Prediction 682

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state RS.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 383.08 - 337.50 - - - - 433.17 -
2022-07-03 312.33 - 271.94 - - - - 357.02 -
2022-07-10 238.30 - 203.86 - - - - 276.77 -
2022-07-17 221.77 - 188.81 - - - - 258.72 -
2022-07-24 242.27 - 207.53 - - - - 281.09 -
2022-07-31 289.07 - 250.47 - - - - 331.97 -
2022-08-07 293.08 - 254.15 - - - - 336.33 -
2022-08-14 241.46 - 206.77 - - - - 280.20 -
2022-08-21 240.41 - 205.83 - - - - 279.16 -
2022-08-28 200.40 - 169.45 - - - - 235.31 -
2022-09-04 179.46 - 150.53 - - - - 212.24 -
2022-09-11 182.63 - 153.40 - - - - 215.75 -
2022-09-18 195.71 - 165.21 - - - - 230.15 -
2022-09-25 229.61 - 195.98 - - - - 267.41 -
2022-10-02 221.82 - 188.87 - - - - 258.77 -
2022-10-09 252.61 - 217.00 - - - - 292.40 -
2022-10-16 258.34 - 222.25 - - - - 298.57 -
2022-10-23 276.15 - 238.60 - - - - 317.92 -
2022-10-30 276.37 - 238.76 - - - - 318.12 -
2022-11-06 317.50 - 276.68 - - - - 362.55 -
2022-11-13 414.27 - 366.65 - - - - 466.35 -
2022-11-20 475.91 - 424.36 - - - - 531.97 -
2022-11-27 504.79 - 451.48 - - - - 562.61 -
2022-12-04 553.56 - 497.40 - - - - 614.30 -
2022-12-11 560.54 - 503.98 - - - - 621.67 -
2022-12-18 561.21 - 504.61 - - - - 622.40 -
2022-12-25 500.31 - 449.59 - - - - 555.18 -
2023-01-01 41.65 - 1.23 - - - - 226.13 -
2023-01-08 42.43 - 1.25 - - - - 230.35 -
2023-01-15 46.65 - 1.38 - - - - 253.28 -
2023-01-22 42.97 - 1.27 - - - - 233.27 -
2023-01-29 50.36 - 1.49 - - - - 273.37 -
2023-02-05 63.04 - 1.86 - - - - 342.23 -
2023-02-12 105.08 - 3.11 - - - - 570.37 -
2023-02-19 166.06 - 4.91 - - - - 901.32 -
2023-02-26 275.83 - 8.16 - - - - 1497.09 -
2023-03-05 391.23 - 11.58 - - - - 2123.42 -
2023-03-12 490.14 - 14.51 - - - - 2660.23 -
2023-03-19 613.58 - 18.16 - - - - 3330.19 -
2023-03-26 670.10 - 19.83 - - - - 3636.93 -
2023-04-02 689.57 - 20.41 - - - - 3742.64 -
2023-04-09 776.51 - 22.98 - - - - 4214.46 -
2023-04-16 760.56 - 22.51 - - - - 4127.90 -
2023-04-23 691.97 - 20.48 - - - - 3755.66 -
2023-04-30 551.02 - 16.31 - - - - 2990.67 -
2023-05-07 366.59 - 10.85 - - - - 1989.68 -
2023-05-14 287.92 - 8.52 - - - - 1562.74 -
2023-05-21 160.23 - 4.74 - - - - 869.73 -
2023-05-28 118.42 - 3.50 - - - - 642.80 -
2023-06-04 62.31 - 1.84 - - - - 338.23 -
2023-06-11 45.71 - 1.35 - - - - 248.15 -
2023-06-18 33.59 - 0.99 - - - - 182.39 -
2023-06-25 43.27 - 1.27 - - - - 235.05 -
2023-07-02 35.28 - 1.04 - - - - 191.67 -
2023-07-09 26.92 - 0.79 - - - - 146.28 -
2023-07-16 25.05 - 0.74 - - - - 136.15 -
2023-07-23 27.37 - 0.80 - - - - 148.71 -
2023-07-30 32.65 - 0.96 - - - - 177.41 -
2023-08-06 33.11 - 0.97 - - - - 179.87 -
2023-08-13 27.28 - 0.80 - - - - 148.22 -
2023-08-20 27.16 - 0.80 - - - - 147.57 -
2023-08-27 22.64 - 0.66 - - - - 123.04 -
2023-09-03 20.27 - 0.59 - - - - 110.20 -
2023-09-10 20.63 - 0.61 - - - - 112.15 -
2023-09-17 22.11 - 0.65 - - - - 120.17 -
2023-09-24 25.94 - 0.76 - - - - 140.96 -
2023-10-01 25.06 - 0.74 - - - - 136.18 -