Prediction 668
Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
---|---|
Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state MA.
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date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-06-26 | 66.54 | - | 62.34 | - | - | - | - | 70.94 | - |
2022-07-03 | 65.27 | - | 61.13 | - | - | - | - | 69.62 | - |
2022-07-10 | 65.72 | - | 61.56 | - | - | - | - | 70.09 | - |
2022-07-17 | 64.69 | - | 60.56 | - | - | - | - | 69.01 | - |
2022-07-24 | 58.30 | - | 54.44 | - | - | - | - | 62.37 | - |
2022-07-31 | 66.60 | - | 62.40 | - | - | - | - | 71.00 | - |
2022-08-07 | 75.48 | - | 70.93 | - | - | - | - | 80.24 | - |
2022-08-14 | 72.17 | - | 67.75 | - | - | - | - | 76.80 | - |
2022-08-21 | 66.50 | - | 62.30 | - | - | - | - | 70.90 | - |
2022-08-28 | 50.97 | - | 47.41 | - | - | - | - | 54.71 | - |
2022-09-04 | 49.03 | - | 45.56 | - | - | - | - | 52.68 | - |
2022-09-11 | 40.68 | - | 37.60 | - | - | - | - | 43.96 | - |
2022-09-18 | 35.24 | - | 32.41 | - | - | - | - | 38.24 | - |
2022-09-25 | 27.22 | - | 24.80 | - | - | - | - | 29.80 | - |
2022-10-02 | 26.74 | - | 24.35 | - | - | - | - | 29.29 | - |
2022-10-09 | 25.32 | - | 23.01 | - | - | - | - | 27.79 | - |
2022-10-16 | 25.82 | - | 23.49 | - | - | - | - | 28.33 | - |
2022-10-23 | 23.01 | - | 20.83 | - | - | - | - | 25.36 | - |
2022-10-30 | 27.40 | - | 24.97 | - | - | - | - | 30.00 | - |
2022-11-06 | 25.22 | - | 22.91 | - | - | - | - | 27.69 | - |
2022-11-13 | 29.50 | - | 26.96 | - | - | - | - | 32.21 | - |
2022-11-20 | 29.97 | - | 27.41 | - | - | - | - | 32.70 | - |
2022-11-27 | 32.70 | - | 30.00 | - | - | - | - | 35.58 | - |
2022-12-04 | 39.68 | - | 36.63 | - | - | - | - | 42.91 | - |
2022-12-11 | 34.98 | - | 32.17 | - | - | - | - | 37.97 | - |
2022-12-18 | 31.90 | - | 29.24 | - | - | - | - | 34.73 | - |
2022-12-25 | 34.08 | - | 31.35 | - | - | - | - | 36.98 | - |
2023-01-01 | 93.40 | - | 12.32 | - | - | - | - | 344.78 | - |
2023-01-08 | 148.86 | - | 19.65 | - | - | - | - | 549.37 | - |
2023-01-15 | 193.83 | - | 25.59 | - | - | - | - | 715.31 | - |
2023-01-22 | 216.20 | - | 28.55 | - | - | - | - | 797.83 | - |
2023-01-29 | 239.81 | - | 31.67 | - | - | - | - | 884.95 | - |
2023-02-05 | 322.55 | - | 42.60 | - | - | - | - | 1190.21 | - |
2023-02-12 | 380.61 | - | 50.27 | - | - | - | - | 1404.38 | - |
2023-02-19 | 376.75 | - | 49.76 | - | - | - | - | 1390.14 | - |
2023-02-26 | 437.13 | - | 57.74 | - | - | - | - | 1612.93 | - |
2023-03-05 | 434.88 | - | 57.44 | - | - | - | - | 1604.61 | - |
2023-03-12 | 427.51 | - | 56.47 | - | - | - | - | 1577.44 | - |
2023-03-19 | 387.89 | - | 51.23 | - | - | - | - | 1431.25 | - |
2023-03-26 | 393.09 | - | 51.92 | - | - | - | - | 1450.45 | - |
2023-04-02 | 357.22 | - | 47.18 | - | - | - | - | 1318.12 | - |
2023-04-09 | 341.38 | - | 45.09 | - | - | - | - | 1259.67 | - |
2023-04-16 | 371.26 | - | 49.04 | - | - | - | - | 1369.92 | - |
2023-04-23 | 345.63 | - | 45.65 | - | - | - | - | 1275.34 | - |
2023-04-30 | 274.62 | - | 36.27 | - | - | - | - | 1013.38 | - |
2023-05-07 | 237.34 | - | 31.34 | - | - | - | - | 875.82 | - |
2023-05-14 | 234.00 | - | 30.90 | - | - | - | - | 863.51 | - |
2023-05-21 | 198.90 | - | 26.26 | - | - | - | - | 734.01 | - |
2023-05-28 | 176.06 | - | 23.24 | - | - | - | - | 649.72 | - |
2023-06-04 | 170.36 | - | 22.49 | - | - | - | - | 628.70 | - |
2023-06-11 | 151.11 | - | 19.95 | - | - | - | - | 557.69 | - |
2023-06-18 | 129.39 | - | 17.08 | - | - | - | - | 477.55 | - |
2023-06-25 | 99.64 | - | 13.15 | - | - | - | - | 367.81 | - |
2023-07-02 | 97.74 | - | 12.90 | - | - | - | - | 360.81 | - |
2023-07-09 | 98.42 | - | 12.98 | - | - | - | - | 363.28 | - |
2023-07-16 | 96.87 | - | 12.78 | - | - | - | - | 357.57 | - |
2023-07-23 | 87.31 | - | 11.52 | - | - | - | - | 322.30 | - |
2023-07-30 | 99.73 | - | 13.16 | - | - | - | - | 368.12 | - |
2023-08-06 | 113.03 | - | 14.92 | - | - | - | - | 417.20 | - |
2023-08-13 | 108.07 | - | 14.26 | - | - | - | - | 398.91 | - |
2023-08-20 | 99.58 | - | 13.14 | - | - | - | - | 367.58 | - |
2023-08-27 | 76.32 | - | 10.07 | - | - | - | - | 281.76 | - |
2023-09-03 | 73.41 | - | 9.68 | - | - | - | - | 271.04 | - |
2023-09-10 | 60.92 | - | 8.03 | - | - | - | - | 224.95 | - |
2023-09-17 | 52.77 | - | 6.95 | - | - | - | - | 194.86 | - |
2023-09-24 | 40.75 | - | 5.37 | - | - | - | - | 150.54 | - |
2023-10-01 | 40.04 | - | 5.27 | - | - | - | - | 147.90 | - |