Prediction 683

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state SC.


Mostrar Tabela
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 938.10 - 873.17 - - - - 1006.58 -
2022-07-03 583.98 - 534.08 - - - - 637.16 -
2022-07-10 471.80 - 427.68 - - - - 519.18 -
2022-07-17 390.69 - 351.11 - - - - 433.45 -
2022-07-24 340.22 - 303.70 - - - - 379.84 -
2022-07-31 332.56 - 296.55 - - - - 371.73 -
2022-08-07 296.42 - 262.78 - - - - 333.13 -
2022-08-14 270.38 - 238.53 - - - - 305.24 -
2022-08-21 259.27 - 228.21 - - - - 293.32 -
2022-08-28 253.93 - 223.22 - - - - 287.57 -
2022-09-04 285.87 - 252.95 - - - - 321.85 -
2022-09-11 326.06 - 290.45 - - - - 364.88 -
2022-09-18 311.24 - 276.61 - - - - 348.97 -
2022-09-25 298.87 - 265.07 - - - - 335.76 -
2022-10-02 280.60 - 248.00 - - - - 316.19 -
2022-10-09 300.85 - 266.91 - - - - 337.87 -
2022-10-16 336.39 - 300.14 - - - - 375.79 -
2022-10-23 372.86 - 334.36 - - - - 414.57 -
2022-10-30 384.80 - 345.57 - - - - 427.20 -
2022-11-06 424.77 - 383.24 - - - - 469.53 -
2022-11-13 465.76 - 421.97 - - - - 512.81 -
2022-11-20 529.68 - 482.56 - - - - 580.13 -
2022-11-27 573.60 - 524.27 - - - - 626.24 -
2022-12-04 708.03 - 652.53 - - - - 766.98 -
2022-12-11 746.35 - 689.20 - - - - 806.96 -
2022-12-18 699.10 - 644.00 - - - - 757.65 -
2022-12-25 559.78 - 514.40 - - - - 608.05 -
2023-01-01 85.98 - 0.76 - - - - 509.84 -
2023-01-08 87.87 - 0.78 - - - - 521.06 -
2023-01-15 98.81 - 0.87 - - - - 585.92 -
2023-01-22 113.16 - 1.00 - - - - 671.02 -
2023-01-29 153.77 - 1.36 - - - - 911.81 -
2023-02-05 196.97 - 1.74 - - - - 1168.00 -
2023-02-12 232.53 - 2.06 - - - - 1378.81 -
2023-02-19 282.81 - 2.51 - - - - 1676.97 -
2023-02-26 433.86 - 3.84 - - - - 2572.62 -
2023-03-05 614.77 - 5.45 - - - - 3645.33 -
2023-03-12 726.58 - 6.44 - - - - 4308.32 -
2023-03-19 945.49 - 8.38 - - - - 5606.33 -
2023-03-26 1138.12 - 10.09 - - - - 6748.54 -
2023-04-02 1208.83 - 10.71 - - - - 7167.78 -
2023-04-09 1317.61 - 11.68 - - - - 7812.81 -
2023-04-16 1455.16 - 12.90 - - - - 8628.38 -
2023-04-23 1301.02 - 11.53 - - - - 7714.41 -
2023-04-30 1367.37 - 12.12 - - - - 8107.87 -
2023-05-07 1137.92 - 10.08 - - - - 6747.34 -
2023-05-14 912.70 - 8.09 - - - - 5411.87 -
2023-05-21 700.36 - 6.21 - - - - 4152.80 -
2023-05-28 491.62 - 4.36 - - - - 2915.08 -
2023-06-04 318.26 - 2.82 - - - - 1887.15 -
2023-06-11 236.36 - 2.09 - - - - 1401.51 -
2023-06-18 199.74 - 1.77 - - - - 1184.42 -
2023-06-25 180.74 - 1.60 - - - - 1071.78 -
2023-07-02 112.51 - 1.00 - - - - 667.23 -
2023-07-09 90.90 - 0.80 - - - - 539.07 -
2023-07-16 75.27 - 0.67 - - - - 446.41 -
2023-07-23 65.55 - 0.58 - - - - 388.75 -
2023-07-30 64.07 - 0.57 - - - - 380.00 -
2023-08-06 57.11 - 0.50 - - - - 338.71 -
2023-08-13 52.09 - 0.46 - - - - 308.96 -
2023-08-20 49.95 - 0.44 - - - - 296.27 -
2023-08-27 48.92 - 0.43 - - - - 290.17 -
2023-09-03 55.08 - 0.49 - - - - 326.67 -
2023-09-10 62.82 - 0.55 - - - - 372.58 -
2023-09-17 59.97 - 0.53 - - - - 355.64 -
2023-09-24 57.58 - 0.51 - - - - 341.51 -
2023-10-01 54.06 - 0.48 - - - - 320.64 -