Prediction 659

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state AC.


Mostrar Tabela
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 24.41 - 22.82 - - - - 26.08 -
2022-07-03 22.07 - 20.59 - - - - 23.63 -
2022-07-10 20.91 - 19.49 - - - - 22.42 -
2022-07-17 22.36 - 20.87 - - - - 23.94 -
2022-07-24 19.63 - 18.26 - - - - 21.07 -
2022-07-31 20.60 - 19.19 - - - - 22.09 -
2022-08-07 18.74 - 17.42 - - - - 20.14 -
2022-08-14 20.47 - 19.07 - - - - 21.95 -
2022-08-21 24.57 - 22.97 - - - - 26.25 -
2022-08-28 33.30 - 31.31 - - - - 35.38 -
2022-09-04 42.30 - 39.92 - - - - 44.77 -
2022-09-11 54.62 - 51.73 - - - - 57.63 -
2022-09-18 58.25 - 55.21 - - - - 61.41 -
2022-09-25 58.49 - 55.44 - - - - 61.66 -
2022-10-02 67.55 - 64.13 - - - - 71.10 -
2022-10-09 66.98 - 63.59 - - - - 70.51 -
2022-10-16 73.35 - 69.69 - - - - 77.14 -
2022-10-23 72.55 - 68.93 - - - - 76.31 -
2022-10-30 75.72 - 71.97 - - - - 79.61 -
2022-11-06 82.32 - 78.30 - - - - 86.48 -
2022-11-13 92.53 - 88.10 - - - - 97.11 -
2022-11-20 100.36 - 95.63 - - - - 105.27 -
2022-11-27 104.26 - 99.36 - - - - 109.33 -
2022-12-04 112.13 - 106.92 - - - - 117.52 -
2022-12-11 109.32 - 104.23 - - - - 114.60 -
2022-12-18 106.55 - 101.57 - - - - 111.72 -
2022-12-25 93.72 - 89.37 - - - - 98.23 -
2023-01-01 748.71 - 128.42 - - - - 2480.75 -
2023-01-08 732.48 - 125.64 - - - - 2427.01 -
2023-01-15 777.62 - 133.38 - - - - 2576.55 -
2023-01-22 725.80 - 124.49 - - - - 2404.88 -
2023-01-29 777.99 - 133.45 - - - - 2577.78 -
2023-02-05 752.29 - 129.04 - - - - 2492.65 -
2023-02-12 742.13 - 127.30 - - - - 2458.99 -
2023-02-19 670.22 - 114.96 - - - - 2220.73 -
2023-02-26 665.30 - 114.11 - - - - 2204.42 -
2023-03-05 572.12 - 98.13 - - - - 1895.71 -
2023-03-12 535.70 - 91.88 - - - - 1775.05 -
2023-03-19 496.35 - 85.13 - - - - 1644.69 -
2023-03-26 414.72 - 71.12 - - - - 1374.22 -
2023-04-02 395.63 - 67.85 - - - - 1310.97 -
2023-04-09 335.04 - 57.45 - - - - 1110.23 -
2023-04-16 283.69 - 48.65 - - - - 940.10 -
2023-04-23 248.44 - 42.60 - - - - 823.31 -
2023-04-30 223.69 - 38.35 - - - - 741.33 -
2023-05-07 207.47 - 35.57 - - - - 687.58 -
2023-05-14 181.22 - 31.07 - - - - 600.62 -
2023-05-21 160.77 - 27.56 - - - - 532.84 -
2023-05-28 146.59 - 25.12 - - - - 485.87 -
2023-06-04 135.19 - 23.17 - - - - 448.12 -
2023-06-11 124.44 - 21.32 - - - - 412.47 -
2023-06-18 113.61 - 19.47 - - - - 376.60 -
2023-06-25 109.02 - 18.68 - - - - 361.39 -
2023-07-02 98.55 - 16.88 - - - - 326.69 -
2023-07-09 93.39 - 16.00 - - - - 309.63 -
2023-07-16 99.86 - 17.11 - - - - 331.03 -
2023-07-23 87.65 - 15.01 - - - - 290.58 -
2023-07-30 91.98 - 15.76 - - - - 304.93 -
2023-08-06 83.69 - 14.33 - - - - 277.48 -
2023-08-13 91.42 - 15.66 - - - - 303.10 -
2023-08-20 109.72 - 18.80 - - - - 363.73 -
2023-08-27 148.71 - 25.49 - - - - 492.90 -
2023-09-03 188.87 - 32.38 - - - - 625.96 -
2023-09-10 243.91 - 41.82 - - - - 808.32 -
2023-09-17 260.11 - 44.60 - - - - 861.98 -
2023-09-24 261.17 - 44.78 - - - - 865.49 -
2023-10-01 301.63 - 51.72 - - - - 999.54 -