Prediction 667

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state BA.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 557.26 - 544.90 - - - - 569.82 -
2022-07-03 586.25 - 573.48 - - - - 599.23 -
2022-07-10 550.73 - 538.47 - - - - 563.20 -
2022-07-17 473.18 - 462.05 - - - - 484.50 -
2022-07-24 406.23 - 396.12 - - - - 416.52 -
2022-07-31 366.23 - 356.75 - - - - 375.89 -
2022-08-07 325.79 - 316.96 - - - - 334.80 -
2022-08-14 281.75 - 273.66 - - - - 290.01 -
2022-08-21 250.74 - 243.19 - - - - 258.46 -
2022-08-28 236.46 - 229.17 - - - - 243.92 -
2022-09-04 231.33 - 224.13 - - - - 238.69 -
2022-09-11 221.01 - 214.00 - - - - 228.19 -
2022-09-18 208.44 - 201.67 - - - - 215.38 -
2022-09-25 199.24 - 192.64 - - - - 206.00 -
2022-10-02 188.91 - 182.51 - - - - 195.47 -
2022-10-09 178.88 - 172.68 - - - - 185.24 -
2022-10-16 185.52 - 179.19 - - - - 192.02 -
2022-10-23 173.00 - 166.92 - - - - 179.25 -
2022-10-30 184.99 - 178.67 - - - - 191.47 -
2022-11-06 201.16 - 194.53 - - - - 207.96 -
2022-11-13 208.63 - 201.85 - - - - 215.57 -
2022-11-20 233.97 - 226.72 - - - - 241.38 -
2022-11-27 258.88 - 251.19 - - - - 266.75 -
2022-12-04 276.49 - 268.49 - - - - 284.67 -
2022-12-11 260.26 - 252.54 - - - - 268.14 -
2022-12-18 229.16 - 222.00 - - - - 236.48 -
2022-12-25 225.66 - 218.95 - - - - 232.52 -
2023-01-01 657.45 - 131.11 - - - - 2033.86 -
2023-01-08 798.60 - 159.26 - - - - 2470.46 -
2023-01-15 888.28 - 177.15 - - - - 2747.86 -
2023-01-22 1052.34 - 209.88 - - - - 3255.33 -
2023-01-29 1260.86 - 251.47 - - - - 3900.35 -
2023-02-05 1481.32 - 295.44 - - - - 4582.27 -
2023-02-12 1858.33 - 370.64 - - - - 5748.46 -
2023-02-19 2090.70 - 417.00 - - - - 6467.24 -
2023-02-26 2267.99 - 452.36 - - - - 7015.65 -
2023-03-05 2436.40 - 485.95 - - - - 7536.55 -
2023-03-12 2548.36 - 508.28 - - - - 7882.88 -
2023-03-19 2548.43 - 508.30 - - - - 7883.10 -
2023-03-26 2388.08 - 476.31 - - - - 7387.10 -
2023-04-02 2563.48 - 511.30 - - - - 7929.64 -
2023-04-09 2506.43 - 499.92 - - - - 7753.17 -
2023-04-16 2419.69 - 482.62 - - - - 7484.89 -
2023-04-23 2375.20 - 473.74 - - - - 7347.26 -
2023-04-30 2394.85 - 477.66 - - - - 7408.04 -
2023-05-07 2372.58 - 473.22 - - - - 7339.14 -
2023-05-14 2204.43 - 439.68 - - - - 6819.02 -
2023-05-21 1956.26 - 390.18 - - - - 6051.39 -
2023-05-28 1799.31 - 358.87 - - - - 5565.90 -
2023-06-04 1580.31 - 315.19 - - - - 4888.49 -
2023-06-11 1280.03 - 255.29 - - - - 3959.64 -
2023-06-18 992.48 - 197.94 - - - - 3070.18 -
2023-06-25 920.41 - 183.56 - - - - 2847.25 -
2023-07-02 968.29 - 193.11 - - - - 2995.37 -
2023-07-09 909.63 - 181.41 - - - - 2813.91 -
2023-07-16 781.53 - 155.86 - - - - 2417.69 -
2023-07-23 670.95 - 133.80 - - - - 2075.63 -
2023-07-30 604.89 - 120.62 - - - - 1871.28 -
2023-08-06 538.09 - 107.30 - - - - 1664.67 -
2023-08-13 465.35 - 92.79 - - - - 1439.66 -
2023-08-20 414.14 - 82.58 - - - - 1281.25 -
2023-08-27 390.56 - 77.87 - - - - 1208.32 -
2023-09-03 382.08 - 76.18 - - - - 1182.07 -
2023-09-10 365.04 - 72.78 - - - - 1129.37 -
2023-09-17 344.28 - 68.64 - - - - 1065.15 -
2023-09-24 329.07 - 65.61 - - - - 1018.12 -
2023-10-01 312.02 - 62.21 - - - - 965.36 -