Prediction 585

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state PE.


Mostrar Tabela
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 304.50 - 296.72 - - - - 312.43 -
2022-07-03 290.98 - 283.47 - - - - 298.63 -
2022-07-10 263.31 - 256.35 - - - - 270.41 -
2022-07-17 243.31 - 236.75 - - - - 250.00 -
2022-07-24 203.40 - 197.64 - - - - 209.27 -
2022-07-31 200.13 - 194.44 - - - - 205.93 -
2022-08-07 190.18 - 184.70 - - - - 195.78 -
2022-08-14 177.26 - 172.05 - - - - 182.59 -
2022-08-21 171.77 - 166.67 - - - - 176.98 -
2022-08-28 158.55 - 153.73 - - - - 163.48 -
2022-09-04 153.77 - 149.05 - - - - 158.60 -
2022-09-11 143.45 - 138.95 - - - - 148.05 -
2022-09-18 128.78 - 124.60 - - - - 133.06 -
2022-09-25 131.61 - 127.37 - - - - 135.95 -
2022-10-02 129.43 - 125.24 - - - - 133.72 -
2022-10-09 123.29 - 119.23 - - - - 127.45 -
2022-10-16 130.40 - 126.19 - - - - 134.72 -
2022-10-23 146.41 - 141.85 - - - - 151.08 -
2022-10-30 181.14 - 175.85 - - - - 186.55 -
2022-11-06 212.92 - 206.97 - - - - 218.99 -
2022-11-13 232.00 - 225.66 - - - - 238.46 -
2022-11-20 217.01 - 210.98 - - - - 223.17 -
2022-11-27 258.08 - 251.23 - - - - 265.08 -
2022-12-04 254.69 - 247.90 - - - - 261.62 -
2022-12-11 243.92 - 237.35 - - - - 250.63 -
2022-12-18 190.44 - 184.96 - - - - 196.05 -
2022-12-25 160.98 - 156.18 - - - - 165.90 -
2023-01-01 890.20 - 134.84 - - - - 3110.00 -
2023-01-08 946.23 - 143.33 - - - - 3305.74 -
2023-01-15 1015.90 - 153.89 - - - - 3549.11 -
2023-01-22 1085.89 - 164.49 - - - - 3793.60 -
2023-01-29 1209.90 - 183.28 - - - - 4226.83 -
2023-02-05 1335.77 - 202.35 - - - - 4666.56 -
2023-02-12 1399.14 - 211.94 - - - - 4887.91 -
2023-02-19 1461.65 - 221.42 - - - - 5106.30 -
2023-02-26 1516.47 - 229.72 - - - - 5297.81 -
2023-03-05 1550.96 - 234.95 - - - - 5418.30 -
2023-03-12 1651.41 - 250.16 - - - - 5769.21 -
2023-03-19 1648.02 - 249.65 - - - - 5757.36 -
2023-03-26 1522.23 - 230.59 - - - - 5317.94 -
2023-04-02 1673.77 - 253.55 - - - - 5847.33 -
2023-04-09 1686.31 - 255.45 - - - - 5891.12 -
2023-04-16 1761.17 - 266.79 - - - - 6152.64 -
2023-04-23 1762.14 - 266.94 - - - - 6156.03 -
2023-04-30 1851.45 - 280.47 - - - - 6468.03 -
2023-05-07 1794.01 - 271.77 - - - - 6267.37 -
2023-05-14 1788.34 - 270.91 - - - - 6247.54 -
2023-05-21 1589.38 - 240.77 - - - - 5552.51 -
2023-05-28 1520.74 - 230.37 - - - - 5312.71 -
2023-06-04 1411.09 - 213.76 - - - - 4929.66 -
2023-06-11 1195.03 - 181.02 - - - - 4174.90 -
2023-06-18 1006.09 - 152.40 - - - - 3514.84 -
2023-06-25 992.99 - 150.41 - - - - 3469.07 -
2023-07-02 948.89 - 143.73 - - - - 3315.03 -
2023-07-09 858.68 - 130.07 - - - - 2999.89 -
2023-07-16 793.43 - 120.18 - - - - 2771.96 -
2023-07-23 663.29 - 100.47 - - - - 2317.30 -
2023-07-30 652.62 - 98.85 - - - - 2280.06 -
2023-08-06 620.17 - 93.93 - - - - 2166.69 -
2023-08-13 578.06 - 87.55 - - - - 2019.59 -
2023-08-20 560.14 - 84.84 - - - - 1956.97 -
2023-08-27 517.03 - 78.31 - - - - 1806.38 -
2023-09-03 501.46 - 75.95 - - - - 1751.97 -
2023-09-10 467.79 - 70.85 - - - - 1634.37 -
2023-09-17 419.96 - 63.60 - - - - 1467.26 -
2023-09-24 429.18 - 65.00 - - - - 1499.46 -
2023-10-01 422.07 - 63.92 - - - - 1474.65 -