Prediction 666

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state AL.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 883.87 - 859.01 - - - - 909.26 -
2022-07-03 838.64 - 814.61 - - - - 863.19 -
2022-07-10 828.66 - 804.82 - - - - 853.03 -
2022-07-17 772.07 - 749.28 - - - - 795.36 -
2022-07-24 728.98 - 707.01 - - - - 751.45 -
2022-07-31 645.88 - 625.53 - - - - 666.72 -
2022-08-07 601.09 - 581.64 - - - - 621.02 -
2022-08-14 573.95 - 555.04 - - - - 593.33 -
2022-08-21 498.54 - 481.20 - - - - 516.33 -
2022-08-28 483.78 - 466.76 - - - - 501.25 -
2022-09-04 456.88 - 440.44 - - - - 473.76 -
2022-09-11 396.61 - 381.50 - - - - 412.14 -
2022-09-18 412.21 - 396.77 - - - - 428.09 -
2022-09-25 387.69 - 372.82 - - - - 403.00 -
2022-10-02 356.45 - 342.31 - - - - 371.02 -
2022-10-09 340.38 - 326.61 - - - - 354.56 -
2022-10-16 364.67 - 350.33 - - - - 379.44 -
2022-10-23 345.19 - 331.32 - - - - 359.48 -
2022-10-30 345.88 - 331.97 - - - - 360.21 -
2022-11-06 405.12 - 389.84 - - - - 420.86 -
2022-11-13 405.90 - 390.58 - - - - 421.67 -
2022-11-20 327.77 - 314.30 - - - - 341.65 -
2022-11-27 310.24 - 297.23 - - - - 323.66 -
2022-12-04 293.17 - 280.60 - - - - 306.16 -
2022-12-11 282.34 - 270.01 - - - - 295.11 -
2022-12-18 214.58 - 204.09 - - - - 225.44 -
2022-12-25 199.61 - 189.84 - - - - 209.71 -
2023-01-01 186.02 - 12.72 - - - - 850.46 -
2023-01-08 215.12 - 14.71 - - - - 983.49 -
2023-01-15 228.43 - 15.62 - - - - 1044.31 -
2023-01-22 239.39 - 16.37 - - - - 1094.40 -
2023-01-29 264.38 - 18.07 - - - - 1208.68 -
2023-02-05 295.21 - 20.18 - - - - 1349.57 -
2023-02-12 330.85 - 22.62 - - - - 1512.48 -
2023-02-19 363.43 - 24.85 - - - - 1661.41 -
2023-02-26 440.40 - 30.11 - - - - 2013.24 -
2023-03-05 518.04 - 35.42 - - - - 2368.14 -
2023-03-12 544.22 - 37.21 - - - - 2487.84 -
2023-03-19 640.83 - 43.82 - - - - 2929.46 -
2023-03-26 667.01 - 45.61 - - - - 3049.12 -
2023-04-02 712.48 - 48.72 - - - - 3256.96 -
2023-04-09 738.70 - 50.52 - - - - 3376.83 -
2023-04-16 768.94 - 52.58 - - - - 3515.03 -
2023-04-23 804.65 - 55.03 - - - - 3678.28 -
2023-04-30 930.40 - 63.63 - - - - 4253.08 -
2023-05-07 997.06 - 68.19 - - - - 4557.82 -
2023-05-14 1026.58 - 70.21 - - - - 4692.76 -
2023-05-21 967.97 - 66.20 - - - - 4424.84 -
2023-05-28 955.90 - 65.37 - - - - 4369.67 -
2023-06-04 919.48 - 62.88 - - - - 4203.16 -
2023-06-11 889.60 - 60.84 - - - - 4066.58 -
2023-06-18 806.93 - 55.18 - - - - 3688.68 -
2023-06-25 692.42 - 47.35 - - - - 3165.31 -
2023-07-02 656.99 - 44.93 - - - - 3003.34 -
2023-07-09 649.17 - 44.39 - - - - 2967.59 -
2023-07-16 604.84 - 41.36 - - - - 2764.94 -
2023-07-23 571.08 - 39.05 - - - - 2610.64 -
2023-07-30 505.98 - 34.60 - - - - 2313.07 -
2023-08-06 470.89 - 32.20 - - - - 2152.66 -
2023-08-13 449.63 - 30.74 - - - - 2055.46 -
2023-08-20 390.55 - 26.70 - - - - 1785.42 -
2023-08-27 378.99 - 25.91 - - - - 1732.56 -
2023-09-03 357.92 - 24.47 - - - - 1636.23 -
2023-09-10 310.70 - 21.24 - - - - 1420.43 -
2023-09-17 322.92 - 22.08 - - - - 1476.28 -
2023-09-24 303.71 - 20.76 - - - - 1388.47 -
2023-10-01 279.24 - 19.09 - - - - 1276.61 -