Prediction 662

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state RO.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 72.14 - 66.54 - - - - 78.07 -
2022-07-03 71.07 - 65.53 - - - - 76.96 -
2022-07-10 62.95 - 57.79 - - - - 68.45 -
2022-07-17 61.54 - 56.45 - - - - 66.97 -
2022-07-24 60.08 - 55.06 - - - - 65.43 -
2022-07-31 58.24 - 53.31 - - - - 63.51 -
2022-08-07 51.65 - 47.05 - - - - 56.57 -
2022-08-14 45.44 - 41.18 - - - - 50.01 -
2022-08-21 41.80 - 37.75 - - - - 46.17 -
2022-08-28 37.11 - 33.33 - - - - 41.20 -
2022-09-04 38.32 - 34.47 - - - - 42.47 -
2022-09-11 38.25 - 34.40 - - - - 42.40 -
2022-09-18 40.33 - 36.36 - - - - 44.61 -
2022-09-25 43.76 - 39.59 - - - - 48.24 -
2022-10-02 49.77 - 45.27 - - - - 54.59 -
2022-10-09 49.24 - 44.77 - - - - 54.03 -
2022-10-16 60.34 - 55.30 - - - - 65.70 -
2022-10-23 68.52 - 63.09 - - - - 74.29 -
2022-10-30 93.28 - 86.77 - - - - 100.13 -
2022-11-06 107.55 - 100.49 - - - - 114.98 -
2022-11-13 143.82 - 135.43 - - - - 152.59 -
2022-11-20 161.08 - 152.11 - - - - 170.44 -
2022-11-27 197.85 - 187.69 - - - - 208.41 -
2022-12-04 216.55 - 205.82 - - - - 227.69 -
2022-12-11 205.78 - 195.38 - - - - 216.59 -
2022-12-18 167.06 - 157.85 - - - - 176.65 -
2022-12-25 244.57 - 233.37 - - - - 256.17 -
2023-01-01 443.76 - 61.59 - - - - 1606.06 -
2023-01-08 489.53 - 67.94 - - - - 1771.72 -
2023-01-15 516.26 - 71.66 - - - - 1868.45 -
2023-01-22 476.31 - 66.11 - - - - 1723.85 -
2023-01-29 484.10 - 67.19 - - - - 1752.04 -
2023-02-05 456.64 - 63.38 - - - - 1652.67 -
2023-02-12 472.82 - 65.62 - - - - 1711.22 -
2023-02-19 384.74 - 53.40 - - - - 1392.48 -
2023-02-26 378.99 - 52.60 - - - - 1371.68 -
2023-03-05 342.64 - 47.55 - - - - 1240.15 -
2023-03-12 329.29 - 45.70 - - - - 1191.82 -
2023-03-19 273.80 - 37.99 - - - - 991.00 -
2023-03-26 256.54 - 35.60 - - - - 928.54 -
2023-04-02 252.40 - 35.02 - - - - 913.56 -
2023-04-09 224.60 - 31.16 - - - - 812.98 -
2023-04-16 191.33 - 26.54 - - - - 692.58 -
2023-04-23 157.44 - 21.84 - - - - 569.92 -
2023-04-30 159.88 - 22.18 - - - - 578.75 -
2023-05-07 152.59 - 21.17 - - - - 552.38 -
2023-05-14 121.70 - 16.88 - - - - 440.61 -
2023-05-21 101.40 - 14.06 - - - - 367.14 -
2023-05-28 95.81 - 13.28 - - - - 346.90 -
2023-06-04 83.33 - 11.55 - - - - 301.74 -
2023-06-11 74.31 - 10.30 - - - - 269.10 -
2023-06-18 72.64 - 10.07 - - - - 263.05 -
2023-06-25 55.45 - 7.68 - - - - 200.85 -
2023-07-02 54.63 - 7.56 - - - - 197.88 -
2023-07-09 48.39 - 6.70 - - - - 175.30 -
2023-07-16 47.30 - 6.55 - - - - 171.37 -
2023-07-23 46.18 - 6.39 - - - - 167.30 -
2023-07-30 44.77 - 6.20 - - - - 162.19 -
2023-08-06 39.70 - 5.49 - - - - 143.84 -
2023-08-13 34.92 - 4.83 - - - - 126.57 -
2023-08-20 32.13 - 4.44 - - - - 116.46 -
2023-08-27 28.53 - 3.94 - - - - 103.42 -
2023-09-03 29.45 - 4.07 - - - - 106.76 -
2023-09-10 29.40 - 4.06 - - - - 106.56 -
2023-09-17 31.00 - 4.29 - - - - 112.35 -
2023-09-24 33.63 - 4.65 - - - - 121.90 -
2023-10-01 38.25 - 5.29 - - - - 138.62 -