Prediction 658
Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
---|---|
Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state AM.
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date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-06-26 | 26.38 | - | 24.75 | - | - | - | - | 28.08 | - |
2022-07-03 | 27.88 | - | 26.19 | - | - | - | - | 29.66 | - |
2022-07-10 | 28.61 | - | 26.88 | - | - | - | - | 30.41 | - |
2022-07-17 | 25.71 | - | 24.11 | - | - | - | - | 27.38 | - |
2022-07-24 | 22.79 | - | 21.33 | - | - | - | - | 24.33 | - |
2022-07-31 | 22.92 | - | 21.45 | - | - | - | - | 24.46 | - |
2022-08-07 | 22.04 | - | 20.61 | - | - | - | - | 23.54 | - |
2022-08-14 | 20.22 | - | 18.88 | - | - | - | - | 21.64 | - |
2022-08-21 | 18.72 | - | 17.45 | - | - | - | - | 20.06 | - |
2022-08-28 | 17.23 | - | 16.03 | - | - | - | - | 18.50 | - |
2022-09-04 | 16.57 | - | 15.40 | - | - | - | - | 17.80 | - |
2022-09-11 | 18.59 | - | 17.33 | - | - | - | - | 19.93 | - |
2022-09-18 | 17.74 | - | 16.52 | - | - | - | - | 19.04 | - |
2022-09-25 | 17.64 | - | 16.42 | - | - | - | - | 18.93 | - |
2022-10-02 | 18.65 | - | 17.38 | - | - | - | - | 19.98 | - |
2022-10-09 | 17.22 | - | 16.02 | - | - | - | - | 18.49 | - |
2022-10-16 | 19.64 | - | 18.32 | - | - | - | - | 21.02 | - |
2022-10-23 | 19.45 | - | 18.14 | - | - | - | - | 20.83 | - |
2022-10-30 | 22.49 | - | 21.04 | - | - | - | - | 24.01 | - |
2022-11-06 | 23.34 | - | 21.85 | - | - | - | - | 24.90 | - |
2022-11-13 | 28.63 | - | 26.90 | - | - | - | - | 30.44 | - |
2022-11-20 | 33.39 | - | 31.45 | - | - | - | - | 35.42 | - |
2022-11-27 | 36.43 | - | 34.36 | - | - | - | - | 38.59 | - |
2022-12-04 | 40.22 | - | 37.99 | - | - | - | - | 42.55 | - |
2022-12-11 | 39.94 | - | 37.72 | - | - | - | - | 42.26 | - |
2022-12-18 | 37.22 | - | 35.11 | - | - | - | - | 39.42 | - |
2022-12-25 | 36.36 | - | 34.32 | - | - | - | - | 38.48 | - |
2023-01-01 | 327.80 | - | 50.58 | - | - | - | - | 1136.39 | - |
2023-01-08 | 395.88 | - | 61.09 | - | - | - | - | 1372.41 | - |
2023-01-15 | 468.97 | - | 72.37 | - | - | - | - | 1625.75 | - |
2023-01-22 | 565.36 | - | 87.25 | - | - | - | - | 1959.85 | - |
2023-01-29 | 604.69 | - | 93.32 | - | - | - | - | 2096.20 | - |
2023-02-05 | 699.11 | - | 107.89 | - | - | - | - | 2423.50 | - |
2023-02-12 | 751.77 | - | 116.02 | - | - | - | - | 2606.03 | - |
2023-02-19 | 843.69 | - | 130.21 | - | - | - | - | 2924.63 | - |
2023-02-26 | 775.14 | - | 119.63 | - | - | - | - | 2687.01 | - |
2023-03-05 | 698.81 | - | 107.85 | - | - | - | - | 2422.44 | - |
2023-03-12 | 626.17 | - | 96.63 | - | - | - | - | 2170.66 | - |
2023-03-19 | 526.50 | - | 81.25 | - | - | - | - | 1825.16 | - |
2023-03-26 | 429.47 | - | 66.27 | - | - | - | - | 1488.84 | - |
2023-04-02 | 420.82 | - | 64.94 | - | - | - | - | 1458.85 | - |
2023-04-09 | 349.55 | - | 53.94 | - | - | - | - | 1211.81 | - |
2023-04-16 | 289.30 | - | 44.64 | - | - | - | - | 1002.98 | - |
2023-04-23 | 245.51 | - | 37.88 | - | - | - | - | 851.17 | - |
2023-04-30 | 223.81 | - | 34.53 | - | - | - | - | 775.97 | - |
2023-05-07 | 215.45 | - | 33.24 | - | - | - | - | 746.96 | - |
2023-05-14 | 202.90 | - | 31.30 | - | - | - | - | 703.49 | - |
2023-05-21 | 171.19 | - | 26.41 | - | - | - | - | 593.56 | - |
2023-05-28 | 165.12 | - | 25.47 | - | - | - | - | 572.53 | - |
2023-06-04 | 173.27 | - | 26.73 | - | - | - | - | 600.76 | - |
2023-06-11 | 150.99 | - | 23.29 | - | - | - | - | 523.55 | - |
2023-06-18 | 138.94 | - | 21.43 | - | - | - | - | 481.76 | - |
2023-06-25 | 119.53 | - | 18.43 | - | - | - | - | 414.49 | - |
2023-07-02 | 126.34 | - | 19.48 | - | - | - | - | 438.11 | - |
2023-07-09 | 129.61 | - | 19.99 | - | - | - | - | 449.45 | - |
2023-07-16 | 116.49 | - | 17.96 | - | - | - | - | 403.94 | - |
2023-07-23 | 103.28 | - | 15.92 | - | - | - | - | 358.15 | - |
2023-07-30 | 103.85 | - | 16.01 | - | - | - | - | 360.14 | - |
2023-08-06 | 99.86 | - | 15.40 | - | - | - | - | 346.32 | - |
2023-08-13 | 91.64 | - | 14.13 | - | - | - | - | 317.80 | - |
2023-08-20 | 84.83 | - | 13.08 | - | - | - | - | 294.22 | - |
2023-08-27 | 78.09 | - | 12.03 | - | - | - | - | 270.83 | - |
2023-09-03 | 75.07 | - | 11.57 | - | - | - | - | 260.37 | - |
2023-09-10 | 84.25 | - | 12.99 | - | - | - | - | 292.20 | - |
2023-09-17 | 80.40 | - | 12.39 | - | - | - | - | 278.87 | - |
2023-09-24 | 79.94 | - | 12.32 | - | - | - | - | 277.27 | - |
2023-10-01 | 84.49 | - | 13.02 | - | - | - | - | 293.02 | - |