Prediction 675

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state MT.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 411.22 - 396.74 - - - - 426.08 -
2022-07-03 382.79 - 368.89 - - - - 397.07 -
2022-07-10 311.58 - 299.21 - - - - 324.32 -
2022-07-17 279.54 - 267.90 - - - - 291.54 -
2022-07-24 248.86 - 237.96 - - - - 260.13 -
2022-07-31 242.75 - 232.00 - - - - 253.87 -
2022-08-07 225.90 - 215.57 - - - - 236.59 -
2022-08-14 220.48 - 210.29 - - - - 231.03 -
2022-08-21 189.39 - 180.03 - - - - 199.10 -
2022-08-28 160.84 - 152.29 - - - - 169.74 -
2022-09-04 162.11 - 153.53 - - - - 171.04 -
2022-09-11 176.16 - 167.18 - - - - 185.50 -
2022-09-18 180.10 - 171.01 - - - - 189.56 -
2022-09-25 172.67 - 163.78 - - - - 181.91 -
2022-10-02 184.93 - 175.69 - - - - 194.51 -
2022-10-09 200.50 - 190.84 - - - - 210.51 -
2022-10-16 225.40 - 215.08 - - - - 236.07 -
2022-10-23 233.53 - 223.00 - - - - 244.41 -
2022-10-30 278.79 - 267.17 - - - - 290.78 -
2022-11-06 329.53 - 316.76 - - - - 342.67 -
2022-11-13 389.16 - 375.13 - - - - 403.57 -
2022-11-20 499.45 - 483.25 - - - - 516.04 -
2022-11-27 628.72 - 610.19 - - - - 647.66 -
2022-12-04 710.40 - 690.48 - - - - 730.75 -
2022-12-11 677.87 - 658.49 - - - - 697.66 -
2022-12-18 543.96 - 526.92 - - - - 561.39 -
2022-12-25 627.40 - 609.83 - - - - 645.33 -
2023-01-01 1107.00 - 276.82 - - - - 3059.47 -
2023-01-08 1209.33 - 302.42 - - - - 3342.27 -
2023-01-15 1234.35 - 308.67 - - - - 3411.43 -
2023-01-22 1297.78 - 324.54 - - - - 3586.70 -
2023-01-29 1327.23 - 331.90 - - - - 3668.10 -
2023-02-05 1260.28 - 315.16 - - - - 3483.07 -
2023-02-12 1264.83 - 316.30 - - - - 3495.65 -
2023-02-19 1174.37 - 293.67 - - - - 3245.66 -
2023-02-26 1222.96 - 305.82 - - - - 3379.94 -
2023-03-05 1134.70 - 283.75 - - - - 3136.04 -
2023-03-12 1139.17 - 284.87 - - - - 3148.38 -
2023-03-19 1057.17 - 264.36 - - - - 2921.77 -
2023-03-26 974.72 - 243.74 - - - - 2693.91 -
2023-04-02 981.16 - 245.35 - - - - 2711.72 -
2023-04-09 981.61 - 245.46 - - - - 2712.96 -
2023-04-16 978.27 - 244.63 - - - - 2703.73 -
2023-04-23 899.88 - 225.02 - - - - 2487.10 -
2023-04-30 844.49 - 211.17 - - - - 2334.02 -
2023-05-07 800.93 - 200.27 - - - - 2213.65 -
2023-05-14 734.88 - 183.75 - - - - 2031.12 -
2023-05-21 658.05 - 164.54 - - - - 1818.79 -
2023-05-28 555.73 - 138.95 - - - - 1536.02 -
2023-06-04 460.37 - 115.10 - - - - 1272.49 -
2023-06-11 422.75 - 105.69 - - - - 1168.54 -
2023-06-18 387.60 - 96.90 - - - - 1071.39 -
2023-06-25 328.38 - 82.08 - - - - 907.75 -
2023-07-02 305.67 - 76.40 - - - - 845.01 -
2023-07-09 248.81 - 62.18 - - - - 687.86 -
2023-07-16 223.22 - 55.78 - - - - 617.16 -
2023-07-23 198.73 - 49.65 - - - - 549.46 -
2023-07-30 193.85 - 48.43 - - - - 535.98 -
2023-08-06 180.39 - 45.07 - - - - 498.79 -
2023-08-13 176.06 - 43.99 - - - - 486.82 -
2023-08-20 151.23 - 37.78 - - - - 418.21 -
2023-08-27 128.44 - 32.08 - - - - 355.22 -
2023-09-03 129.45 - 32.33 - - - - 358.02 -
2023-09-10 140.68 - 35.14 - - - - 389.03 -
2023-09-17 143.82 - 35.92 - - - - 397.73 -
2023-09-24 137.88 - 34.44 - - - - 381.31 -
2023-10-01 147.67 - 36.89 - - - - 408.37 -