Prediction 676

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state MS.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 101.63 - 97.54 - - - - 105.84 -
2022-07-03 78.74 - 75.22 - - - - 82.38 -
2022-07-10 62.77 - 59.67 - - - - 65.97 -
2022-07-17 56.75 - 53.83 - - - - 59.79 -
2022-07-24 49.70 - 47.00 - - - - 52.52 -
2022-07-31 48.39 - 45.72 - - - - 51.16 -
2022-08-07 44.36 - 41.82 - - - - 47.01 -
2022-08-14 44.45 - 41.91 - - - - 47.10 -
2022-08-21 41.75 - 39.30 - - - - 44.31 -
2022-08-28 43.45 - 40.94 - - - - 46.07 -
2022-09-04 43.96 - 41.44 - - - - 46.60 -
2022-09-11 48.09 - 45.43 - - - - 50.86 -
2022-09-18 46.80 - 44.18 - - - - 49.53 -
2022-09-25 48.52 - 45.85 - - - - 51.30 -
2022-10-02 48.03 - 45.38 - - - - 50.80 -
2022-10-09 49.06 - 46.37 - - - - 51.86 -
2022-10-16 58.13 - 55.17 - - - - 61.20 -
2022-10-23 63.69 - 60.57 - - - - 66.92 -
2022-10-30 74.12 - 70.72 - - - - 77.64 -
2022-11-06 95.85 - 91.90 - - - - 99.92 -
2022-11-13 118.00 - 113.54 - - - - 122.59 -
2022-11-20 158.53 - 153.20 - - - - 164.00 -
2022-11-27 202.20 - 196.00 - - - - 208.55 -
2022-12-04 229.41 - 222.69 - - - - 236.28 -
2022-12-11 249.28 - 242.19 - - - - 256.53 -
2022-12-18 222.26 - 215.67 - - - - 228.99 -
2022-12-25 259.41 - 252.40 - - - - 266.56 -
2023-01-01 1171.40 - 109.31 - - - - 4886.54 -
2023-01-08 1512.79 - 141.17 - - - - 6310.60 -
2023-01-15 1892.07 - 176.57 - - - - 7892.75 -
2023-01-22 2190.98 - 204.47 - - - - 9139.59 -
2023-01-29 2288.43 - 213.56 - - - - 9546.10 -
2023-02-05 2243.90 - 209.41 - - - - 9360.37 -
2023-02-12 2244.02 - 209.42 - - - - 9360.85 -
2023-02-19 2170.52 - 202.56 - - - - 9054.28 -
2023-02-26 2239.09 - 208.96 - - - - 9340.31 -
2023-03-05 2217.10 - 206.91 - - - - 9248.56 -
2023-03-12 2244.80 - 209.49 - - - - 9364.10 -
2023-03-19 2074.17 - 193.57 - - - - 8652.35 -
2023-03-26 1899.99 - 177.31 - - - - 7925.78 -
2023-04-02 1813.38 - 169.23 - - - - 7564.51 -
2023-04-09 1743.26 - 162.68 - - - - 7271.98 -
2023-04-16 1574.10 - 146.90 - - - - 6566.35 -
2023-04-23 1419.43 - 132.46 - - - - 5921.16 -
2023-04-30 1286.62 - 120.07 - - - - 5367.17 -
2023-05-07 1053.72 - 98.33 - - - - 4395.64 -
2023-05-14 810.01 - 75.59 - - - - 3379.03 -
2023-05-21 611.45 - 57.05 - - - - 2550.74 -
2023-05-28 503.02 - 46.93 - - - - 2098.47 -
2023-06-04 422.80 - 39.45 - - - - 1763.83 -
2023-06-11 380.84 - 35.53 - - - - 1588.79 -
2023-06-18 321.31 - 29.98 - - - - 1340.48 -
2023-06-25 231.39 - 21.58 - - - - 965.38 -
2023-07-02 179.27 - 16.72 - - - - 747.97 -
2023-07-09 142.91 - 13.33 - - - - 596.28 -
2023-07-16 129.22 - 12.05 - - - - 539.18 -
2023-07-23 113.16 - 10.55 - - - - 472.21 -
2023-07-30 110.17 - 10.27 - - - - 459.72 -
2023-08-06 101.00 - 9.41 - - - - 421.47 -
2023-08-13 101.20 - 9.43 - - - - 422.30 -
2023-08-20 95.06 - 8.86 - - - - 396.71 -
2023-08-27 98.93 - 9.22 - - - - 412.82 -
2023-09-03 100.09 - 9.33 - - - - 417.68 -
2023-09-10 109.49 - 10.21 - - - - 456.88 -
2023-09-17 106.55 - 9.93 - - - - 444.63 -
2023-09-24 110.47 - 10.30 - - - - 460.98 -
2023-10-01 109.36 - 10.20 - - - - 456.36 -