Prediction 692

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state AL.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-06-11 146.66 - 140.01 - - - - 153.54 -
2023-06-18 133.13 - 127.04 - - - - 139.44 -
2023-06-25 123.79 - 118.09 - - - - 129.70 -
2023-07-02 120.25 - 114.69 - - - - 126.01 -
2023-07-09 115.85 - 110.48 - - - - 121.42 -
2023-07-16 105.83 - 100.87 - - - - 110.98 -
2023-07-23 96.58 - 92.00 - - - - 101.33 -
2023-07-30 89.46 - 85.17 - - - - 93.90 -
2023-08-06 82.73 - 78.73 - - - - 86.88 -
2023-08-13 77.60 - 73.81 - - - - 81.53 -
2023-08-20 65.77 - 62.47 - - - - 69.19 -
2023-08-27 62.04 - 58.91 - - - - 65.30 -
2023-09-03 58.35 - 55.37 - - - - 61.45 -
2023-09-10 50.72 - 48.06 - - - - 53.48 -
2023-09-17 52.25 - 49.53 - - - - 55.08 -
2023-09-24 47.46 - 44.95 - - - - 50.09 -
2023-10-01 42.58 - 40.27 - - - - 44.99 -
2023-10-08 40.68 - 38.46 - - - - 43.00 -
2023-10-15 43.52 - 41.18 - - - - 45.97 -
2023-10-22 40.41 - 38.20 - - - - 42.72 -
2023-10-29 40.45 - 38.23 - - - - 42.76 -
2023-11-05 47.22 - 44.71 - - - - 49.83 -
2023-11-12 47.31 - 44.79 - - - - 49.92 -
2023-11-19 38.13 - 36.01 - - - - 40.33 -
2023-11-26 35.83 - 33.81 - - - - 37.93 -
2023-12-03 33.87 - 31.94 - - - - 35.88 -
2023-12-10 32.41 - 30.55 - - - - 34.36 -
2023-12-17 24.66 - 23.14 - - - - 26.25 -
2023-12-24 23.21 - 21.78 - - - - 24.71 -
2023-12-31 173.23 - 11.50 - - - - 798.84 -
2024-01-07 200.79 - 13.33 - - - - 925.94 -
2024-01-14 212.14 - 14.08 - - - - 978.27 -
2024-01-21 221.19 - 14.68 - - - - 1020.01 -
2024-01-28 245.32 - 16.28 - - - - 1131.24 -
2024-02-04 274.82 - 18.24 - - - - 1267.29 -
2024-02-11 306.20 - 20.32 - - - - 1411.96 -
2024-02-18 335.97 - 22.30 - - - - 1549.21 -
2024-02-25 408.04 - 27.09 - - - - 1881.51 -
2024-03-03 478.57 - 31.77 - - - - 2206.70 -
2024-03-10 503.70 - 33.44 - - - - 2322.60 -
2024-03-17 593.56 - 39.41 - - - - 2736.90 -
2024-03-24 618.28 - 41.05 - - - - 2850.91 -
2024-03-31 663.00 - 44.02 - - - - 3057.09 -
2024-04-07 687.23 - 45.63 - - - - 3168.81 -
2024-04-14 713.32 - 47.36 - - - - 3289.09 -
2024-04-21 744.17 - 49.41 - - - - 3431.33 -
2024-04-28 860.57 - 57.14 - - - - 3968.03 -
2024-05-05 920.43 - 61.11 - - - - 4244.04 -
2024-05-12 945.14 - 62.75 - - - - 4357.98 -
2024-05-19 892.90 - 59.28 - - - - 4117.10 -
2024-05-26 881.80 - 58.55 - - - - 4065.94 -
2024-06-02 849.71 - 56.41 - - - - 3917.94 -
2024-06-09 823.36 - 54.67 - - - - 3796.49 -
2024-06-16 747.43 - 49.62 - - - - 3446.38 -
2024-06-23 694.99 - 46.14 - - - - 3204.58 -
2024-06-30 675.11 - 44.82 - - - - 3112.91 -
2024-07-07 650.43 - 43.18 - - - - 2999.11 -
2024-07-14 594.16 - 39.45 - - - - 2739.69 -
2024-07-21 542.22 - 36.00 - - - - 2500.20 -
2024-07-28 502.22 - 33.34 - - - - 2315.77 -
2024-08-04 464.46 - 30.83 - - - - 2141.67 -
2024-08-11 435.65 - 28.92 - - - - 2008.83 -
2024-08-18 369.24 - 24.51 - - - - 1702.64 -
2024-08-25 348.32 - 23.12 - - - - 1606.18 -
2024-09-01 327.57 - 21.74 - - - - 1510.48 -
2024-09-08 284.74 - 18.90 - - - - 1313.03 -
2024-09-15 293.35 - 19.47 - - - - 1352.69 -
2024-09-22 266.47 - 17.69 - - - - 1228.78 -
2024-09-29 239.06 - 15.87 - - - - 1102.39 -