Prediction 669

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state PB.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 659.74 - 638.78 - - - - 681.21 -
2022-07-03 657.87 - 636.94 - - - - 679.31 -
2022-07-10 606.13 - 586.23 - - - - 626.52 -
2022-07-17 581.28 - 561.89 - - - - 601.16 -
2022-07-24 487.86 - 470.43 - - - - 505.76 -
2022-07-31 449.19 - 432.61 - - - - 466.23 -
2022-08-07 427.55 - 411.46 - - - - 444.10 -
2022-08-14 420.14 - 404.21 - - - - 436.53 -
2022-08-21 356.95 - 342.49 - - - - 371.85 -
2022-08-28 338.75 - 324.74 - - - - 353.20 -
2022-09-04 308.54 - 295.28 - - - - 322.23 -
2022-09-11 278.61 - 266.13 - - - - 291.53 -
2022-09-18 253.66 - 241.84 - - - - 265.90 -
2022-09-25 218.46 - 207.61 - - - - 229.71 -
2022-10-02 224.51 - 213.50 - - - - 235.94 -
2022-10-09 197.94 - 187.71 - - - - 208.57 -
2022-10-16 189.52 - 179.56 - - - - 199.90 -
2022-10-23 162.38 - 153.27 - - - - 171.88 -
2022-10-30 157.67 - 148.72 - - - - 167.00 -
2022-11-06 156.11 - 147.21 - - - - 165.39 -
2022-11-13 162.88 - 153.76 - - - - 172.39 -
2022-11-20 166.50 - 157.25 - - - - 176.14 -
2022-11-27 192.13 - 182.08 - - - - 202.58 -
2022-12-04 249.89 - 238.14 - - - - 262.09 -
2022-12-11 240.41 - 228.96 - - - - 252.29 -
2022-12-18 231.15 - 219.95 - - - - 242.78 -
2022-12-25 183.08 - 173.45 - - - - 193.05 -
2023-01-01 149.56 - 32.24 - - - - 445.68 -
2023-01-08 165.31 - 35.63 - - - - 492.60 -
2023-01-15 204.65 - 44.12 - - - - 609.78 -
2023-01-22 240.51 - 51.86 - - - - 716.60 -
2023-01-29 286.22 - 61.72 - - - - 852.75 -
2023-02-05 312.10 - 67.30 - - - - 929.84 -
2023-02-12 393.27 - 84.81 - - - - 1171.62 -
2023-02-19 396.14 - 85.43 - - - - 1180.17 -
2023-02-26 495.71 - 106.92 - - - - 1476.77 -
2023-03-05 541.93 - 116.89 - - - - 1614.43 -
2023-03-12 556.36 - 120.00 - - - - 1657.40 -
2023-03-19 535.81 - 115.57 - - - - 1596.19 -
2023-03-26 561.85 - 121.18 - - - - 1673.78 -
2023-04-02 608.02 - 131.15 - - - - 1811.30 -
2023-04-09 622.04 - 134.17 - - - - 1853.04 -
2023-04-16 626.99 - 135.24 - - - - 1867.80 -
2023-04-23 627.25 - 135.29 - - - - 1868.56 -
2023-04-30 715.78 - 154.39 - - - - 2132.28 -
2023-05-07 759.14 - 163.75 - - - - 2261.44 -
2023-05-14 781.12 - 168.49 - - - - 2326.90 -
2023-05-21 671.52 - 144.84 - - - - 2000.43 -
2023-05-28 661.14 - 142.60 - - - - 1969.51 -
2023-06-04 604.28 - 130.34 - - - - 1800.14 -
2023-06-11 520.32 - 112.22 - - - - 1550.07 -
2023-06-18 464.27 - 100.13 - - - - 1383.11 -
2023-06-25 417.49 - 90.03 - - - - 1243.79 -
2023-07-02 416.30 - 89.78 - - - - 1240.26 -
2023-07-09 383.56 - 82.72 - - - - 1142.74 -
2023-07-16 367.84 - 79.32 - - - - 1095.90 -
2023-07-23 308.72 - 66.57 - - - - 919.81 -
2023-07-30 284.25 - 61.29 - - - - 846.92 -
2023-08-06 270.55 - 58.33 - - - - 806.12 -
2023-08-13 265.87 - 57.32 - - - - 792.16 -
2023-08-20 225.88 - 48.70 - - - - 673.04 -
2023-08-27 214.36 - 46.21 - - - - 638.74 -
2023-09-03 195.24 - 42.09 - - - - 581.80 -
2023-09-10 176.31 - 38.00 - - - - 525.39 -
2023-09-17 160.52 - 34.60 - - - - 478.35 -
2023-09-24 138.24 - 29.79 - - - - 412.00 -
2023-10-01 142.07 - 30.62 - - - - 423.41 -