Prediction 660

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state AP.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 2.76 - 2.27 - - - - 3.32 -
2022-07-03 2.80 - 2.30 - - - - 3.36 -
2022-07-10 2.48 - 2.03 - - - - 2.99 -
2022-07-17 2.45 - 2.01 - - - - 2.95 -
2022-07-24 3.03 - 2.50 - - - - 3.64 -
2022-07-31 3.76 - 3.12 - - - - 4.50 -
2022-08-07 3.97 - 3.29 - - - - 4.74 -
2022-08-14 4.11 - 3.42 - - - - 4.91 -
2022-08-21 3.83 - 3.17 - - - - 4.58 -
2022-08-28 3.48 - 2.88 - - - - 4.17 -
2022-09-04 3.47 - 2.87 - - - - 4.15 -
2022-09-11 3.39 - 2.80 - - - - 4.06 -
2022-09-18 3.73 - 3.09 - - - - 4.46 -
2022-09-25 3.74 - 3.10 - - - - 4.48 -
2022-10-02 4.00 - 3.32 - - - - 4.78 -
2022-10-09 3.69 - 3.06 - - - - 4.41 -
2022-10-16 3.66 - 3.03 - - - - 4.38 -
2022-10-23 3.40 - 2.81 - - - - 4.08 -
2022-10-30 3.67 - 3.04 - - - - 4.39 -
2022-11-06 3.34 - 2.76 - - - - 4.00 -
2022-11-13 3.05 - 2.52 - - - - 3.66 -
2022-11-20 2.38 - 1.95 - - - - 2.88 -
2022-11-27 2.03 - 1.66 - - - - 2.46 -
2022-12-04 1.93 - 1.58 - - - - 2.35 -
2022-12-11 1.91 - 1.56 - - - - 2.32 -
2022-12-18 1.46 - 1.17 - - - - 1.79 -
2022-12-25 2.00 - 1.64 - - - - 2.42 -
2023-01-01 60.58 - 1.56 - - - - 334.95 -
2023-01-08 76.33 - 1.97 - - - - 421.95 -
2023-01-15 74.13 - 1.91 - - - - 409.80 -
2023-01-22 84.54 - 2.18 - - - - 467.37 -
2023-01-29 104.27 - 2.69 - - - - 576.39 -
2023-02-05 102.04 - 2.64 - - - - 564.06 -
2023-02-12 108.23 - 2.80 - - - - 598.30 -
2023-02-19 98.42 - 2.54 - - - - 544.10 -
2023-02-26 121.27 - 3.13 - - - - 670.39 -
2023-03-05 126.55 - 3.27 - - - - 699.57 -
2023-03-12 117.19 - 3.03 - - - - 647.83 -
2023-03-19 94.08 - 2.43 - - - - 520.10 -
2023-03-26 104.07 - 2.69 - - - - 575.32 -
2023-04-02 117.08 - 3.02 - - - - 647.20 -
2023-04-09 93.46 - 2.41 - - - - 516.68 -
2023-04-16 86.34 - 2.23 - - - - 477.30 -
2023-04-23 75.61 - 1.95 - - - - 417.99 -
2023-04-30 78.91 - 2.04 - - - - 436.27 -
2023-05-07 94.32 - 2.44 - - - - 521.41 -
2023-05-14 76.56 - 1.98 - - - - 423.24 -
2023-05-21 64.76 - 1.67 - - - - 358.02 -
2023-05-28 56.64 - 1.46 - - - - 313.16 -
2023-06-04 50.79 - 1.31 - - - - 280.81 -
2023-06-11 47.93 - 1.24 - - - - 265.04 -
2023-06-18 43.02 - 1.11 - - - - 237.88 -
2023-06-25 40.17 - 1.04 - - - - 222.12 -
2023-07-02 40.72 - 1.05 - - - - 225.16 -
2023-07-09 36.07 - 0.93 - - - - 199.48 -
2023-07-16 35.64 - 0.92 - - - - 197.10 -
2023-07-23 44.09 - 1.14 - - - - 243.78 -
2023-07-30 54.76 - 1.41 - - - - 302.77 -
2023-08-06 57.79 - 1.49 - - - - 319.54 -
2023-08-13 59.88 - 1.55 - - - - 331.06 -
2023-08-20 55.74 - 1.44 - - - - 308.17 -
2023-08-27 50.64 - 1.31 - - - - 279.98 -
2023-09-03 50.48 - 1.30 - - - - 279.09 -
2023-09-10 49.30 - 1.27 - - - - 272.56 -
2023-09-17 54.30 - 1.40 - - - - 300.20 -
2023-09-24 54.49 - 1.41 - - - - 301.27 -
2023-10-01 58.29 - 1.50 - - - - 322.28 -