Prediction 664

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state TO.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 248.80 - 237.82 - - - - 260.15 -
2022-07-03 201.23 - 191.51 - - - - 211.30 -
2022-07-10 169.45 - 160.65 - - - - 178.60 -
2022-07-17 153.74 - 145.42 - - - - 162.40 -
2022-07-24 137.81 - 130.00 - - - - 145.97 -
2022-07-31 141.43 - 133.50 - - - - 149.71 -
2022-08-07 129.77 - 122.23 - - - - 137.66 -
2022-08-14 127.60 - 120.12 - - - - 135.41 -
2022-08-21 114.33 - 107.32 - - - - 121.68 -
2022-08-28 99.01 - 92.55 - - - - 105.79 -
2022-09-04 95.90 - 89.56 - - - - 102.56 -
2022-09-11 97.30 - 90.91 - - - - 104.02 -
2022-09-18 98.06 - 91.64 - - - - 104.81 -
2022-09-25 99.01 - 92.55 - - - - 105.79 -
2022-10-02 97.55 - 91.15 - - - - 104.28 -
2022-10-09 107.23 - 100.47 - - - - 114.32 -
2022-10-16 130.27 - 122.71 - - - - 138.18 -
2022-10-23 151.87 - 143.61 - - - - 160.47 -
2022-10-30 189.30 - 179.92 - - - - 199.03 -
2022-11-06 222.85 - 212.55 - - - - 233.51 -
2022-11-13 273.03 - 261.44 - - - - 285.00 -
2022-11-20 330.55 - 317.57 - - - - 343.91 -
2022-11-27 440.21 - 424.81 - - - - 456.03 -
2022-12-04 511.75 - 494.86 - - - - 529.06 -
2022-12-11 549.08 - 531.42 - - - - 567.16 -
2022-12-18 411.18 - 396.39 - - - - 426.37 -
2022-12-25 371.93 - 358.27 - - - - 385.96 -
2023-01-01 583.41 - 93.84 - - - - 1987.36 -
2023-01-08 646.98 - 104.07 - - - - 2203.90 -
2023-01-15 700.90 - 112.75 - - - - 2387.58 -
2023-01-22 753.99 - 121.29 - - - - 2568.40 -
2023-01-29 843.53 - 135.69 - - - - 2873.37 -
2023-02-05 862.47 - 138.74 - - - - 2937.91 -
2023-02-12 874.73 - 140.71 - - - - 2979.64 -
2023-02-19 831.11 - 133.69 - - - - 2831.06 -
2023-02-26 822.66 - 132.34 - - - - 2802.29 -
2023-03-05 770.93 - 124.01 - - - - 2626.09 -
2023-03-12 801.10 - 128.87 - - - - 2728.87 -
2023-03-19 797.04 - 128.21 - - - - 2715.04 -
2023-03-26 743.44 - 119.59 - - - - 2532.46 -
2023-04-02 773.03 - 124.35 - - - - 2633.24 -
2023-04-09 754.79 - 121.42 - - - - 2571.13 -
2023-04-16 688.21 - 110.70 - - - - 2344.35 -
2023-04-23 697.68 - 112.23 - - - - 2376.61 -
2023-04-30 682.73 - 109.82 - - - - 2325.67 -
2023-05-07 639.01 - 102.79 - - - - 2176.77 -
2023-05-14 581.20 - 93.49 - - - - 1979.87 -
2023-05-21 505.00 - 81.23 - - - - 1720.30 -
2023-05-28 431.34 - 69.37 - - - - 1469.42 -
2023-06-04 375.85 - 60.45 - - - - 1280.41 -
2023-06-11 335.03 - 53.88 - - - - 1141.37 -
2023-06-18 270.30 - 43.46 - - - - 920.88 -
2023-06-25 224.70 - 36.12 - - - - 765.60 -
2023-07-02 181.73 - 29.21 - - - - 619.24 -
2023-07-09 153.03 - 24.59 - - - - 521.49 -
2023-07-16 138.84 - 22.31 - - - - 473.15 -
2023-07-23 124.46 - 20.00 - - - - 424.17 -
2023-07-30 127.73 - 20.52 - - - - 435.31 -
2023-08-06 117.20 - 18.83 - - - - 399.45 -
2023-08-13 115.24 - 18.51 - - - - 392.75 -
2023-08-20 103.26 - 16.59 - - - - 351.95 -
2023-08-27 89.42 - 14.36 - - - - 304.80 -
2023-09-03 86.61 - 13.91 - - - - 295.24 -
2023-09-10 87.87 - 14.11 - - - - 299.55 -
2023-09-17 88.56 - 14.22 - - - - 301.90 -
2023-09-24 89.42 - 14.36 - - - - 304.80 -
2023-10-01 88.10 - 14.15 - - - - 300.32 -
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