Prediction 681

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state PR.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 1110.45 - 1083.31 - - - - 1138.08 -
2022-07-03 826.43 - 803.24 - - - - 850.11 -
2022-07-10 732.02 - 710.28 - - - - 754.25 -
2022-07-17 641.54 - 621.26 - - - - 662.30 -
2022-07-24 624.22 - 604.24 - - - - 644.69 -
2022-07-31 587.01 - 567.67 - - - - 606.84 -
2022-08-07 567.76 - 548.75 - - - - 587.24 -
2022-08-14 543.79 - 525.21 - - - - 562.85 -
2022-08-21 558.64 - 539.80 - - - - 577.97 -
2022-08-28 550.40 - 531.71 - - - - 569.58 -
2022-09-04 537.07 - 518.60 - - - - 556.01 -
2022-09-11 670.83 - 650.06 - - - - 692.08 -
2022-09-18 634.72 - 614.56 - - - - 655.37 -
2022-09-25 620.92 - 600.99 - - - - 641.34 -
2022-10-02 686.73 - 665.72 - - - - 708.24 -
2022-10-09 734.57 - 712.79 - - - - 756.84 -
2022-10-16 827.37 - 804.17 - - - - 851.06 -
2022-10-23 819.80 - 796.71 - - - - 843.38 -
2022-10-30 876.88 - 852.96 - - - - 901.30 -
2022-11-06 978.58 - 953.21 - - - - 1004.44 -
2022-11-13 1062.92 - 1036.41 - - - - 1089.93 -
2022-11-20 1322.57 - 1292.77 - - - - 1352.87 -
2022-11-27 1456.15 - 1424.77 - - - - 1488.05 -
2022-12-04 1634.58 - 1601.17 - - - - 1668.51 -
2022-12-11 1768.83 - 1733.95 - - - - 1804.23 -
2022-12-18 1633.90 - 1600.50 - - - - 1667.82 -
2022-12-25 1220.98 - 1195.75 - - - - 1246.60 -
2023-01-01 1225.17 - 155.97 - - - - 4584.90 -
2023-01-08 1527.31 - 194.43 - - - - 5715.50 -
2023-01-15 1913.86 - 243.65 - - - - 7162.00 -
2023-01-22 2308.94 - 293.95 - - - - 8640.43 -
2023-01-29 2720.26 - 346.31 - - - - 10179.65 -
2023-02-05 3429.98 - 436.67 - - - - 12835.45 -
2023-02-12 4167.30 - 530.54 - - - - 15594.56 -
2023-02-19 4370.05 - 556.36 - - - - 16353.27 -
2023-02-26 4982.38 - 634.31 - - - - 18644.66 -
2023-03-05 5542.30 - 705.60 - - - - 20739.96 -
2023-03-12 5763.63 - 733.78 - - - - 21568.20 -
2023-03-19 5972.48 - 760.37 - - - - 22349.70 -
2023-03-26 6026.54 - 767.25 - - - - 22551.99 -
2023-04-02 6198.77 - 789.18 - - - - 23196.52 -
2023-04-09 5967.97 - 759.80 - - - - 22332.84 -
2023-04-16 5403.44 - 687.92 - - - - 20220.30 -
2023-04-23 4746.28 - 604.26 - - - - 17761.16 -
2023-04-30 4428.00 - 563.73 - - - - 16570.14 -
2023-05-07 3651.33 - 464.85 - - - - 13663.76 -
2023-05-14 2690.67 - 342.55 - - - - 10068.91 -
2023-05-21 1922.13 - 244.70 - - - - 7192.98 -
2023-05-28 1405.64 - 178.94 - - - - 5260.23 -
2023-06-04 1091.08 - 138.89 - - - - 4083.12 -
2023-06-11 978.58 - 124.57 - - - - 3662.13 -
2023-06-18 804.40 - 102.40 - - - - 3010.34 -
2023-06-25 677.42 - 86.22 - - - - 2535.17 -
2023-07-02 504.15 - 64.17 - - - - 1886.81 -
2023-07-09 446.56 - 56.83 - - - - 1671.28 -
2023-07-16 391.36 - 49.81 - - - - 1464.73 -
2023-07-23 380.80 - 48.46 - - - - 1425.20 -
2023-07-30 358.10 - 45.57 - - - - 1340.26 -
2023-08-06 346.35 - 44.08 - - - - 1296.31 -
2023-08-13 331.73 - 42.21 - - - - 1241.59 -
2023-08-20 340.79 - 43.37 - - - - 1275.50 -
2023-08-27 335.77 - 42.73 - - - - 1256.69 -
2023-09-03 327.63 - 41.69 - - - - 1226.25 -
2023-09-10 409.23 - 52.08 - - - - 1531.60 -
2023-09-17 387.21 - 49.28 - - - - 1449.18 -
2023-09-24 378.79 - 48.20 - - - - 1417.67 -
2023-10-01 418.93 - 53.32 - - - - 1567.91 -