Prediction 590

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state GO.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 2346.14 - 2305.65 - - - - 2387.16 -
2022-07-03 1886.96 - 1850.99 - - - - 1923.45 -
2022-07-10 1588.42 - 1555.63 - - - - 1621.71 -
2022-07-17 1396.30 - 1365.71 - - - - 1427.41 -
2022-07-24 1153.26 - 1125.62 - - - - 1181.39 -
2022-07-31 1135.43 - 1108.02 - - - - 1163.33 -
2022-08-07 1043.30 - 1017.10 - - - - 1070.00 -
2022-08-14 1048.18 - 1021.91 - - - - 1074.94 -
2022-08-21 963.30 - 938.18 - - - - 988.91 -
2022-08-28 874.84 - 850.97 - - - - 899.20 -
2022-09-04 867.02 - 843.26 - - - - 891.27 -
2022-09-11 937.40 - 912.64 - - - - 962.65 -
2022-09-18 989.34 - 963.87 - - - - 1015.31 -
2022-09-25 1041.65 - 1015.47 - - - - 1068.33 -
2022-10-02 1121.76 - 1094.53 - - - - 1149.49 -
2022-10-09 1141.39 - 1113.90 - - - - 1169.37 -
2022-10-16 1257.95 - 1229.01 - - - - 1287.40 -
2022-10-23 1218.58 - 1190.12 - - - - 1247.53 -
2022-10-30 1265.68 - 1236.64 - - - - 1295.22 -
2022-11-06 1457.74 - 1426.43 - - - - 1489.55 -
2022-11-13 1608.23 - 1575.23 - - - - 1641.74 -
2022-11-20 1885.20 - 1849.25 - - - - 1921.67 -
2022-11-27 2081.79 - 2043.86 - - - - 2120.25 -
2022-12-04 2430.30 - 2389.02 - - - - 2472.11 -
2022-12-11 2424.71 - 2383.48 - - - - 2466.46 -
2022-12-18 2021.60 - 1984.26 - - - - 2059.45 -
2022-12-25 2038.25 - 2002.84 - - - - 2074.11 -
2023-01-01 2427.75 - 616.87 - - - - 6653.83 -
2023-01-08 2855.04 - 725.44 - - - - 7824.87 -
2023-01-15 3286.12 - 834.98 - - - - 9006.30 -
2023-01-22 3618.09 - 919.34 - - - - 9916.11 -
2023-01-29 4160.05 - 1057.06 - - - - 11401.45 -
2023-02-05 4125.43 - 1048.26 - - - - 11306.55 -
2023-02-12 4388.66 - 1115.15 - - - - 12027.97 -
2023-02-19 4529.29 - 1150.88 - - - - 12413.39 -
2023-02-26 4874.46 - 1238.59 - - - - 13359.38 -
2023-03-05 4974.22 - 1263.94 - - - - 13632.80 -
2023-03-12 5135.17 - 1304.84 - - - - 14073.88 -
2023-03-19 5056.52 - 1284.85 - - - - 13858.35 -
2023-03-26 4880.49 - 1240.12 - - - - 13375.91 -
2023-04-02 5247.55 - 1333.40 - - - - 14381.89 -
2023-04-09 4866.99 - 1236.69 - - - - 13338.91 -
2023-04-16 4764.40 - 1210.63 - - - - 13057.75 -
2023-04-23 4794.71 - 1218.33 - - - - 13140.82 -
2023-04-30 4721.04 - 1199.61 - - - - 12938.92 -
2023-05-07 4378.83 - 1112.65 - - - - 12001.04 -
2023-05-14 3825.63 - 972.08 - - - - 10484.91 -
2023-05-21 3148.71 - 800.07 - - - - 8629.71 -
2023-05-28 2693.35 - 684.36 - - - - 7381.74 -
2023-06-04 2369.91 - 602.17 - - - - 6495.29 -
2023-06-11 1957.90 - 497.48 - - - - 5366.15 -
2023-06-18 1598.70 - 406.20 - - - - 4381.70 -
2023-06-25 1289.24 - 327.56 - - - - 3533.60 -
2023-07-02 1036.91 - 263.44 - - - - 2842.07 -
2023-07-09 872.86 - 221.75 - - - - 2392.45 -
2023-07-16 767.29 - 194.92 - - - - 2103.13 -
2023-07-23 633.73 - 160.99 - - - - 1737.09 -
2023-07-30 623.93 - 158.50 - - - - 1710.24 -
2023-08-06 573.31 - 145.63 - - - - 1571.50 -
2023-08-13 575.99 - 146.31 - - - - 1578.84 -
2023-08-20 529.34 - 134.46 - - - - 1451.01 -
2023-08-27 480.73 - 122.11 - - - - 1317.79 -
2023-09-03 476.44 - 121.02 - - - - 1306.02 -
2023-09-10 515.11 - 130.85 - - - - 1412.01 -
2023-09-17 543.66 - 138.10 - - - - 1490.24 -
2023-09-24 572.40 - 145.40 - - - - 1569.01 -
2023-10-01 616.42 - 156.59 - - - - 1689.66 -