Prediction 679

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state SP.


Mostrar Tabela
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 2627.69 - 2596.63 - - - - 2659.01 -
2022-07-03 1921.18 - 1894.99 - - - - 1947.63 -
2022-07-10 1646.38 - 1622.28 - - - - 1670.74 -
2022-07-17 1427.90 - 1405.56 - - - - 1450.51 -
2022-07-24 1307.19 - 1285.87 - - - - 1328.76 -
2022-07-31 1181.41 - 1161.20 - - - - 1201.87 -
2022-08-07 1161.76 - 1141.73 - - - - 1182.04 -
2022-08-14 1066.20 - 1047.06 - - - - 1085.60 -
2022-08-21 1049.53 - 1030.54 - - - - 1068.77 -
2022-08-28 1032.18 - 1013.36 - - - - 1051.25 -
2022-09-04 1057.75 - 1038.69 - - - - 1077.07 -
2022-09-11 1273.40 - 1252.38 - - - - 1294.69 -
2022-09-18 1312.28 - 1290.92 - - - - 1333.90 -
2022-09-25 1272.28 - 1251.26 - - - - 1293.55 -
2022-10-02 1346.52 - 1324.87 - - - - 1368.44 -
2022-10-09 1399.89 - 1377.78 - - - - 1422.26 -
2022-10-16 1521.42 - 1498.31 - - - - 1544.79 -
2022-10-23 1425.63 - 1403.31 - - - - 1448.22 -
2022-10-30 1528.79 - 1505.62 - - - - 1552.22 -
2022-11-06 1627.66 - 1603.71 - - - - 1651.88 -
2022-11-13 1660.84 - 1636.62 - - - - 1685.32 -
2022-11-20 1877.18 - 1851.32 - - - - 1903.30 -
2022-11-27 2054.55 - 2027.40 - - - - 2081.97 -
2022-12-04 2265.00 - 2236.38 - - - - 2293.90 -
2022-12-11 2362.44 - 2333.15 - - - - 2392.01 -
2022-12-18 2227.87 - 2199.50 - - - - 2256.51 -
2022-12-25 2232.33 - 2205.59 - - - - 2259.31 -
2023-01-01 3887.23 - 560.79 - - - - 13852.85 -
2023-01-08 4676.56 - 674.67 - - - - 16665.74 -
2023-01-15 6065.55 - 875.05 - - - - 21615.58 -
2023-01-22 7596.65 - 1095.95 - - - - 27071.89 -
2023-01-29 9244.88 - 1333.74 - - - - 32945.58 -
2023-02-05 10847.44 - 1564.94 - - - - 38656.51 -
2023-02-12 12641.37 - 1823.75 - - - - 45049.43 -
2023-02-19 14334.16 - 2067.96 - - - - 51081.92 -
2023-02-26 16491.33 - 2379.18 - - - - 58769.31 -
2023-03-05 18146.78 - 2618.01 - - - - 64668.70 -
2023-03-12 19983.54 - 2883.00 - - - - 71214.24 -
2023-03-19 19679.53 - 2839.14 - - - - 70130.84 -
2023-03-26 19641.56 - 2833.66 - - - - 69995.52 -
2023-04-02 21724.36 - 3134.14 - - - - 77417.87 -
2023-04-09 21526.20 - 3105.56 - - - - 76711.71 -
2023-04-16 20972.89 - 3025.73 - - - - 74739.89 -
2023-04-23 19715.83 - 2844.38 - - - - 70260.22 -
2023-04-30 17417.43 - 2512.79 - - - - 62069.58 -
2023-05-07 14710.43 - 2122.25 - - - - 52422.81 -
2023-05-14 12003.02 - 1731.65 - - - - 42774.57 -
2023-05-21 8792.87 - 1268.53 - - - - 31334.79 -
2023-05-28 6555.83 - 945.79 - - - - 23362.78 -
2023-06-04 5032.63 - 726.04 - - - - 17934.64 -
2023-06-11 4095.83 - 590.88 - - - - 14596.25 -
2023-06-18 3208.74 - 462.90 - - - - 11434.96 -
2023-06-25 2653.21 - 382.76 - - - - 9455.27 -
2023-07-02 1939.84 - 279.84 - - - - 6913.07 -
2023-07-09 1662.37 - 239.81 - - - - 5924.29 -
2023-07-16 1441.77 - 207.98 - - - - 5138.16 -
2023-07-23 1319.88 - 190.40 - - - - 4703.78 -
2023-07-30 1192.88 - 172.08 - - - - 4251.20 -
2023-08-06 1173.04 - 169.21 - - - - 4180.50 -
2023-08-13 1076.55 - 155.29 - - - - 3836.65 -
2023-08-20 1059.72 - 152.86 - - - - 3776.66 -
2023-08-27 1042.20 - 150.34 - - - - 3714.23 -
2023-09-03 1068.03 - 154.06 - - - - 3806.26 -
2023-09-10 1285.77 - 185.48 - - - - 4582.23 -
2023-09-17 1325.02 - 191.14 - - - - 4722.10 -
2023-09-24 1284.63 - 185.31 - - - - 4578.17 -
2023-10-01 1359.60 - 196.13 - - - - 4845.32 -