Prediction 685
| Model | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Acre |
Description:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state AC.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-11 | 43.37 | - | 40.85 | - | - | - | - | 46.01 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 39.59 | - | 37.22 | - | - | - | - | 42.08 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 37.99 | - | 35.68 | - | - | - | - | 40.41 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 34.56 | - | 32.39 | - | - | - | - | 36.84 | - |
| 2023-07-09 | 33.19 | - | 31.08 | - | - | - | - | 35.41 | - |
| 2023-07-16 | 35.38 | - | 33.18 | - | - | - | - | 37.70 | - |
| 2023-07-23 | 30.95 | - | 28.93 | - | - | - | - | 33.07 | - |
| 2023-07-30 | 32.27 | - | 30.19 | - | - | - | - | 34.45 | - |
| 2023-08-06 | 29.10 | - | 27.16 | - | - | - | - | 31.14 | - |
| 2023-08-13 | 31.80 | - | 29.75 | - | - | - | - | 33.96 | - |
| 2023-08-20 | 37.84 | - | 35.53 | - | - | - | - | 40.25 | - |
| 2023-08-27 | 51.07 | - | 48.24 | - | - | - | - | 54.01 | - |
| 2023-09-03 | 64.99 | - | 61.65 | - | - | - | - | 68.46 | - |
| 2023-09-10 | 83.86 | - | 79.84 | - | - | - | - | 88.02 | - |
| 2023-09-17 | 89.34 | - | 85.14 | - | - | - | - | 93.70 | - |
| 2023-09-24 | 89.85 | - | 85.63 | - | - | - | - | 94.22 | - |
| 2023-10-01 | 103.56 | - | 98.87 | - | - | - | - | 108.42 | - |
| 2023-10-08 | 103.15 | - | 98.47 | - | - | - | - | 107.99 | - |
| 2023-10-15 | 113.07 | - | 108.05 | - | - | - | - | 118.26 | - |
| 2023-10-22 | 112.01 | - | 107.02 | - | - | - | - | 117.16 | - |
| 2023-10-29 | 116.61 | - | 111.47 | - | - | - | - | 121.92 | - |
| 2023-11-05 | 126.81 | - | 121.33 | - | - | - | - | 132.48 | - |
| 2023-11-12 | 142.10 | - | 136.10 | - | - | - | - | 148.29 | - |
| 2023-11-19 | 153.76 | - | 147.38 | - | - | - | - | 160.35 | - |
| 2023-11-26 | 159.99 | - | 153.40 | - | - | - | - | 166.79 | - |
| 2023-12-03 | 171.47 | - | 164.50 | - | - | - | - | 178.66 | - |
| 2023-12-10 | 167.18 | - | 160.35 | - | - | - | - | 174.23 | - |
| 2023-12-17 | 163.00 | - | 156.31 | - | - | - | - | 169.90 | - |
| 2023-12-24 | 144.49 | - | 138.62 | - | - | - | - | 150.54 | - |
| 2023-12-31 | 706.89 | - | 110.65 | - | - | - | - | 2435.60 | - |
| 2024-01-07 | 698.20 | - | 109.29 | - | - | - | - | 2405.68 | - |
| 2024-01-14 | 742.84 | - | 116.28 | - | - | - | - | 2559.49 | - |
| 2024-01-21 | 696.21 | - | 108.98 | - | - | - | - | 2398.83 | - |
| 2024-01-28 | 746.11 | - | 116.79 | - | - | - | - | 2570.77 | - |
| 2024-02-04 | 722.40 | - | 113.08 | - | - | - | - | 2489.05 | - |
| 2024-02-11 | 713.49 | - | 111.68 | - | - | - | - | 2458.38 | - |
| 2024-02-18 | 645.03 | - | 100.96 | - | - | - | - | 2222.52 | - |
| 2024-02-25 | 645.62 | - | 101.06 | - | - | - | - | 2224.53 | - |
| 2024-03-03 | 556.08 | - | 87.04 | - | - | - | - | 1916.06 | - |
| 2024-03-10 | 526.40 | - | 82.39 | - | - | - | - | 1813.80 | - |
| 2024-03-17 | 484.91 | - | 75.90 | - | - | - | - | 1670.84 | - |
| 2024-03-24 | 405.46 | - | 63.46 | - | - | - | - | 1397.12 | - |
| 2024-03-31 | 385.96 | - | 60.40 | - | - | - | - | 1329.93 | - |
| 2024-04-07 | 330.71 | - | 51.76 | - | - | - | - | 1139.59 | - |
| 2024-04-14 | 282.80 | - | 44.25 | - | - | - | - | 974.51 | - |
| 2024-04-21 | 243.64 | - | 38.12 | - | - | - | - | 839.60 | - |
| 2024-04-28 | 220.87 | - | 34.56 | - | - | - | - | 761.16 | - |
| 2024-05-05 | 202.00 | - | 31.60 | - | - | - | - | 696.14 | - |
| 2024-05-12 | 178.48 | - | 27.92 | - | - | - | - | 615.10 | - |
| 2024-05-19 | 157.24 | - | 24.60 | - | - | - | - | 541.91 | - |
| 2024-05-26 | 142.57 | - | 22.30 | - | - | - | - | 491.38 | - |
| 2024-06-02 | 131.79 | - | 20.61 | - | - | - | - | 454.25 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 120.41 | - | 18.83 | - | - | - | - | 415.04 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 109.91 | - | 17.19 | - | - | - | - | 378.86 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 105.45 | - | 16.49 | - | - | - | - | 363.50 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 95.95 | - | 15.00 | - | - | - | - | 330.75 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 92.14 | - | 14.40 | - | - | - | - | 317.64 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 98.23 | - | 15.36 | - | - | - | - | 338.60 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 85.91 | - | 13.43 | - | - | - | - | 296.18 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 89.58 | - | 14.00 | - | - | - | - | 308.80 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 80.79 | - | 12.63 | - | - | - | - | 278.53 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 88.29 | - | 13.80 | - | - | - | - | 304.37 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 105.04 | - | 16.42 | - | - | - | - | 362.08 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 141.76 | - | 22.17 | - | - | - | - | 488.61 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 180.42 | - | 28.22 | - | - | - | - | 621.78 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 232.79 | - | 36.42 | - | - | - | - | 802.23 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 248.02 | - | 38.81 | - | - | - | - | 854.68 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 249.43 | - | 39.03 | - | - | - | - | 859.55 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 287.49 | - | 44.99 | - | - | - | - | 990.70 | - |
Welcome to Mosqlimate Predictions Dashboard
Confidence Interval
To toggle the Prediction's Confidence Interval bounds of the in the chart, click in the Prediction's legend
or line
Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
