Prediction 683
Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
---|---|
Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state SC.
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date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-06-26 | 938.10 | - | 873.17 | - | - | - | - | 1006.58 | - |
2022-07-03 | 583.98 | - | 534.08 | - | - | - | - | 637.16 | - |
2022-07-10 | 471.80 | - | 427.68 | - | - | - | - | 519.18 | - |
2022-07-17 | 390.69 | - | 351.11 | - | - | - | - | 433.45 | - |
2022-07-24 | 340.22 | - | 303.70 | - | - | - | - | 379.84 | - |
2022-07-31 | 332.56 | - | 296.55 | - | - | - | - | 371.73 | - |
2022-08-07 | 296.42 | - | 262.78 | - | - | - | - | 333.13 | - |
2022-08-14 | 270.38 | - | 238.53 | - | - | - | - | 305.24 | - |
2022-08-21 | 259.27 | - | 228.21 | - | - | - | - | 293.32 | - |
2022-08-28 | 253.93 | - | 223.22 | - | - | - | - | 287.57 | - |
2022-09-04 | 285.87 | - | 252.95 | - | - | - | - | 321.85 | - |
2022-09-11 | 326.06 | - | 290.45 | - | - | - | - | 364.88 | - |
2022-09-18 | 311.24 | - | 276.61 | - | - | - | - | 348.97 | - |
2022-09-25 | 298.87 | - | 265.07 | - | - | - | - | 335.76 | - |
2022-10-02 | 280.60 | - | 248.00 | - | - | - | - | 316.19 | - |
2022-10-09 | 300.85 | - | 266.91 | - | - | - | - | 337.87 | - |
2022-10-16 | 336.39 | - | 300.14 | - | - | - | - | 375.79 | - |
2022-10-23 | 372.86 | - | 334.36 | - | - | - | - | 414.57 | - |
2022-10-30 | 384.80 | - | 345.57 | - | - | - | - | 427.20 | - |
2022-11-06 | 424.77 | - | 383.24 | - | - | - | - | 469.53 | - |
2022-11-13 | 465.76 | - | 421.97 | - | - | - | - | 512.81 | - |
2022-11-20 | 529.68 | - | 482.56 | - | - | - | - | 580.13 | - |
2022-11-27 | 573.60 | - | 524.27 | - | - | - | - | 626.24 | - |
2022-12-04 | 708.03 | - | 652.53 | - | - | - | - | 766.98 | - |
2022-12-11 | 746.35 | - | 689.20 | - | - | - | - | 806.96 | - |
2022-12-18 | 699.10 | - | 644.00 | - | - | - | - | 757.65 | - |
2022-12-25 | 559.78 | - | 514.40 | - | - | - | - | 608.05 | - |
2023-01-01 | 85.98 | - | 0.76 | - | - | - | - | 509.84 | - |
2023-01-08 | 87.87 | - | 0.78 | - | - | - | - | 521.06 | - |
2023-01-15 | 98.81 | - | 0.87 | - | - | - | - | 585.92 | - |
2023-01-22 | 113.16 | - | 1.00 | - | - | - | - | 671.02 | - |
2023-01-29 | 153.77 | - | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | 911.81 | - |
2023-02-05 | 196.97 | - | 1.74 | - | - | - | - | 1168.00 | - |
2023-02-12 | 232.53 | - | 2.06 | - | - | - | - | 1378.81 | - |
2023-02-19 | 282.81 | - | 2.51 | - | - | - | - | 1676.97 | - |
2023-02-26 | 433.86 | - | 3.84 | - | - | - | - | 2572.62 | - |
2023-03-05 | 614.77 | - | 5.45 | - | - | - | - | 3645.33 | - |
2023-03-12 | 726.58 | - | 6.44 | - | - | - | - | 4308.32 | - |
2023-03-19 | 945.49 | - | 8.38 | - | - | - | - | 5606.33 | - |
2023-03-26 | 1138.12 | - | 10.09 | - | - | - | - | 6748.54 | - |
2023-04-02 | 1208.83 | - | 10.71 | - | - | - | - | 7167.78 | - |
2023-04-09 | 1317.61 | - | 11.68 | - | - | - | - | 7812.81 | - |
2023-04-16 | 1455.16 | - | 12.90 | - | - | - | - | 8628.38 | - |
2023-04-23 | 1301.02 | - | 11.53 | - | - | - | - | 7714.41 | - |
2023-04-30 | 1367.37 | - | 12.12 | - | - | - | - | 8107.87 | - |
2023-05-07 | 1137.92 | - | 10.08 | - | - | - | - | 6747.34 | - |
2023-05-14 | 912.70 | - | 8.09 | - | - | - | - | 5411.87 | - |
2023-05-21 | 700.36 | - | 6.21 | - | - | - | - | 4152.80 | - |
2023-05-28 | 491.62 | - | 4.36 | - | - | - | - | 2915.08 | - |
2023-06-04 | 318.26 | - | 2.82 | - | - | - | - | 1887.15 | - |
2023-06-11 | 236.36 | - | 2.09 | - | - | - | - | 1401.51 | - |
2023-06-18 | 199.74 | - | 1.77 | - | - | - | - | 1184.42 | - |
2023-06-25 | 180.74 | - | 1.60 | - | - | - | - | 1071.78 | - |
2023-07-02 | 112.51 | - | 1.00 | - | - | - | - | 667.23 | - |
2023-07-09 | 90.90 | - | 0.80 | - | - | - | - | 539.07 | - |
2023-07-16 | 75.27 | - | 0.67 | - | - | - | - | 446.41 | - |
2023-07-23 | 65.55 | - | 0.58 | - | - | - | - | 388.75 | - |
2023-07-30 | 64.07 | - | 0.57 | - | - | - | - | 380.00 | - |
2023-08-06 | 57.11 | - | 0.50 | - | - | - | - | 338.71 | - |
2023-08-13 | 52.09 | - | 0.46 | - | - | - | - | 308.96 | - |
2023-08-20 | 49.95 | - | 0.44 | - | - | - | - | 296.27 | - |
2023-08-27 | 48.92 | - | 0.43 | - | - | - | - | 290.17 | - |
2023-09-03 | 55.08 | - | 0.49 | - | - | - | - | 326.67 | - |
2023-09-10 | 62.82 | - | 0.55 | - | - | - | - | 372.58 | - |
2023-09-17 | 59.97 | - | 0.53 | - | - | - | - | 355.64 | - |
2023-09-24 | 57.58 | - | 0.51 | - | - | - | - | 341.51 | - |
2023-10-01 | 54.06 | - | 0.48 | - | - | - | - | 320.64 | - |