Prediction 687
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state PA.
Mostrar Tabela
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-11 | 72.42 | - | 68.82 | - | - | - | - | 76.16 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 61.75 | - | 58.52 | - | - | - | - | 65.10 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 60.16 | - | 56.99 | - | - | - | - | 63.45 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 54.35 | - | 51.39 | - | - | - | - | 57.43 | - |
| 2023-07-09 | 50.72 | - | 47.89 | - | - | - | - | 53.66 | - |
| 2023-07-16 | 51.37 | - | 48.52 | - | - | - | - | 54.34 | - |
| 2023-07-23 | 52.33 | - | 49.45 | - | - | - | - | 55.34 | - |
| 2023-07-30 | 59.96 | - | 56.80 | - | - | - | - | 63.25 | - |
| 2023-08-06 | 66.36 | - | 62.96 | - | - | - | - | 69.88 | - |
| 2023-08-13 | 62.73 | - | 59.47 | - | - | - | - | 66.12 | - |
| 2023-08-20 | 59.38 | - | 56.24 | - | - | - | - | 62.65 | - |
| 2023-08-27 | 55.32 | - | 52.32 | - | - | - | - | 58.43 | - |
| 2023-09-03 | 54.83 | - | 51.86 | - | - | - | - | 57.93 | - |
| 2023-09-10 | 55.18 | - | 52.20 | - | - | - | - | 58.30 | - |
| 2023-09-17 | 55.26 | - | 52.27 | - | - | - | - | 58.38 | - |
| 2023-09-24 | 53.30 | - | 50.38 | - | - | - | - | 56.34 | - |
| 2023-10-01 | 49.04 | - | 46.28 | - | - | - | - | 51.92 | - |
| 2023-10-08 | 57.47 | - | 54.40 | - | - | - | - | 60.67 | - |
| 2023-10-15 | 51.48 | - | 48.62 | - | - | - | - | 54.45 | - |
| 2023-10-22 | 47.72 | - | 45.01 | - | - | - | - | 50.56 | - |
| 2023-10-29 | 61.04 | - | 57.84 | - | - | - | - | 64.37 | - |
| 2023-11-05 | 70.25 | - | 66.72 | - | - | - | - | 73.91 | - |
| 2023-11-12 | 81.86 | - | 77.93 | - | - | - | - | 85.94 | - |
| 2023-11-19 | 89.92 | - | 85.71 | - | - | - | - | 94.27 | - |
| 2023-11-26 | 97.37 | - | 92.92 | - | - | - | - | 101.98 | - |
| 2023-12-03 | 100.69 | - | 96.12 | - | - | - | - | 105.41 | - |
| 2023-12-10 | 91.03 | - | 86.79 | - | - | - | - | 95.42 | - |
| 2023-12-17 | 69.57 | - | 66.06 | - | - | - | - | 73.22 | - |
| 2023-12-24 | 72.13 | - | 68.59 | - | - | - | - | 75.80 | - |
| 2023-12-31 | 381.04 | - | 65.61 | - | - | - | - | 1260.06 | - |
| 2024-01-07 | 460.27 | - | 79.26 | - | - | - | - | 1522.01 | - |
| 2024-01-14 | 549.73 | - | 94.67 | - | - | - | - | 1817.82 | - |
| 2024-01-21 | 637.84 | - | 109.84 | - | - | - | - | 2109.14 | - |
| 2024-01-28 | 733.53 | - | 126.33 | - | - | - | - | 2425.53 | - |
| 2024-02-04 | 680.38 | - | 117.17 | - | - | - | - | 2249.79 | - |
| 2024-02-11 | 720.79 | - | 124.13 | - | - | - | - | 2383.37 | - |
| 2024-02-18 | 681.01 | - | 117.28 | - | - | - | - | 2251.86 | - |
| 2024-02-25 | 706.54 | - | 121.68 | - | - | - | - | 2336.28 | - |
| 2024-03-03 | 707.53 | - | 121.85 | - | - | - | - | 2339.54 | - |
| 2024-03-10 | 716.99 | - | 123.48 | - | - | - | - | 2370.81 | - |
| 2024-03-17 | 630.42 | - | 108.57 | - | - | - | - | 2084.60 | - |
| 2024-03-24 | 554.29 | - | 95.45 | - | - | - | - | 1832.87 | - |
| 2024-03-31 | 571.88 | - | 98.48 | - | - | - | - | 1891.05 | - |
| 2024-04-07 | 519.45 | - | 89.45 | - | - | - | - | 1717.71 | - |
| 2024-04-14 | 448.80 | - | 77.28 | - | - | - | - | 1484.11 | - |
| 2024-04-21 | 392.98 | - | 67.67 | - | - | - | - | 1299.55 | - |
| 2024-04-28 | 404.58 | - | 69.66 | - | - | - | - | 1337.90 | - |
| 2024-05-05 | 372.60 | - | 64.16 | - | - | - | - | 1232.17 | - |
| 2024-05-12 | 331.71 | - | 57.11 | - | - | - | - | 1096.96 | - |
| 2024-05-19 | 273.88 | - | 47.15 | - | - | - | - | 905.76 | - |
| 2024-05-26 | 248.95 | - | 42.86 | - | - | - | - | 823.34 | - |
| 2024-06-02 | 223.81 | - | 38.53 | - | - | - | - | 740.20 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 205.38 | - | 35.35 | - | - | - | - | 679.27 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 175.11 | - | 30.14 | - | - | - | - | 579.18 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 170.60 | - | 29.36 | - | - | - | - | 564.26 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 154.12 | - | 26.52 | - | - | - | - | 509.79 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 143.83 | - | 24.75 | - | - | - | - | 475.75 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 145.68 | - | 25.07 | - | - | - | - | 481.87 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 148.42 | - | 25.54 | - | - | - | - | 490.92 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 170.05 | - | 29.26 | - | - | - | - | 562.44 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 188.18 | - | 32.39 | - | - | - | - | 622.39 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 177.90 | - | 30.62 | - | - | - | - | 588.40 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 168.40 | - | 28.98 | - | - | - | - | 557.01 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 156.87 | - | 27.00 | - | - | - | - | 518.89 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 155.50 | - | 26.76 | - | - | - | - | 514.34 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 156.50 | - | 26.93 | - | - | - | - | 517.64 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 156.72 | - | 26.97 | - | - | - | - | 518.38 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 151.16 | - | 26.01 | - | - | - | - | 499.99 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 139.07 | - | 23.93 | - | - | - | - | 460.03 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
