Prediction 593

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state DF.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 1157.91 - 1120.81 - - - - 1195.92 -
2022-07-03 915.20 - 882.60 - - - - 948.68 -
2022-07-10 724.30 - 695.61 - - - - 753.85 -
2022-07-17 659.18 - 631.93 - - - - 687.29 -
2022-07-24 529.43 - 505.24 - - - - 554.45 -
2022-07-31 468.84 - 446.21 - - - - 492.31 -
2022-08-07 385.27 - 364.94 - - - - 406.42 -
2022-08-14 352.55 - 333.19 - - - - 372.73 -
2022-08-21 318.79 - 300.47 - - - - 337.92 -
2022-08-28 278.88 - 261.84 - - - - 296.70 -
2022-09-04 291.92 - 274.47 - - - - 310.18 -
2022-09-11 317.15 - 298.88 - - - - 336.24 -
2022-09-18 310.41 - 292.35 - - - - 329.27 -
2022-09-25 326.94 - 308.36 - - - - 346.33 -
2022-10-02 309.99 - 291.96 - - - - 328.85 -
2022-10-09 279.34 - 262.29 - - - - 297.17 -
2022-10-16 289.19 - 271.83 - - - - 307.36 -
2022-10-23 275.74 - 258.81 - - - - 293.46 -
2022-10-30 318.63 - 300.32 - - - - 337.77 -
2022-11-06 322.39 - 303.96 - - - - 341.64 -
2022-11-13 344.91 - 325.78 - - - - 364.86 -
2022-11-20 367.35 - 347.55 - - - - 387.97 -
2022-11-27 385.00 - 364.67 - - - - 406.15 -
2022-12-04 476.87 - 454.03 - - - - 500.56 -
2022-12-11 534.08 - 509.78 - - - - 559.23 -
2022-12-18 507.52 - 483.88 - - - - 532.01 -
2022-12-25 370.52 - 352.54 - - - - 389.11 -
2023-01-01 268.98 - 25.68 - - - - 1113.86 -
2023-01-08 294.26 - 28.09 - - - - 1218.51 -
2023-01-15 353.99 - 33.79 - - - - 1465.81 -
2023-01-22 419.58 - 40.06 - - - - 1737.40 -
2023-01-29 523.65 - 50.00 - - - - 2168.27 -
2023-02-05 670.43 - 64.02 - - - - 2776.00 -
2023-02-12 685.82 - 65.49 - - - - 2839.73 -
2023-02-19 746.18 - 71.25 - - - - 3089.66 -
2023-02-26 850.34 - 81.20 - - - - 3520.89 -
2023-03-05 934.74 - 89.26 - - - - 3870.34 -
2023-03-12 1054.36 - 100.68 - - - - 4365.64 -
2023-03-19 1094.08 - 104.47 - - - - 4530.06 -
2023-03-26 1141.52 - 109.01 - - - - 4726.51 -
2023-04-02 1236.79 - 118.10 - - - - 5120.95 -
2023-04-09 1339.38 - 127.90 - - - - 5545.73 -
2023-04-16 1367.75 - 130.61 - - - - 5663.19 -
2023-04-23 1359.96 - 129.87 - - - - 5630.94 -
2023-04-30 1329.98 - 127.00 - - - - 5506.79 -
2023-05-07 1245.27 - 118.91 - - - - 5156.06 -
2023-05-14 1222.02 - 116.69 - - - - 5059.80 -
2023-05-21 1105.39 - 105.56 - - - - 4576.91 -
2023-05-28 1024.45 - 97.83 - - - - 4241.79 -
2023-06-04 871.20 - 83.19 - - - - 3607.27 -
2023-06-11 690.69 - 65.95 - - - - 2859.90 -
2023-06-18 501.34 - 47.87 - - - - 2075.91 -
2023-06-25 434.68 - 41.50 - - - - 1799.95 -
2023-07-02 343.56 - 32.80 - - - - 1422.70 -
2023-07-09 271.90 - 25.95 - - - - 1125.99 -
2023-07-16 247.45 - 23.62 - - - - 1024.77 -
2023-07-23 198.75 - 18.97 - - - - 823.10 -
2023-07-30 176.00 - 16.79 - - - - 728.93 -
2023-08-06 144.63 - 13.80 - - - - 599.03 -
2023-08-13 132.35 - 12.62 - - - - 548.18 -
2023-08-20 119.67 - 11.41 - - - - 495.70 -
2023-08-27 104.69 - 9.98 - - - - 433.66 -
2023-09-03 109.59 - 10.45 - - - - 453.94 -
2023-09-10 119.06 - 11.36 - - - - 493.15 -
2023-09-17 116.53 - 11.11 - - - - 482.67 -
2023-09-24 122.73 - 11.71 - - - - 508.36 -
2023-10-01 116.37 - 11.10 - - - - 482.03 -