Prediction 659
Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
---|---|
Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state AC.
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date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-06-26 | 24.41 | - | 22.82 | - | - | - | - | 26.08 | - |
2022-07-03 | 22.07 | - | 20.59 | - | - | - | - | 23.63 | - |
2022-07-10 | 20.91 | - | 19.49 | - | - | - | - | 22.42 | - |
2022-07-17 | 22.36 | - | 20.87 | - | - | - | - | 23.94 | - |
2022-07-24 | 19.63 | - | 18.26 | - | - | - | - | 21.07 | - |
2022-07-31 | 20.60 | - | 19.19 | - | - | - | - | 22.09 | - |
2022-08-07 | 18.74 | - | 17.42 | - | - | - | - | 20.14 | - |
2022-08-14 | 20.47 | - | 19.07 | - | - | - | - | 21.95 | - |
2022-08-21 | 24.57 | - | 22.97 | - | - | - | - | 26.25 | - |
2022-08-28 | 33.30 | - | 31.31 | - | - | - | - | 35.38 | - |
2022-09-04 | 42.30 | - | 39.92 | - | - | - | - | 44.77 | - |
2022-09-11 | 54.62 | - | 51.73 | - | - | - | - | 57.63 | - |
2022-09-18 | 58.25 | - | 55.21 | - | - | - | - | 61.41 | - |
2022-09-25 | 58.49 | - | 55.44 | - | - | - | - | 61.66 | - |
2022-10-02 | 67.55 | - | 64.13 | - | - | - | - | 71.10 | - |
2022-10-09 | 66.98 | - | 63.59 | - | - | - | - | 70.51 | - |
2022-10-16 | 73.35 | - | 69.69 | - | - | - | - | 77.14 | - |
2022-10-23 | 72.55 | - | 68.93 | - | - | - | - | 76.31 | - |
2022-10-30 | 75.72 | - | 71.97 | - | - | - | - | 79.61 | - |
2022-11-06 | 82.32 | - | 78.30 | - | - | - | - | 86.48 | - |
2022-11-13 | 92.53 | - | 88.10 | - | - | - | - | 97.11 | - |
2022-11-20 | 100.36 | - | 95.63 | - | - | - | - | 105.27 | - |
2022-11-27 | 104.26 | - | 99.36 | - | - | - | - | 109.33 | - |
2022-12-04 | 112.13 | - | 106.92 | - | - | - | - | 117.52 | - |
2022-12-11 | 109.32 | - | 104.23 | - | - | - | - | 114.60 | - |
2022-12-18 | 106.55 | - | 101.57 | - | - | - | - | 111.72 | - |
2022-12-25 | 93.72 | - | 89.37 | - | - | - | - | 98.23 | - |
2023-01-01 | 748.71 | - | 128.42 | - | - | - | - | 2480.75 | - |
2023-01-08 | 732.48 | - | 125.64 | - | - | - | - | 2427.01 | - |
2023-01-15 | 777.62 | - | 133.38 | - | - | - | - | 2576.55 | - |
2023-01-22 | 725.80 | - | 124.49 | - | - | - | - | 2404.88 | - |
2023-01-29 | 777.99 | - | 133.45 | - | - | - | - | 2577.78 | - |
2023-02-05 | 752.29 | - | 129.04 | - | - | - | - | 2492.65 | - |
2023-02-12 | 742.13 | - | 127.30 | - | - | - | - | 2458.99 | - |
2023-02-19 | 670.22 | - | 114.96 | - | - | - | - | 2220.73 | - |
2023-02-26 | 665.30 | - | 114.11 | - | - | - | - | 2204.42 | - |
2023-03-05 | 572.12 | - | 98.13 | - | - | - | - | 1895.71 | - |
2023-03-12 | 535.70 | - | 91.88 | - | - | - | - | 1775.05 | - |
2023-03-19 | 496.35 | - | 85.13 | - | - | - | - | 1644.69 | - |
2023-03-26 | 414.72 | - | 71.12 | - | - | - | - | 1374.22 | - |
2023-04-02 | 395.63 | - | 67.85 | - | - | - | - | 1310.97 | - |
2023-04-09 | 335.04 | - | 57.45 | - | - | - | - | 1110.23 | - |
2023-04-16 | 283.69 | - | 48.65 | - | - | - | - | 940.10 | - |
2023-04-23 | 248.44 | - | 42.60 | - | - | - | - | 823.31 | - |
2023-04-30 | 223.69 | - | 38.35 | - | - | - | - | 741.33 | - |
2023-05-07 | 207.47 | - | 35.57 | - | - | - | - | 687.58 | - |
2023-05-14 | 181.22 | - | 31.07 | - | - | - | - | 600.62 | - |
2023-05-21 | 160.77 | - | 27.56 | - | - | - | - | 532.84 | - |
2023-05-28 | 146.59 | - | 25.12 | - | - | - | - | 485.87 | - |
2023-06-04 | 135.19 | - | 23.17 | - | - | - | - | 448.12 | - |
2023-06-11 | 124.44 | - | 21.32 | - | - | - | - | 412.47 | - |
2023-06-18 | 113.61 | - | 19.47 | - | - | - | - | 376.60 | - |
2023-06-25 | 109.02 | - | 18.68 | - | - | - | - | 361.39 | - |
2023-07-02 | 98.55 | - | 16.88 | - | - | - | - | 326.69 | - |
2023-07-09 | 93.39 | - | 16.00 | - | - | - | - | 309.63 | - |
2023-07-16 | 99.86 | - | 17.11 | - | - | - | - | 331.03 | - |
2023-07-23 | 87.65 | - | 15.01 | - | - | - | - | 290.58 | - |
2023-07-30 | 91.98 | - | 15.76 | - | - | - | - | 304.93 | - |
2023-08-06 | 83.69 | - | 14.33 | - | - | - | - | 277.48 | - |
2023-08-13 | 91.42 | - | 15.66 | - | - | - | - | 303.10 | - |
2023-08-20 | 109.72 | - | 18.80 | - | - | - | - | 363.73 | - |
2023-08-27 | 148.71 | - | 25.49 | - | - | - | - | 492.90 | - |
2023-09-03 | 188.87 | - | 32.38 | - | - | - | - | 625.96 | - |
2023-09-10 | 243.91 | - | 41.82 | - | - | - | - | 808.32 | - |
2023-09-17 | 260.11 | - | 44.60 | - | - | - | - | 861.98 | - |
2023-09-24 | 261.17 | - | 44.78 | - | - | - | - | 865.49 | - |
2023-10-01 | 301.63 | - | 51.72 | - | - | - | - | 999.54 | - |