Prediction 693
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state BA.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-07 | 2413.50 | - | 514.66 | - | - | - | - | 7228.19 | - |
| 2024-04-14 | 2327.13 | - | 496.24 | - | - | - | - | 6969.54 | - |
| 2024-04-21 | 2290.06 | - | 488.33 | - | - | - | - | 6858.52 | - |
| 2024-04-28 | 2328.45 | - | 496.52 | - | - | - | - | 6973.48 | - |
| 2024-05-05 | 2303.50 | - | 491.20 | - | - | - | - | 6898.77 | - |
| 2024-05-12 | 2150.66 | - | 458.60 | - | - | - | - | 6441.03 | - |
| 2024-05-19 | 1907.42 | - | 406.73 | - | - | - | - | 5712.60 | - |
| 2024-05-26 | 1776.01 | - | 378.71 | - | - | - | - | 5319.05 | - |
| 2024-06-02 | 1564.33 | - | 333.57 | - | - | - | - | 4685.08 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 1242.84 | - | 265.01 | - | - | - | - | 3722.31 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 963.54 | - | 205.45 | - | - | - | - | 2885.85 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 890.04 | - | 189.77 | - | - | - | - | 2665.72 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 926.05 | - | 197.45 | - | - | - | - | 2773.56 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 870.90 | - | 185.69 | - | - | - | - | 2608.40 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 747.46 | - | 159.37 | - | - | - | - | 2238.72 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 641.55 | - | 136.78 | - | - | - | - | 1921.53 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 582.40 | - | 124.17 | - | - | - | - | 1744.38 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 521.10 | - | 111.09 | - | - | - | - | 1560.80 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 453.55 | - | 96.69 | - | - | - | - | 1358.52 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 404.67 | - | 86.27 | - | - | - | - | 1212.13 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 378.06 | - | 80.59 | - | - | - | - | 1132.42 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 368.24 | - | 78.50 | - | - | - | - | 1103.02 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 351.80 | - | 74.99 | - | - | - | - | 1053.80 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 333.55 | - | 71.10 | - | - | - | - | 999.15 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 318.66 | - | 67.92 | - | - | - | - | 954.53 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 306.21 | - | 65.27 | - | - | - | - | 917.26 | - |
| 2023-06-11 | 865.09 | - | 848.36 | - | - | - | - | 882.07 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 670.68 | - | 656.56 | - | - | - | - | 685.03 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 619.52 | - | 606.11 | - | - | - | - | 633.14 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 644.58 | - | 630.83 | - | - | - | - | 658.56 | - |
| 2023-07-09 | 606.20 | - | 592.98 | - | - | - | - | 619.63 | - |
| 2023-07-16 | 520.28 | - | 508.29 | - | - | - | - | 532.47 | - |
| 2023-07-23 | 446.56 | - | 435.66 | - | - | - | - | 457.65 | - |
| 2023-07-30 | 405.38 | - | 395.12 | - | - | - | - | 415.84 | - |
| 2023-08-06 | 362.71 | - | 353.12 | - | - | - | - | 372.50 | - |
| 2023-08-13 | 315.70 | - | 306.88 | - | - | - | - | 324.71 | - |
| 2023-08-20 | 281.67 | - | 273.43 | - | - | - | - | 290.10 | - |
| 2023-08-27 | 263.15 | - | 255.23 | - | - | - | - | 271.25 | - |
| 2023-09-03 | 256.32 | - | 248.51 | - | - | - | - | 264.30 | - |
| 2023-09-10 | 244.88 | - | 237.28 | - | - | - | - | 252.65 | - |
| 2023-09-17 | 232.17 | - | 224.81 | - | - | - | - | 239.72 | - |
| 2023-09-24 | 221.80 | - | 214.63 | - | - | - | - | 229.15 | - |
| 2023-10-01 | 213.14 | - | 206.13 | - | - | - | - | 220.33 | - |
| 2023-10-08 | 201.22 | - | 194.43 | - | - | - | - | 208.17 | - |
| 2023-10-15 | 207.99 | - | 201.08 | - | - | - | - | 215.08 | - |
| 2023-10-22 | 192.76 | - | 186.14 | - | - | - | - | 199.54 | - |
| 2023-10-29 | 200.78 | - | 194.01 | - | - | - | - | 207.73 | - |
| 2023-11-05 | 217.33 | - | 210.24 | - | - | - | - | 224.59 | - |
| 2023-11-12 | 224.68 | - | 217.46 | - | - | - | - | 232.09 | - |
| 2023-11-19 | 251.57 | - | 243.85 | - | - | - | - | 259.46 | - |
| 2023-11-26 | 278.11 | - | 269.92 | - | - | - | - | 286.48 | - |
| 2023-12-03 | 297.01 | - | 288.50 | - | - | - | - | 305.71 | - |
| 2023-12-10 | 279.35 | - | 271.15 | - | - | - | - | 287.74 | - |
| 2023-12-17 | 246.48 | - | 238.85 | - | - | - | - | 254.29 | - |
| 2023-12-24 | 250.24 | - | 242.94 | - | - | - | - | 257.69 | - |
| 2023-12-31 | 657.55 | - | 140.20 | - | - | - | - | 1969.46 | - |
| 2024-01-07 | 796.35 | - | 169.79 | - | - | - | - | 2385.11 | - |
| 2024-01-14 | 881.36 | - | 187.92 | - | - | - | - | 2639.73 | - |
| 2024-01-21 | 1049.72 | - | 223.83 | - | - | - | - | 3143.94 | - |
| 2024-01-28 | 1256.50 | - | 267.92 | - | - | - | - | 3763.21 | - |
| 2024-02-04 | 1470.53 | - | 313.56 | - | - | - | - | 4404.17 | - |
| 2024-02-11 | 1795.75 | - | 382.92 | - | - | - | - | 5378.16 | - |
| 2024-02-18 | 2020.24 | - | 430.79 | - | - | - | - | 6050.48 | - |
| 2024-02-25 | 2184.57 | - | 465.84 | - | - | - | - | 6542.60 | - |
| 2024-03-03 | 2349.03 | - | 500.91 | - | - | - | - | 7035.12 | - |
| 2024-03-10 | 2447.99 | - | 522.01 | - | - | - | - | 7331.49 | - |
| 2024-03-17 | 2450.36 | - | 522.52 | - | - | - | - | 7338.60 | - |
| 2024-03-24 | 2289.56 | - | 488.23 | - | - | - | - | 6857.03 | - |
| 2024-03-31 | 2444.59 | - | 521.29 | - | - | - | - | 7321.31 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
