Prediction 665

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state CE.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 911.09 - 893.50 - - - - 928.92 -
2022-07-03 857.36 - 840.49 - - - - 874.49 -
2022-07-10 756.38 - 740.86 - - - - 772.14 -
2022-07-17 671.46 - 657.10 - - - - 686.04 -
2022-07-24 595.46 - 582.17 - - - - 608.97 -
2022-07-31 561.22 - 548.42 - - - - 574.24 -
2022-08-07 513.67 - 501.57 - - - - 525.99 -
2022-08-14 459.58 - 448.29 - - - - 471.08 -
2022-08-21 389.81 - 379.59 - - - - 400.22 -
2022-08-28 324.48 - 315.32 - - - - 333.82 -
2022-09-04 300.37 - 291.63 - - - - 309.31 -
2022-09-11 274.96 - 266.66 - - - - 283.45 -
2022-09-18 272.81 - 264.55 - - - - 281.26 -
2022-09-25 249.88 - 242.03 - - - - 257.92 -
2022-10-02 229.95 - 222.48 - - - - 237.62 -
2022-10-09 220.31 - 213.01 - - - - 227.79 -
2022-10-16 189.55 - 182.85 - - - - 196.42 -
2022-10-23 174.19 - 167.81 - - - - 180.75 -
2022-10-30 184.81 - 178.21 - - - - 191.58 -
2022-11-06 209.28 - 202.19 - - - - 216.54 -
2022-11-13 213.78 - 206.61 - - - - 221.14 -
2022-11-20 224.16 - 216.79 - - - - 231.71 -
2022-11-27 244.02 - 236.28 - - - - 251.94 -
2022-12-04 251.10 - 243.23 - - - - 259.16 -
2022-12-11 219.80 - 212.52 - - - - 227.27 -
2022-12-18 194.14 - 187.36 - - - - 201.11 -
2022-12-25 185.49 - 179.10 - - - - 192.05 -
2023-01-01 439.53 - 110.84 - - - - 1209.40 -
2023-01-08 500.70 - 126.28 - - - - 1377.69 -
2023-01-15 607.31 - 153.17 - - - - 1670.98 -
2023-01-22 709.72 - 179.01 - - - - 1952.71 -
2023-01-29 885.81 - 223.43 - - - - 2437.14 -
2023-02-05 963.37 - 243.00 - - - - 2650.51 -
2023-02-12 1074.16 - 270.95 - - - - 2955.32 -
2023-02-19 1146.42 - 289.18 - - - - 3154.11 -
2023-02-26 1335.50 - 336.88 - - - - 3674.27 -
2023-03-05 1529.08 - 385.72 - - - - 4206.83 -
2023-03-12 1657.74 - 418.18 - - - - 4560.79 -
2023-03-19 1733.43 - 437.27 - - - - 4769.01 -
2023-03-26 1961.93 - 494.92 - - - - 5397.64 -
2023-04-02 2420.34 - 610.56 - - - - 6658.75 -
2023-04-09 2630.50 - 663.59 - - - - 7236.93 -
2023-04-16 2688.29 - 678.16 - - - - 7395.90 -
2023-04-23 2734.45 - 689.81 - - - - 7522.88 -
2023-04-30 2860.78 - 721.68 - - - - 7870.44 -
2023-05-07 3063.67 - 772.87 - - - - 8428.61 -
2023-05-14 3015.88 - 760.81 - - - - 8297.12 -
2023-05-21 2516.98 - 634.95 - - - - 6924.63 -
2023-05-28 2184.19 - 550.99 - - - - 6009.09 -
2023-06-04 2019.04 - 509.33 - - - - 5554.75 -
2023-06-11 1811.78 - 457.04 - - - - 4984.57 -
2023-06-18 1549.46 - 390.86 - - - - 4262.90 -
2023-06-25 1311.48 - 330.82 - - - - 3608.23 -
2023-07-02 1234.15 - 311.31 - - - - 3395.48 -
2023-07-09 1088.79 - 274.64 - - - - 2995.59 -
2023-07-16 966.54 - 243.80 - - - - 2659.27 -
2023-07-23 857.15 - 216.20 - - - - 2358.32 -
2023-07-30 807.86 - 203.76 - - - - 2222.72 -
2023-08-06 739.41 - 186.50 - - - - 2034.41 -
2023-08-13 661.55 - 166.85 - - - - 1820.21 -
2023-08-20 561.12 - 141.52 - - - - 1543.91 -
2023-08-27 467.07 - 117.79 - - - - 1285.19 -
2023-09-03 432.38 - 109.04 - - - - 1189.74 -
2023-09-10 395.80 - 99.81 - - - - 1089.10 -
2023-09-17 392.70 - 99.03 - - - - 1080.58 -
2023-09-24 359.70 - 90.70 - - - - 989.79 -
2023-10-01 331.01 - 83.47 - - - - 910.88 -