Prediction 694
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state MA.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-21 | 88.69 | - | 12.81 | - | - | - | - | 315.87 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 98.57 | - | 14.23 | - | - | - | - | 351.05 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 110.91 | - | 16.02 | - | - | - | - | 394.98 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 106.78 | - | 15.42 | - | - | - | - | 380.28 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 99.30 | - | 14.34 | - | - | - | - | 353.65 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 75.02 | - | 10.83 | - | - | - | - | 267.21 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 72.34 | - | 10.44 | - | - | - | - | 257.69 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 60.82 | - | 8.78 | - | - | - | - | 216.66 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 54.19 | - | 7.82 | - | - | - | - | 193.07 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 42.13 | - | 6.07 | - | - | - | - | 150.14 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 43.78 | - | 6.31 | - | - | - | - | 156.01 | - |
| 2023-06-11 | 83.70 | - | 79.08 | - | - | - | - | 88.51 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 71.81 | - | 67.65 | - | - | - | - | 76.15 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 60.34 | - | 56.64 | - | - | - | - | 64.22 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 59.06 | - | 55.41 | - | - | - | - | 62.88 | - |
| 2023-07-09 | 59.30 | - | 55.64 | - | - | - | - | 63.14 | - |
| 2023-07-16 | 56.11 | - | 52.58 | - | - | - | - | 59.81 | - |
| 2023-07-23 | 50.86 | - | 47.55 | - | - | - | - | 54.34 | - |
| 2023-07-30 | 56.53 | - | 52.98 | - | - | - | - | 60.25 | - |
| 2023-08-06 | 63.61 | - | 59.77 | - | - | - | - | 67.62 | - |
| 2023-08-13 | 61.24 | - | 57.50 | - | - | - | - | 65.15 | - |
| 2023-08-20 | 56.95 | - | 53.38 | - | - | - | - | 60.69 | - |
| 2023-08-27 | 43.02 | - | 40.05 | - | - | - | - | 46.16 | - |
| 2023-09-03 | 41.49 | - | 38.58 | - | - | - | - | 44.55 | - |
| 2023-09-10 | 34.88 | - | 32.28 | - | - | - | - | 37.63 | - |
| 2023-09-17 | 31.08 | - | 28.66 | - | - | - | - | 33.64 | - |
| 2023-09-24 | 24.16 | - | 22.09 | - | - | - | - | 26.37 | - |
| 2023-10-01 | 25.11 | - | 22.99 | - | - | - | - | 27.36 | - |
| 2023-10-08 | 22.64 | - | 20.66 | - | - | - | - | 24.76 | - |
| 2023-10-15 | 23.30 | - | 21.28 | - | - | - | - | 25.46 | - |
| 2023-10-22 | 19.49 | - | 17.67 | - | - | - | - | 21.43 | - |
| 2023-10-29 | 24.11 | - | 22.04 | - | - | - | - | 26.32 | - |
| 2023-11-05 | 22.14 | - | 20.18 | - | - | - | - | 24.23 | - |
| 2023-11-12 | 25.74 | - | 23.60 | - | - | - | - | 28.04 | - |
| 2023-11-19 | 25.57 | - | 23.43 | - | - | - | - | 27.85 | - |
| 2023-11-26 | 27.08 | - | 24.86 | - | - | - | - | 29.44 | - |
| 2023-12-03 | 32.62 | - | 30.12 | - | - | - | - | 35.27 | - |
| 2023-12-10 | 28.14 | - | 25.87 | - | - | - | - | 30.56 | - |
| 2023-12-17 | 25.42 | - | 23.28 | - | - | - | - | 27.70 | - |
| 2023-12-24 | 28.49 | - | 26.23 | - | - | - | - | 30.88 | - |
| 2023-12-31 | 92.80 | - | 13.40 | - | - | - | - | 330.52 | - |
| 2024-01-07 | 143.52 | - | 20.74 | - | - | - | - | 511.06 | - |
| 2024-01-14 | 186.35 | - | 26.93 | - | - | - | - | 663.52 | - |
| 2024-01-21 | 208.25 | - | 30.10 | - | - | - | - | 741.47 | - |
| 2024-01-28 | 232.90 | - | 33.66 | - | - | - | - | 829.20 | - |
| 2024-02-04 | 311.27 | - | 44.99 | - | - | - | - | 1108.17 | - |
| 2024-02-11 | 362.45 | - | 52.39 | - | - | - | - | 1290.36 | - |
| 2024-02-18 | 363.09 | - | 52.49 | - | - | - | - | 1292.65 | - |
| 2024-02-25 | 427.11 | - | 61.74 | - | - | - | - | 1520.53 | - |
| 2024-03-03 | 427.78 | - | 61.84 | - | - | - | - | 1522.91 | - |
| 2024-03-10 | 418.26 | - | 60.46 | - | - | - | - | 1489.03 | - |
| 2024-03-17 | 377.83 | - | 54.62 | - | - | - | - | 1345.12 | - |
| 2024-03-24 | 377.71 | - | 54.60 | - | - | - | - | 1344.69 | - |
| 2024-03-31 | 342.28 | - | 49.48 | - | - | - | - | 1218.56 | - |
| 2024-04-07 | 330.59 | - | 47.79 | - | - | - | - | 1176.97 | - |
| 2024-04-14 | 358.64 | - | 51.84 | - | - | - | - | 1276.79 | - |
| 2024-04-21 | 330.72 | - | 47.81 | - | - | - | - | 1177.43 | - |
| 2024-04-28 | 265.09 | - | 38.31 | - | - | - | - | 943.78 | - |
| 2024-05-05 | 228.43 | - | 33.01 | - | - | - | - | 813.32 | - |
| 2024-05-12 | 223.78 | - | 32.34 | - | - | - | - | 796.75 | - |
| 2024-05-19 | 188.92 | - | 27.30 | - | - | - | - | 672.68 | - |
| 2024-05-26 | 168.27 | - | 24.32 | - | - | - | - | 599.17 | - |
| 2024-06-02 | 162.52 | - | 23.48 | - | - | - | - | 578.69 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 145.94 | - | 21.09 | - | - | - | - | 519.68 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 125.21 | - | 18.09 | - | - | - | - | 445.90 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 105.22 | - | 15.20 | - | - | - | - | 374.71 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 102.98 | - | 14.87 | - | - | - | - | 366.74 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 103.41 | - | 14.93 | - | - | - | - | 368.27 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 97.84 | - | 14.13 | - | - | - | - | 348.46 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
