Prediction 672

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state RN.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 784.06 - 762.34 - - - - 806.23 -
2022-07-03 785.65 - 763.92 - - - - 807.83 -
2022-07-10 762.40 - 741.06 - - - - 784.19 -
2022-07-17 721.95 - 701.30 - - - - 743.04 -
2022-07-24 633.32 - 614.23 - - - - 652.84 -
2022-07-31 590.86 - 572.54 - - - - 609.61 -
2022-08-07 583.25 - 565.07 - - - - 601.86 -
2022-08-14 494.17 - 477.68 - - - - 511.07 -
2022-08-21 439.10 - 423.71 - - - - 454.90 -
2022-08-28 370.88 - 356.91 - - - - 385.24 -
2022-09-04 353.19 - 339.62 - - - - 367.16 -
2022-09-11 318.14 - 305.36 - - - - 331.32 -
2022-09-18 281.88 - 269.95 - - - - 294.20 -
2022-09-25 237.09 - 226.27 - - - - 248.29 -
2022-10-02 241.05 - 230.14 - - - - 252.35 -
2022-10-09 241.48 - 230.55 - - - - 252.78 -
2022-10-16 239.51 - 228.63 - - - - 250.77 -
2022-10-23 204.50 - 194.55 - - - - 214.81 -
2022-10-30 193.48 - 183.82 - - - - 203.48 -
2022-11-06 224.31 - 213.83 - - - - 235.17 -
2022-11-13 223.35 - 212.90 - - - - 234.18 -
2022-11-20 226.02 - 215.50 - - - - 236.92 -
2022-11-27 242.29 - 231.34 - - - - 253.62 -
2022-12-04 228.29 - 217.71 - - - - 239.25 -
2022-12-11 225.40 - 214.90 - - - - 236.28 -
2022-12-18 213.39 - 203.21 - - - - 223.95 -
2022-12-25 201.45 - 191.80 - - - - 211.43 -
2023-01-01 227.19 - 31.59 - - - - 821.62 -
2023-01-08 257.94 - 35.87 - - - - 932.79 -
2023-01-15 318.91 - 44.36 - - - - 1153.25 -
2023-01-22 390.76 - 54.36 - - - - 1413.04 -
2023-01-29 523.29 - 72.80 - - - - 1892.22 -
2023-02-05 664.32 - 92.42 - - - - 2402.11 -
2023-02-12 830.45 - 115.54 - - - - 3002.79 -
2023-02-19 892.87 - 124.22 - - - - 3228.48 -
2023-02-26 1040.41 - 144.75 - - - - 3761.94 -
2023-03-05 1025.69 - 142.70 - - - - 3708.68 -
2023-03-12 1059.46 - 147.40 - - - - 3830.81 -
2023-03-19 987.79 - 137.43 - - - - 3571.68 -
2023-03-26 914.41 - 127.22 - - - - 3306.37 -
2023-04-02 1065.29 - 148.22 - - - - 3851.89 -
2023-04-09 1112.03 - 154.72 - - - - 4020.86 -
2023-04-16 1105.77 - 153.85 - - - - 3998.24 -
2023-04-23 1094.31 - 152.25 - - - - 3956.79 -
2023-04-30 1118.28 - 155.59 - - - - 4043.47 -
2023-05-07 1078.97 - 150.12 - - - - 3901.33 -
2023-05-14 1118.15 - 155.57 - - - - 4043.01 -
2023-05-21 1012.36 - 140.85 - - - - 3660.49 -
2023-05-28 952.48 - 132.52 - - - - 3443.98 -
2023-06-04 916.81 - 127.56 - - - - 3315.04 -
2023-06-11 810.08 - 112.70 - - - - 2929.13 -
2023-06-18 743.87 - 103.49 - - - - 2689.75 -
2023-06-25 584.49 - 81.31 - - - - 2113.50 -
2023-07-02 585.67 - 81.47 - - - - 2117.78 -
2023-07-09 568.34 - 79.06 - - - - 2055.12 -
2023-07-16 538.19 - 74.87 - - - - 1946.09 -
2023-07-23 472.11 - 65.67 - - - - 1707.20 -
2023-07-30 440.46 - 61.27 - - - - 1592.77 -
2023-08-06 434.79 - 60.48 - - - - 1572.23 -
2023-08-13 368.38 - 51.24 - - - - 1332.14 -
2023-08-20 327.33 - 45.53 - - - - 1183.72 -
2023-08-27 276.48 - 38.45 - - - - 999.84 -
2023-09-03 263.29 - 36.62 - - - - 952.17 -
2023-09-10 237.16 - 32.98 - - - - 857.70 -
2023-09-17 210.13 - 29.22 - - - - 759.96 -
2023-09-24 176.74 - 24.57 - - - - 639.25 -
2023-10-01 179.70 - 24.98 - - - - 649.92 -