Prediction 585
Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
---|---|
Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state PE.
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date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-06-26 | 304.50 | - | 296.72 | - | - | - | - | 312.43 | - |
2022-07-03 | 290.98 | - | 283.47 | - | - | - | - | 298.63 | - |
2022-07-10 | 263.31 | - | 256.35 | - | - | - | - | 270.41 | - |
2022-07-17 | 243.31 | - | 236.75 | - | - | - | - | 250.00 | - |
2022-07-24 | 203.40 | - | 197.64 | - | - | - | - | 209.27 | - |
2022-07-31 | 200.13 | - | 194.44 | - | - | - | - | 205.93 | - |
2022-08-07 | 190.18 | - | 184.70 | - | - | - | - | 195.78 | - |
2022-08-14 | 177.26 | - | 172.05 | - | - | - | - | 182.59 | - |
2022-08-21 | 171.77 | - | 166.67 | - | - | - | - | 176.98 | - |
2022-08-28 | 158.55 | - | 153.73 | - | - | - | - | 163.48 | - |
2022-09-04 | 153.77 | - | 149.05 | - | - | - | - | 158.60 | - |
2022-09-11 | 143.45 | - | 138.95 | - | - | - | - | 148.05 | - |
2022-09-18 | 128.78 | - | 124.60 | - | - | - | - | 133.06 | - |
2022-09-25 | 131.61 | - | 127.37 | - | - | - | - | 135.95 | - |
2022-10-02 | 129.43 | - | 125.24 | - | - | - | - | 133.72 | - |
2022-10-09 | 123.29 | - | 119.23 | - | - | - | - | 127.45 | - |
2022-10-16 | 130.40 | - | 126.19 | - | - | - | - | 134.72 | - |
2022-10-23 | 146.41 | - | 141.85 | - | - | - | - | 151.08 | - |
2022-10-30 | 181.14 | - | 175.85 | - | - | - | - | 186.55 | - |
2022-11-06 | 212.92 | - | 206.97 | - | - | - | - | 218.99 | - |
2022-11-13 | 232.00 | - | 225.66 | - | - | - | - | 238.46 | - |
2022-11-20 | 217.01 | - | 210.98 | - | - | - | - | 223.17 | - |
2022-11-27 | 258.08 | - | 251.23 | - | - | - | - | 265.08 | - |
2022-12-04 | 254.69 | - | 247.90 | - | - | - | - | 261.62 | - |
2022-12-11 | 243.92 | - | 237.35 | - | - | - | - | 250.63 | - |
2022-12-18 | 190.44 | - | 184.96 | - | - | - | - | 196.05 | - |
2022-12-25 | 160.98 | - | 156.18 | - | - | - | - | 165.90 | - |
2023-01-01 | 890.20 | - | 134.84 | - | - | - | - | 3110.00 | - |
2023-01-08 | 946.23 | - | 143.33 | - | - | - | - | 3305.74 | - |
2023-01-15 | 1015.90 | - | 153.89 | - | - | - | - | 3549.11 | - |
2023-01-22 | 1085.89 | - | 164.49 | - | - | - | - | 3793.60 | - |
2023-01-29 | 1209.90 | - | 183.28 | - | - | - | - | 4226.83 | - |
2023-02-05 | 1335.77 | - | 202.35 | - | - | - | - | 4666.56 | - |
2023-02-12 | 1399.14 | - | 211.94 | - | - | - | - | 4887.91 | - |
2023-02-19 | 1461.65 | - | 221.42 | - | - | - | - | 5106.30 | - |
2023-02-26 | 1516.47 | - | 229.72 | - | - | - | - | 5297.81 | - |
2023-03-05 | 1550.96 | - | 234.95 | - | - | - | - | 5418.30 | - |
2023-03-12 | 1651.41 | - | 250.16 | - | - | - | - | 5769.21 | - |
2023-03-19 | 1648.02 | - | 249.65 | - | - | - | - | 5757.36 | - |
2023-03-26 | 1522.23 | - | 230.59 | - | - | - | - | 5317.94 | - |
2023-04-02 | 1673.77 | - | 253.55 | - | - | - | - | 5847.33 | - |
2023-04-09 | 1686.31 | - | 255.45 | - | - | - | - | 5891.12 | - |
2023-04-16 | 1761.17 | - | 266.79 | - | - | - | - | 6152.64 | - |
2023-04-23 | 1762.14 | - | 266.94 | - | - | - | - | 6156.03 | - |
2023-04-30 | 1851.45 | - | 280.47 | - | - | - | - | 6468.03 | - |
2023-05-07 | 1794.01 | - | 271.77 | - | - | - | - | 6267.37 | - |
2023-05-14 | 1788.34 | - | 270.91 | - | - | - | - | 6247.54 | - |
2023-05-21 | 1589.38 | - | 240.77 | - | - | - | - | 5552.51 | - |
2023-05-28 | 1520.74 | - | 230.37 | - | - | - | - | 5312.71 | - |
2023-06-04 | 1411.09 | - | 213.76 | - | - | - | - | 4929.66 | - |
2023-06-11 | 1195.03 | - | 181.02 | - | - | - | - | 4174.90 | - |
2023-06-18 | 1006.09 | - | 152.40 | - | - | - | - | 3514.84 | - |
2023-06-25 | 992.99 | - | 150.41 | - | - | - | - | 3469.07 | - |
2023-07-02 | 948.89 | - | 143.73 | - | - | - | - | 3315.03 | - |
2023-07-09 | 858.68 | - | 130.07 | - | - | - | - | 2999.89 | - |
2023-07-16 | 793.43 | - | 120.18 | - | - | - | - | 2771.96 | - |
2023-07-23 | 663.29 | - | 100.47 | - | - | - | - | 2317.30 | - |
2023-07-30 | 652.62 | - | 98.85 | - | - | - | - | 2280.06 | - |
2023-08-06 | 620.17 | - | 93.93 | - | - | - | - | 2166.69 | - |
2023-08-13 | 578.06 | - | 87.55 | - | - | - | - | 2019.59 | - |
2023-08-20 | 560.14 | - | 84.84 | - | - | - | - | 1956.97 | - |
2023-08-27 | 517.03 | - | 78.31 | - | - | - | - | 1806.38 | - |
2023-09-03 | 501.46 | - | 75.95 | - | - | - | - | 1751.97 | - |
2023-09-10 | 467.79 | - | 70.85 | - | - | - | - | 1634.37 | - |
2023-09-17 | 419.96 | - | 63.60 | - | - | - | - | 1467.26 | - |
2023-09-24 | 429.18 | - | 65.00 | - | - | - | - | 1499.46 | - |
2023-10-01 | 422.07 | - | 63.92 | - | - | - | - | 1474.65 | - |