Prediction 671

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state PI.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 922.53 - 885.73 - - - - 960.46 -
2022-07-03 824.38 - 789.86 - - - - 860.00 -
2022-07-10 698.78 - 667.37 - - - - 731.26 -
2022-07-17 670.57 - 639.90 - - - - 702.33 -
2022-07-24 571.71 - 543.69 - - - - 600.76 -
2022-07-31 515.32 - 488.92 - - - - 542.77 -
2022-08-07 441.64 - 417.45 - - - - 466.84 -
2022-08-14 370.63 - 348.72 - - - - 393.52 -
2022-08-21 362.43 - 340.82 - - - - 385.07 -
2022-08-28 305.00 - 285.41 - - - - 325.55 -
2022-09-04 271.71 - 253.40 - - - - 291.00 -
2022-09-11 234.61 - 217.76 - - - - 252.37 -
2022-09-18 226.85 - 210.33 - - - - 244.34 -
2022-09-25 182.19 - 167.66 - - - - 197.60 -
2022-10-02 160.91 - 147.42 - - - - 175.27 -
2022-10-09 150.10 - 137.17 - - - - 163.91 -
2022-10-16 138.76 - 126.42 - - - - 151.96 -
2022-10-23 131.90 - 119.91 - - - - 144.72 -
2022-10-30 141.16 - 128.69 - - - - 154.49 -
2022-11-06 154.05 - 140.91 - - - - 168.07 -
2022-11-13 166.31 - 152.57 - - - - 180.97 -
2022-11-20 169.46 - 155.54 - - - - 184.25 -
2022-11-27 189.19 - 174.36 - - - - 204.97 -
2022-12-04 191.62 - 176.67 - - - - 207.50 -
2022-12-11 182.94 - 168.40 - - - - 198.40 -
2022-12-18 172.20 - 158.17 - - - - 187.14 -
2022-12-25 150.27 - 137.48 - - - - 163.75 -
2023-01-01 75.88 - 12.21 - - - - 258.43 -
2023-01-08 93.96 - 15.12 - - - - 319.97 -
2023-01-15 99.13 - 15.96 - - - - 337.58 -
2023-01-22 118.80 - 19.13 - - - - 404.53 -
2023-01-29 148.81 - 23.96 - - - - 506.66 -
2023-02-05 163.43 - 26.32 - - - - 556.42 -
2023-02-12 178.93 - 28.82 - - - - 609.19 -
2023-02-19 185.53 - 29.88 - - - - 631.65 -
2023-02-26 215.68 - 34.74 - - - - 734.27 -
2023-03-05 267.78 - 43.14 - - - - 911.58 -
2023-03-12 341.39 - 55.00 - - - - 1162.12 -
2023-03-19 411.32 - 66.28 - - - - 1400.13 -
2023-03-26 455.30 - 73.37 - - - - 1549.82 -
2023-04-02 515.38 - 83.05 - - - - 1754.31 -
2023-04-09 557.20 - 89.79 - - - - 1896.62 -
2023-04-16 601.77 - 96.97 - - - - 2048.31 -
2023-04-23 608.98 - 98.14 - - - - 2072.87 -
2023-04-30 580.74 - 93.58 - - - - 1976.75 -
2023-05-07 592.67 - 95.51 - - - - 2017.35 -
2023-05-14 548.81 - 88.44 - - - - 1868.08 -
2023-05-21 457.87 - 73.78 - - - - 1558.55 -
2023-05-28 423.98 - 68.32 - - - - 1443.20 -
2023-06-04 372.69 - 60.05 - - - - 1268.66 -
2023-06-11 338.67 - 54.57 - - - - 1152.85 -
2023-06-18 292.73 - 47.16 - - - - 996.49 -
2023-06-25 280.73 - 45.22 - - - - 955.73 -
2023-07-02 250.86 - 40.41 - - - - 854.07 -
2023-07-09 212.64 - 34.25 - - - - 723.99 -
2023-07-16 204.06 - 32.86 - - - - 694.77 -
2023-07-23 173.97 - 28.01 - - - - 592.37 -
2023-07-30 156.81 - 25.25 - - - - 533.97 -
2023-08-06 134.39 - 21.63 - - - - 457.66 -
2023-08-13 112.78 - 18.15 - - - - 384.11 -
2023-08-20 110.29 - 17.75 - - - - 375.62 -
2023-08-27 92.81 - 14.93 - - - - 316.13 -
2023-09-03 82.68 - 13.30 - - - - 281.66 -
2023-09-10 71.39 - 11.48 - - - - 243.22 -
2023-09-17 69.03 - 11.10 - - - - 235.19 -
2023-09-24 55.44 - 8.91 - - - - 188.92 -
2023-10-01 48.97 - 7.87 - - - - 166.88 -