Prediction 679
Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
---|---|
Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state SP.
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date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-06-26 | 2627.69 | - | 2596.63 | - | - | - | - | 2659.01 | - |
2022-07-03 | 1921.18 | - | 1894.99 | - | - | - | - | 1947.63 | - |
2022-07-10 | 1646.38 | - | 1622.28 | - | - | - | - | 1670.74 | - |
2022-07-17 | 1427.90 | - | 1405.56 | - | - | - | - | 1450.51 | - |
2022-07-24 | 1307.19 | - | 1285.87 | - | - | - | - | 1328.76 | - |
2022-07-31 | 1181.41 | - | 1161.20 | - | - | - | - | 1201.87 | - |
2022-08-07 | 1161.76 | - | 1141.73 | - | - | - | - | 1182.04 | - |
2022-08-14 | 1066.20 | - | 1047.06 | - | - | - | - | 1085.60 | - |
2022-08-21 | 1049.53 | - | 1030.54 | - | - | - | - | 1068.77 | - |
2022-08-28 | 1032.18 | - | 1013.36 | - | - | - | - | 1051.25 | - |
2022-09-04 | 1057.75 | - | 1038.69 | - | - | - | - | 1077.07 | - |
2022-09-11 | 1273.40 | - | 1252.38 | - | - | - | - | 1294.69 | - |
2022-09-18 | 1312.28 | - | 1290.92 | - | - | - | - | 1333.90 | - |
2022-09-25 | 1272.28 | - | 1251.26 | - | - | - | - | 1293.55 | - |
2022-10-02 | 1346.52 | - | 1324.87 | - | - | - | - | 1368.44 | - |
2022-10-09 | 1399.89 | - | 1377.78 | - | - | - | - | 1422.26 | - |
2022-10-16 | 1521.42 | - | 1498.31 | - | - | - | - | 1544.79 | - |
2022-10-23 | 1425.63 | - | 1403.31 | - | - | - | - | 1448.22 | - |
2022-10-30 | 1528.79 | - | 1505.62 | - | - | - | - | 1552.22 | - |
2022-11-06 | 1627.66 | - | 1603.71 | - | - | - | - | 1651.88 | - |
2022-11-13 | 1660.84 | - | 1636.62 | - | - | - | - | 1685.32 | - |
2022-11-20 | 1877.18 | - | 1851.32 | - | - | - | - | 1903.30 | - |
2022-11-27 | 2054.55 | - | 2027.40 | - | - | - | - | 2081.97 | - |
2022-12-04 | 2265.00 | - | 2236.38 | - | - | - | - | 2293.90 | - |
2022-12-11 | 2362.44 | - | 2333.15 | - | - | - | - | 2392.01 | - |
2022-12-18 | 2227.87 | - | 2199.50 | - | - | - | - | 2256.51 | - |
2022-12-25 | 2232.33 | - | 2205.59 | - | - | - | - | 2259.31 | - |
2023-01-01 | 3887.23 | - | 560.79 | - | - | - | - | 13852.85 | - |
2023-01-08 | 4676.56 | - | 674.67 | - | - | - | - | 16665.74 | - |
2023-01-15 | 6065.55 | - | 875.05 | - | - | - | - | 21615.58 | - |
2023-01-22 | 7596.65 | - | 1095.95 | - | - | - | - | 27071.89 | - |
2023-01-29 | 9244.88 | - | 1333.74 | - | - | - | - | 32945.58 | - |
2023-02-05 | 10847.44 | - | 1564.94 | - | - | - | - | 38656.51 | - |
2023-02-12 | 12641.37 | - | 1823.75 | - | - | - | - | 45049.43 | - |
2023-02-19 | 14334.16 | - | 2067.96 | - | - | - | - | 51081.92 | - |
2023-02-26 | 16491.33 | - | 2379.18 | - | - | - | - | 58769.31 | - |
2023-03-05 | 18146.78 | - | 2618.01 | - | - | - | - | 64668.70 | - |
2023-03-12 | 19983.54 | - | 2883.00 | - | - | - | - | 71214.24 | - |
2023-03-19 | 19679.53 | - | 2839.14 | - | - | - | - | 70130.84 | - |
2023-03-26 | 19641.56 | - | 2833.66 | - | - | - | - | 69995.52 | - |
2023-04-02 | 21724.36 | - | 3134.14 | - | - | - | - | 77417.87 | - |
2023-04-09 | 21526.20 | - | 3105.56 | - | - | - | - | 76711.71 | - |
2023-04-16 | 20972.89 | - | 3025.73 | - | - | - | - | 74739.89 | - |
2023-04-23 | 19715.83 | - | 2844.38 | - | - | - | - | 70260.22 | - |
2023-04-30 | 17417.43 | - | 2512.79 | - | - | - | - | 62069.58 | - |
2023-05-07 | 14710.43 | - | 2122.25 | - | - | - | - | 52422.81 | - |
2023-05-14 | 12003.02 | - | 1731.65 | - | - | - | - | 42774.57 | - |
2023-05-21 | 8792.87 | - | 1268.53 | - | - | - | - | 31334.79 | - |
2023-05-28 | 6555.83 | - | 945.79 | - | - | - | - | 23362.78 | - |
2023-06-04 | 5032.63 | - | 726.04 | - | - | - | - | 17934.64 | - |
2023-06-11 | 4095.83 | - | 590.88 | - | - | - | - | 14596.25 | - |
2023-06-18 | 3208.74 | - | 462.90 | - | - | - | - | 11434.96 | - |
2023-06-25 | 2653.21 | - | 382.76 | - | - | - | - | 9455.27 | - |
2023-07-02 | 1939.84 | - | 279.84 | - | - | - | - | 6913.07 | - |
2023-07-09 | 1662.37 | - | 239.81 | - | - | - | - | 5924.29 | - |
2023-07-16 | 1441.77 | - | 207.98 | - | - | - | - | 5138.16 | - |
2023-07-23 | 1319.88 | - | 190.40 | - | - | - | - | 4703.78 | - |
2023-07-30 | 1192.88 | - | 172.08 | - | - | - | - | 4251.20 | - |
2023-08-06 | 1173.04 | - | 169.21 | - | - | - | - | 4180.50 | - |
2023-08-13 | 1076.55 | - | 155.29 | - | - | - | - | 3836.65 | - |
2023-08-20 | 1059.72 | - | 152.86 | - | - | - | - | 3776.66 | - |
2023-08-27 | 1042.20 | - | 150.34 | - | - | - | - | 3714.23 | - |
2023-09-03 | 1068.03 | - | 154.06 | - | - | - | - | 3806.26 | - |
2023-09-10 | 1285.77 | - | 185.48 | - | - | - | - | 4582.23 | - |
2023-09-17 | 1325.02 | - | 191.14 | - | - | - | - | 4722.10 | - |
2023-09-24 | 1284.63 | - | 185.31 | - | - | - | - | 4578.17 | - |
2023-10-01 | 1359.60 | - | 196.13 | - | - | - | - | 4845.32 | - |