Prediction 680

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state RJ.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 93.88 - 91.20 - - - - 96.62 -
2022-07-03 80.03 - 77.66 - - - - 82.45 -
2022-07-10 60.68 - 58.77 - - - - 62.64 -
2022-07-17 50.80 - 49.13 - - - - 52.52 -
2022-07-24 42.25 - 40.78 - - - - 43.76 -
2022-07-31 41.09 - 39.65 - - - - 42.57 -
2022-08-07 39.39 - 37.99 - - - - 40.82 -
2022-08-14 35.60 - 34.30 - - - - 36.95 -
2022-08-21 31.94 - 30.73 - - - - 33.19 -
2022-08-28 28.82 - 27.69 - - - - 29.98 -
2022-09-04 25.32 - 24.28 - - - - 26.39 -
2022-09-11 25.30 - 24.27 - - - - 26.37 -
2022-09-18 24.08 - 23.08 - - - - 25.12 -
2022-09-25 22.92 - 21.95 - - - - 23.93 -
2022-10-02 22.81 - 21.84 - - - - 23.81 -
2022-10-09 23.20 - 22.22 - - - - 24.21 -
2022-10-16 24.80 - 23.78 - - - - 25.86 -
2022-10-23 25.33 - 24.29 - - - - 26.40 -
2022-10-30 27.38 - 26.29 - - - - 28.51 -
2022-11-06 30.47 - 29.29 - - - - 31.68 -
2022-11-13 32.31 - 31.09 - - - - 33.57 -
2022-11-20 39.92 - 38.51 - - - - 41.37 -
2022-11-27 47.12 - 45.53 - - - - 48.75 -
2022-12-04 60.66 - 58.75 - - - - 62.62 -
2022-12-11 66.63 - 64.58 - - - - 68.73 -
2022-12-18 61.48 - 59.55 - - - - 63.46 -
2022-12-25 73.42 - 71.22 - - - - 75.67 -
2023-01-01 1759.02 - 22.96 - - - - 10317.73 -
2023-01-08 1946.62 - 25.41 - - - - 11418.12 -
2023-01-15 2261.72 - 29.53 - - - - 13266.37 -
2023-01-22 2472.71 - 32.28 - - - - 14503.93 -
2023-01-29 2642.11 - 34.49 - - - - 15497.56 -
2023-02-05 2957.28 - 38.61 - - - - 17346.20 -
2023-02-12 3472.50 - 45.33 - - - - 20368.26 -
2023-02-19 4176.37 - 54.52 - - - - 24496.81 -
2023-02-26 4837.38 - 63.15 - - - - 28374.03 -
2023-03-05 5443.29 - 71.06 - - - - 31928.03 -
2023-03-12 6412.02 - 83.71 - - - - 37610.18 -
2023-03-19 6894.45 - 90.01 - - - - 40439.90 -
2023-03-26 7019.63 - 91.64 - - - - 41174.15 -
2023-04-02 7948.46 - 103.77 - - - - 46622.29 -
2023-04-09 8180.47 - 106.80 - - - - 47983.14 -
2023-04-16 7610.06 - 99.35 - - - - 44637.40 -
2023-04-23 7198.81 - 93.98 - - - - 42225.16 -
2023-04-30 6542.94 - 85.42 - - - - 38378.12 -
2023-05-07 6233.90 - 81.38 - - - - 36565.42 -
2023-05-14 5265.86 - 68.75 - - - - 30887.33 -
2023-05-21 4265.67 - 55.69 - - - - 25020.61 -
2023-05-28 3376.93 - 44.09 - - - - 19807.68 -
2023-06-04 2608.83 - 34.06 - - - - 15302.34 -
2023-06-11 2181.27 - 28.48 - - - - 12794.48 -
2023-06-18 1711.67 - 22.34 - - - - 10040.00 -
2023-06-25 1380.53 - 18.02 - - - - 8097.64 -
2023-07-02 1176.82 - 15.36 - - - - 6902.78 -
2023-07-09 892.36 - 11.65 - - - - 5234.25 -
2023-07-16 747.08 - 9.75 - - - - 4382.13 -
2023-07-23 621.25 - 8.11 - - - - 3644.07 -
2023-07-30 604.27 - 7.89 - - - - 3544.44 -
2023-08-06 579.18 - 7.56 - - - - 3397.30 -
2023-08-13 523.56 - 6.83 - - - - 3071.05 -
2023-08-20 469.72 - 6.13 - - - - 2755.24 -
2023-08-27 423.77 - 5.53 - - - - 2485.74 -
2023-09-03 372.37 - 4.86 - - - - 2184.22 -
2023-09-10 372.09 - 4.86 - - - - 2182.59 -
2023-09-17 354.12 - 4.62 - - - - 2077.19 -
2023-09-24 337.11 - 4.40 - - - - 1977.42 -
2023-10-01 335.40 - 4.38 - - - - 1967.39 -
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