 - - - - 1275.68 -
2023-04-30 274.65 - 36.26 - - - - 1013.65 -
2023-05-07 237.37 - 31.33 - - - - 876.05 -
2023-05-14 234.03 - 30.89 - - - - 863.74 -
2023-05-21 198.92 - 26.25 - - - - 734.21 -
2023-05-28 176.08 - 23.24 - - - - 649.90 -
2023-06-04 170.38 - 22.48 - - - - 628.87 -
2023-06-11 151.13 - 19.94 - - - - 557.84 -
2023-06-18 129.40 - 17.07 - - - - 477.68 -
2023-06-25 99.65 - 13.14 - - - - 367.91 -
2023-07-02 97.75 - 12.89 - - - - 360.90 -
2023-07-09 98.43 - 12.98 - - - - 363.38 -
2023-07-16 96.88 - 12.78 - - - - 357.67 -
2023-07-23 87.32 - 11.51 - - - - 322.39 -
2023-07-30 99.74 - 13.15 - - - - 368.22 -
2023-08-06 113.04 - 14.91 - - - - 417.31 -
2023-08-13 108.08 - 14.26 - - - - 399.02 -
2023-08-20 99.59 - 13.14 - - - - 367.68 -
2023-08-27 76.33 - 10.06 - - - - 281.84 -
2023-09-03 73.42 - 9.68 - - - - 271.11 -
2023-09-10 60.93 - 8.03 - - - - 225.01 -
2023-09-17 52.77 - 6.95 - - - - 194.91 -
2023-09-24 40.76 - 5.37 - - - - 150.58 -
2023-10-01 40.04 - 5.27 - - - - 147.94 -