Prediction 594

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state MG.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 476.87 - 468.79 - - - - 485.06 -
2022-07-03 366.26 - 359.34 - - - - 373.29 -
2022-07-10 266.35 - 260.58 - - - - 272.23 -
2022-07-17 209.76 - 204.70 - - - - 214.91 -
2022-07-24 175.87 - 171.28 - - - - 180.55 -
2022-07-31 157.25 - 152.93 - - - - 161.66 -
2022-08-07 144.45 - 140.33 - - - - 148.67 -
2022-08-14 139.20 - 135.15 - - - - 143.33 -
2022-08-21 139.27 - 135.23 - - - - 143.41 -
2022-08-28 132.91 - 128.97 - - - - 136.94 -
2022-09-04 136.36 - 132.36 - - - - 140.45 -
2022-09-11 158.08 - 153.74 - - - - 162.50 -
2022-09-18 156.90 - 152.59 - - - - 161.31 -
2022-09-25 151.23 - 147.00 - - - - 155.55 -
2022-10-02 150.88 - 146.66 - - - - 155.20 -
2022-10-09 151.13 - 146.90 - - - - 155.45 -
2022-10-16 178.09 - 173.47 - - - - 182.81 -
2022-10-23 173.87 - 169.31 - - - - 178.52 -
2022-10-30 178.41 - 173.78 - - - - 183.13 -
2022-11-06 206.63 - 201.61 - - - - 211.74 -
2022-11-13 223.08 - 217.85 - - - - 228.41 -
2022-11-20 277.68 - 271.76 - - - - 283.69 -
2022-11-27 311.72 - 305.41 - - - - 318.13 -
2022-12-04 377.90 - 370.85 - - - - 385.05 -
2022-12-11 424.55 - 417.00 - - - - 432.20 -
2022-12-18 463.17 - 455.22 - - - - 471.22 -
2022-12-25 533.78 - 525.33 - - - - 542.32 -
2023-01-01 3388.46 - 198.14 - - - - 16123.59 -
2023-01-08 4232.99 - 247.53 - - - - 20142.16 -
2023-01-15 4943.45 - 289.07 - - - - 23522.76 -
2023-01-22 5754.21 - 336.48 - - - - 27380.64 -
2023-01-29 6691.92 - 391.32 - - - - 31842.60 -
2023-02-05 7643.01 - 446.94 - - - - 36368.25 -
2023-02-12 9801.39 - 573.15 - - - - 46638.55 -
2023-02-19 11394.39 - 666.31 - - - - 54218.56 -
2023-02-26 12272.03 - 717.63 - - - - 58394.67 -
2023-03-05 13054.72 - 763.40 - - - - 62118.97 -
2023-03-12 14804.34 - 865.71 - - - - 70444.25 -
2023-03-19 15270.59 - 892.98 - - - - 72662.83 -
2023-03-26 15767.98 - 922.06 - - - - 75029.57 -
2023-04-02 17941.60 - 1049.17 - - - - 85372.39 -
2023-04-09 17469.25 - 1021.55 - - - - 83124.78 -
2023-04-16 16109.17 - 942.01 - - - - 76653.10 -
2023-04-23 15774.16 - 922.42 - - - - 75059.00 -
2023-04-30 13864.86 - 810.77 - - - - 65973.90 -
2023-05-07 11943.59 - 698.42 - - - - 56831.87 -
2023-05-14 9727.95 - 568.86 - - - - 46289.10 -
2023-05-21 7485.74 - 437.74 - - - - 35619.91 -
2023-05-28 5630.66 - 329.26 - - - - 26792.78 -
2023-06-04 4227.30 - 247.19 - - - - 20115.11 -
2023-06-11 3061.95 - 179.05 - - - - 14569.99 -
2023-06-18 2117.24 - 123.80 - - - - 10074.71 -
2023-06-25 1591.94 - 93.08 - - - - 7575.16 -
2023-07-02 1222.69 - 71.49 - - - - 5818.16 -
2023-07-09 889.17 - 51.99 - - - - 4231.11 -
2023-07-16 700.24 - 40.94 - - - - 3332.16 -
2023-07-23 587.10 - 34.32 - - - - 2793.79 -
2023-07-30 524.93 - 30.69 - - - - 2497.97 -
2023-08-06 482.23 - 28.19 - - - - 2294.76 -
2023-08-13 464.68 - 27.17 - - - - 2211.25 -
2023-08-20 464.94 - 27.18 - - - - 2212.50 -
2023-08-27 443.69 - 25.94 - - - - 2111.38 -
2023-09-03 455.21 - 26.61 - - - - 2166.19 -
2023-09-10 527.70 - 30.85 - - - - 2511.14 -
2023-09-17 523.79 - 30.62 - - - - 2492.52 -
2023-09-24 504.86 - 29.52 - - - - 2402.45 -
2023-10-01 503.69 - 29.45 - - - - 2396.87 -