Prediction 678

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state MG.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 476.87 - 468.79 - - - - 485.06 -
2022-07-03 366.26 - 359.34 - - - - 373.29 -
2022-07-10 266.35 - 260.58 - - - - 272.23 -
2022-07-17 209.76 - 204.70 - - - - 214.91 -
2022-07-24 175.87 - 171.28 - - - - 180.55 -
2022-07-31 157.25 - 152.93 - - - - 161.66 -
2022-08-07 144.45 - 140.33 - - - - 148.67 -
2022-08-14 139.20 - 135.15 - - - - 143.33 -
2022-08-21 139.27 - 135.23 - - - - 143.41 -
2022-08-28 132.91 - 128.97 - - - - 136.94 -
2022-09-04 136.36 - 132.36 - - - - 140.45 -
2022-09-11 158.08 - 153.74 - - - - 162.50 -
2022-09-18 156.90 - 152.59 - - - - 161.31 -
2022-09-25 151.23 - 147.00 - - - - 155.55 -
2022-10-02 150.88 - 146.66 - - - - 155.20 -
2022-10-09 151.13 - 146.90 - - - - 155.45 -
2022-10-16 178.09 - 173.47 - - - - 182.81 -
2022-10-23 173.87 - 169.31 - - - - 178.52 -
2022-10-30 178.41 - 173.78 - - - - 183.13 -
2022-11-06 206.63 - 201.61 - - - - 211.74 -
2022-11-13 223.08 - 217.85 - - - - 228.41 -
2022-11-20 277.68 - 271.76 - - - - 283.69 -
2022-11-27 311.72 - 305.41 - - - - 318.13 -
2022-12-04 377.90 - 370.85 - - - - 385.05 -
2022-12-11 424.55 - 417.00 - - - - 432.20 -
2022-12-18 463.17 - 455.22 - - - - 471.22 -
2022-12-25 533.78 - 525.33 - - - - 542.32 -
2023-01-01 3388.47 - 198.14 - - - - 16123.71 -
2023-01-08 4233.01 - 247.52 - - - - 20142.31 -
2023-01-15 4943.47 - 289.07 - - - - 23522.94 -
2023-01-22 5754.23 - 336.48 - - - - 27380.85 -
2023-01-29 6691.95 - 391.32 - - - - 31842.84 -
2023-02-05 7643.05 - 446.93 - - - - 36368.52 -
2023-02-12 9801.43 - 573.15 - - - - 46638.90 -
2023-02-19 11394.43 - 666.30 - - - - 54218.97 -
2023-02-26 12272.08 - 717.62 - - - - 58395.11 -
2023-03-05 13054.77 - 763.39 - - - - 62119.43 -
2023-03-12 14804.40 - 865.70 - - - - 70444.77 -
2023-03-19 15270.65 - 892.97 - - - - 72663.37 -
2023-03-26 15768.04 - 922.06 - - - - 75030.13 -
2023-04-02 17941.67 - 1049.16 - - - - 85373.03 -
2023-04-09 17469.32 - 1021.54 - - - - 83125.40 -
2023-04-16 16109.24 - 942.01 - - - - 76653.67 -
2023-04-23 15774.23 - 922.42 - - - - 75059.56 -
2023-04-30 13864.92 - 810.77 - - - - 65974.39 -
2023-05-07 11943.64 - 698.42 - - - - 56832.30 -
2023-05-14 9727.99 - 568.85 - - - - 46289.44 -
2023-05-21 7485.78 - 437.74 - - - - 35620.17 -
2023-05-28 5630.69 - 329.26 - - - - 26792.98 -
2023-06-04 4227.32 - 247.19 - - - - 20115.26 -
2023-06-11 3061.97 - 179.05 - - - - 14570.09 -
2023-06-18 2117.25 - 123.80 - - - - 10074.78 -
2023-06-25 1591.95 - 93.08 - - - - 7575.22 -
2023-07-02 1222.70 - 71.49 - - - - 5818.20 -
2023-07-09 889.17 - 51.99 - - - - 4231.14 -
2023-07-16 700.25 - 40.94 - - - - 3332.18 -
2023-07-23 587.10 - 34.32 - - - - 2793.81 -
2023-07-30 524.93 - 30.69 - - - - 2497.99 -
2023-08-06 482.23 - 28.19 - - - - 2294.77 -
2023-08-13 464.68 - 27.17 - - - - 2211.27 -
2023-08-20 464.94 - 27.18 - - - - 2212.52 -
2023-08-27 443.69 - 25.94 - - - - 2111.39 -
2023-09-03 455.21 - 26.61 - - - - 2166.21 -
2023-09-10 527.70 - 30.85 - - - - 2511.16 -
2023-09-17 523.79 - 30.62 - - - - 2492.54 -
2023-09-24 504.86 - 29.51 - - - - 2402.47 -
2023-10-01 503.69 - 29.45 - - - - 2396.89 -