Prediction 673

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state SE.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 96.87 - 90.76 - - - - 103.28 -
2022-07-03 109.11 - 102.43 - - - - 116.11 -
2022-07-10 104.44 - 97.98 - - - - 111.21 -
2022-07-17 99.28 - 93.05 - - - - 105.80 -
2022-07-24 101.29 - 94.98 - - - - 107.92 -
2022-07-31 96.34 - 90.26 - - - - 102.73 -
2022-08-07 88.67 - 82.94 - - - - 94.68 -
2022-08-14 85.42 - 79.85 - - - - 91.27 -
2022-08-21 77.93 - 72.72 - - - - 83.41 -
2022-08-28 70.60 - 65.73 - - - - 75.72 -
2022-09-04 76.42 - 71.28 - - - - 81.82 -
2022-09-11 80.01 - 74.70 - - - - 85.60 -
2022-09-18 78.96 - 73.69 - - - - 84.51 -
2022-09-25 64.55 - 59.98 - - - - 69.36 -
2022-10-02 63.90 - 59.38 - - - - 68.68 -
2022-10-09 57.40 - 53.21 - - - - 61.83 -
2022-10-16 57.56 - 53.36 - - - - 62.00 -
2022-10-23 56.78 - 52.61 - - - - 61.18 -
2022-10-30 64.95 - 60.38 - - - - 69.77 -
2022-11-06 76.68 - 71.51 - - - - 82.12 -
2022-11-13 71.33 - 66.42 - - - - 76.50 -
2022-11-20 84.15 - 78.63 - - - - 89.97 -
2022-11-27 77.75 - 72.54 - - - - 83.23 -
2022-12-04 64.70 - 60.14 - - - - 69.51 -
2022-12-11 60.04 - 55.71 - - - - 64.63 -
2022-12-18 44.29 - 40.78 - - - - 48.00 -
2022-12-25 37.74 - 34.61 - - - - 41.04 -
2023-01-01 72.61 - 5.45 - - - - 323.47 -
2023-01-08 71.11 - 5.34 - - - - 316.81 -
2023-01-15 79.24 - 5.95 - - - - 352.98 -
2023-01-22 92.90 - 6.98 - - - - 413.84 -
2023-01-29 96.59 - 7.25 - - - - 430.26 -
2023-02-05 118.58 - 8.91 - - - - 528.21 -
2023-02-12 119.72 - 8.99 - - - - 533.28 -
2023-02-19 130.86 - 9.83 - - - - 582.88 -
2023-02-26 133.21 - 10.00 - - - - 593.33 -
2023-03-05 125.30 - 9.41 - - - - 558.10 -
2023-03-12 143.08 - 10.75 - - - - 637.29 -
2023-03-19 147.39 - 11.07 - - - - 656.46 -
2023-03-26 142.20 - 10.68 - - - - 633.38 -
2023-04-02 165.86 - 12.46 - - - - 738.74 -
2023-04-09 167.10 - 12.55 - - - - 744.24 -
2023-04-16 151.80 - 11.40 - - - - 676.10 -
2023-04-23 134.40 - 10.09 - - - - 598.62 -
2023-04-30 156.80 - 11.78 - - - - 698.37 -
2023-05-07 157.35 - 11.82 - - - - 700.84 -
2023-05-14 164.78 - 12.38 - - - - 733.91 -
2023-05-21 157.43 - 11.82 - - - - 701.17 -
2023-05-28 154.31 - 11.59 - - - - 687.31 -
2023-06-04 152.69 - 11.47 - - - - 680.09 -
2023-06-11 145.41 - 10.92 - - - - 647.66 -
2023-06-18 140.93 - 10.58 - - - - 627.70 -
2023-06-25 137.82 - 10.35 - - - - 613.87 -
2023-07-02 155.22 - 11.66 - - - - 691.38 -
2023-07-09 148.58 - 11.16 - - - - 661.78 -
2023-07-16 141.24 - 10.61 - - - - 629.09 -
2023-07-23 144.10 - 10.82 - - - - 641.85 -
2023-07-30 137.06 - 10.29 - - - - 610.51 -
2023-08-06 126.14 - 9.47 - - - - 561.87 -
2023-08-13 121.52 - 9.13 - - - - 541.30 -
2023-08-20 110.87 - 8.32 - - - - 493.85 -
2023-08-27 100.44 - 7.54 - - - - 447.42 -
2023-09-03 108.71 - 8.16 - - - - 484.25 -
2023-09-10 113.83 - 8.55 - - - - 507.05 -
2023-09-17 112.33 - 8.44 - - - - 500.39 -
2023-09-24 91.83 - 6.89 - - - - 409.07 -
2023-10-01 90.91 - 6.82 - - - - 404.98 -
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