Prediction 587
Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
---|---|
Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state RN.
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date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-06-26 | 784.06 | - | 762.34 | - | - | - | - | 806.23 | - |
2022-07-03 | 785.65 | - | 763.92 | - | - | - | - | 807.83 | - |
2022-07-10 | 762.40 | - | 741.06 | - | - | - | - | 784.19 | - |
2022-07-17 | 721.95 | - | 701.30 | - | - | - | - | 743.04 | - |
2022-07-24 | 633.32 | - | 614.23 | - | - | - | - | 652.84 | - |
2022-07-31 | 590.86 | - | 572.54 | - | - | - | - | 609.61 | - |
2022-08-07 | 583.25 | - | 565.07 | - | - | - | - | 601.86 | - |
2022-08-14 | 494.17 | - | 477.68 | - | - | - | - | 511.07 | - |
2022-08-21 | 439.10 | - | 423.71 | - | - | - | - | 454.90 | - |
2022-08-28 | 370.88 | - | 356.91 | - | - | - | - | 385.24 | - |
2022-09-04 | 353.19 | - | 339.62 | - | - | - | - | 367.16 | - |
2022-09-11 | 318.14 | - | 305.36 | - | - | - | - | 331.32 | - |
2022-09-18 | 281.88 | - | 269.95 | - | - | - | - | 294.20 | - |
2022-09-25 | 237.09 | - | 226.27 | - | - | - | - | 248.29 | - |
2022-10-02 | 241.05 | - | 230.14 | - | - | - | - | 252.35 | - |
2022-10-09 | 241.48 | - | 230.55 | - | - | - | - | 252.78 | - |
2022-10-16 | 239.51 | - | 228.63 | - | - | - | - | 250.77 | - |
2022-10-23 | 204.50 | - | 194.55 | - | - | - | - | 214.81 | - |
2022-10-30 | 193.48 | - | 183.82 | - | - | - | - | 203.48 | - |
2022-11-06 | 224.31 | - | 213.83 | - | - | - | - | 235.17 | - |
2022-11-13 | 223.35 | - | 212.90 | - | - | - | - | 234.18 | - |
2022-11-20 | 226.02 | - | 215.50 | - | - | - | - | 236.92 | - |
2022-11-27 | 242.29 | - | 231.34 | - | - | - | - | 253.62 | - |
2022-12-04 | 228.29 | - | 217.71 | - | - | - | - | 239.25 | - |
2022-12-11 | 225.40 | - | 214.90 | - | - | - | - | 236.28 | - |
2022-12-18 | 213.39 | - | 203.21 | - | - | - | - | 223.95 | - |
2022-12-25 | 201.45 | - | 191.80 | - | - | - | - | 211.43 | - |
2023-01-01 | 227.19 | - | 31.59 | - | - | - | - | 821.62 | - |
2023-01-08 | 257.94 | - | 35.87 | - | - | - | - | 932.79 | - |
2023-01-15 | 318.91 | - | 44.36 | - | - | - | - | 1153.25 | - |
2023-01-22 | 390.76 | - | 54.36 | - | - | - | - | 1413.04 | - |
2023-01-29 | 523.29 | - | 72.80 | - | - | - | - | 1892.22 | - |
2023-02-05 | 664.32 | - | 92.42 | - | - | - | - | 2402.10 | - |
2023-02-12 | 830.45 | - | 115.54 | - | - | - | - | 3002.79 | - |
2023-02-19 | 892.87 | - | 124.22 | - | - | - | - | 3228.47 | - |
2023-02-26 | 1040.41 | - | 144.75 | - | - | - | - | 3761.93 | - |
2023-03-05 | 1025.69 | - | 142.70 | - | - | - | - | 3708.68 | - |
2023-03-12 | 1059.46 | - | 147.41 | - | - | - | - | 3830.80 | - |
2023-03-19 | 987.79 | - | 137.43 | - | - | - | - | 3571.67 | - |
2023-03-26 | 914.41 | - | 127.22 | - | - | - | - | 3306.36 | - |
2023-04-02 | 1065.29 | - | 148.22 | - | - | - | - | 3851.89 | - |
2023-04-09 | 1112.03 | - | 154.72 | - | - | - | - | 4020.85 | - |
2023-04-16 | 1105.77 | - | 153.85 | - | - | - | - | 3998.24 | - |
2023-04-23 | 1094.30 | - | 152.25 | - | - | - | - | 3956.78 | - |
2023-04-30 | 1118.28 | - | 155.59 | - | - | - | - | 4043.47 | - |
2023-05-07 | 1078.97 | - | 150.12 | - | - | - | - | 3901.33 | - |
2023-05-14 | 1118.15 | - | 155.57 | - | - | - | - | 4043.01 | - |
2023-05-21 | 1012.36 | - | 140.85 | - | - | - | - | 3660.48 | - |
2023-05-28 | 952.47 | - | 132.52 | - | - | - | - | 3443.98 | - |
2023-06-04 | 916.81 | - | 127.56 | - | - | - | - | 3315.04 | - |
2023-06-11 | 810.08 | - | 112.70 | - | - | - | - | 2929.12 | - |
2023-06-18 | 743.87 | - | 103.49 | - | - | - | - | 2689.75 | - |
2023-06-25 | 584.49 | - | 81.31 | - | - | - | - | 2113.49 | - |
2023-07-02 | 585.67 | - | 81.47 | - | - | - | - | 2117.78 | - |
2023-07-09 | 568.34 | - | 79.06 | - | - | - | - | 2055.12 | - |
2023-07-16 | 538.19 | - | 74.87 | - | - | - | - | 1946.09 | - |
2023-07-23 | 472.11 | - | 65.67 | - | - | - | - | 1707.19 | - |
2023-07-30 | 440.46 | - | 61.27 | - | - | - | - | 1592.76 | - |
2023-08-06 | 434.79 | - | 60.48 | - | - | - | - | 1572.23 | - |
2023-08-13 | 368.38 | - | 51.24 | - | - | - | - | 1332.14 | - |
2023-08-20 | 327.33 | - | 45.53 | - | - | - | - | 1183.72 | - |
2023-08-27 | 276.48 | - | 38.45 | - | - | - | - | 999.84 | - |
2023-09-03 | 263.29 | - | 36.62 | - | - | - | - | 952.17 | - |
2023-09-10 | 237.16 | - | 32.98 | - | - | - | - | 857.70 | - |
2023-09-17 | 210.13 | - | 29.22 | - | - | - | - | 759.95 | - |
2023-09-24 | 176.74 | - | 24.57 | - | - | - | - | 639.25 | - |
2023-10-01 | 179.70 | - | 24.98 | - | - | - | - | 649.92 | - |