Prediction 684
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state AM.
Mostrar Tabela
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-11 | 51.79 | - | 49.04 | - | - | - | - | 54.65 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 47.65 | - | 45.06 | - | - | - | - | 50.36 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 41.34 | - | 38.99 | - | - | - | - | 43.79 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 44.03 | - | 41.57 | - | - | - | - | 46.58 | - |
| 2023-07-09 | 44.92 | - | 42.43 | - | - | - | - | 47.51 | - |
| 2023-07-16 | 40.36 | - | 38.05 | - | - | - | - | 42.77 | - |
| 2023-07-23 | 35.78 | - | 33.65 | - | - | - | - | 38.00 | - |
| 2023-07-30 | 36.59 | - | 34.43 | - | - | - | - | 38.85 | - |
| 2023-08-06 | 34.64 | - | 32.56 | - | - | - | - | 36.82 | - |
| 2023-08-13 | 31.82 | - | 29.85 | - | - | - | - | 33.88 | - |
| 2023-08-20 | 29.30 | - | 27.45 | - | - | - | - | 31.25 | - |
| 2023-08-27 | 27.50 | - | 25.72 | - | - | - | - | 29.38 | - |
| 2023-09-03 | 26.85 | - | 25.09 | - | - | - | - | 28.69 | - |
| 2023-09-10 | 32.01 | - | 30.04 | - | - | - | - | 34.08 | - |
| 2023-09-17 | 30.97 | - | 29.04 | - | - | - | - | 32.99 | - |
| 2023-09-24 | 33.10 | - | 31.08 | - | - | - | - | 35.21 | - |
| 2023-10-01 | 34.99 | - | 32.90 | - | - | - | - | 37.18 | - |
| 2023-10-08 | 32.58 | - | 30.59 | - | - | - | - | 34.68 | - |
| 2023-10-15 | 35.01 | - | 32.92 | - | - | - | - | 37.21 | - |
| 2023-10-22 | 33.81 | - | 31.77 | - | - | - | - | 35.96 | - |
| 2023-10-29 | 38.11 | - | 35.89 | - | - | - | - | 40.43 | - |
| 2023-11-05 | 38.94 | - | 36.68 | - | - | - | - | 41.29 | - |
| 2023-11-12 | 46.74 | - | 44.18 | - | - | - | - | 49.41 | - |
| 2023-11-19 | 54.03 | - | 51.20 | - | - | - | - | 56.98 | - |
| 2023-11-26 | 58.47 | - | 55.47 | - | - | - | - | 61.58 | - |
| 2023-12-03 | 63.68 | - | 60.49 | - | - | - | - | 67.00 | - |
| 2023-12-10 | 62.38 | - | 59.24 | - | - | - | - | 65.64 | - |
| 2023-12-17 | 58.03 | - | 55.05 | - | - | - | - | 61.13 | - |
| 2023-12-24 | 57.59 | - | 54.68 | - | - | - | - | 60.61 | - |
| 2023-12-31 | 311.41 | - | 55.95 | - | - | - | - | 1010.55 | - |
| 2024-01-07 | 373.20 | - | 67.05 | - | - | - | - | 1211.03 | - |
| 2024-01-14 | 439.88 | - | 79.04 | - | - | - | - | 1427.38 | - |
| 2024-01-21 | 528.63 | - | 94.99 | - | - | - | - | 1715.33 | - |
| 2024-01-28 | 566.88 | - | 101.86 | - | - | - | - | 1839.44 | - |
| 2024-02-04 | 654.48 | - | 117.60 | - | - | - | - | 2123.67 | - |
| 2024-02-11 | 695.92 | - | 125.05 | - | - | - | - | 2258.13 | - |
| 2024-02-18 | 777.36 | - | 139.69 | - | - | - | - | 2522.35 | - |
| 2024-02-25 | 716.26 | - | 128.71 | - | - | - | - | 2324.13 | - |
| 2024-03-03 | 645.24 | - | 115.94 | - | - | - | - | 2093.68 | - |
| 2024-03-10 | 577.96 | - | 103.85 | - | - | - | - | 1875.39 | - |
| 2024-03-17 | 486.90 | - | 87.49 | - | - | - | - | 1579.94 | - |
| 2024-03-24 | 398.85 | - | 71.66 | - | - | - | - | 1294.25 | - |
| 2024-03-31 | 391.16 | - | 70.28 | - | - | - | - | 1269.30 | - |
| 2024-04-07 | 325.12 | - | 58.41 | - | - | - | - | 1055.02 | - |
| 2024-04-14 | 273.39 | - | 49.11 | - | - | - | - | 887.18 | - |
| 2024-04-21 | 232.40 | - | 41.75 | - | - | - | - | 754.21 | - |
| 2024-04-28 | 213.16 | - | 38.29 | - | - | - | - | 691.78 | - |
| 2024-05-05 | 204.52 | - | 36.74 | - | - | - | - | 663.74 | - |
| 2024-05-12 | 193.31 | - | 34.72 | - | - | - | - | 627.38 | - |
| 2024-05-19 | 161.70 | - | 29.04 | - | - | - | - | 524.82 | - |
| 2024-05-26 | 154.60 | - | 27.76 | - | - | - | - | 501.78 | - |
| 2024-06-02 | 162.60 | - | 29.20 | - | - | - | - | 527.73 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 140.84 | - | 25.29 | - | - | - | - | 457.15 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 129.60 | - | 23.27 | - | - | - | - | 420.65 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 112.43 | - | 20.19 | - | - | - | - | 364.95 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 119.73 | - | 21.50 | - | - | - | - | 388.63 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 122.15 | - | 21.93 | - | - | - | - | 396.50 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 109.76 | - | 19.71 | - | - | - | - | 356.29 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 97.29 | - | 17.47 | - | - | - | - | 315.84 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 99.51 | - | 17.86 | - | - | - | - | 323.03 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 94.21 | - | 16.91 | - | - | - | - | 305.84 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 86.53 | - | 15.53 | - | - | - | - | 280.92 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 79.69 | - | 14.30 | - | - | - | - | 258.73 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 74.80 | - | 13.42 | - | - | - | - | 242.85 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 73.02 | - | 13.10 | - | - | - | - | 237.07 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 87.05 | - | 15.62 | - | - | - | - | 282.61 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 84.21 | - | 15.11 | - | - | - | - | 273.39 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 90.00 | - | 16.15 | - | - | - | - | 292.18 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 95.16 | - | 17.08 | - | - | - | - | 308.90 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
