Prediction 695
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state PB.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-11 | 217.61 | - | 209.58 | - | - | - | - | 225.86 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 194.38 | - | 187.04 | - | - | - | - | 201.93 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 192.18 | - | 184.90 | - | - | - | - | 199.66 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 186.73 | - | 179.62 | - | - | - | - | 194.05 | - |
| 2023-07-09 | 172.02 | - | 165.35 | - | - | - | - | 178.89 | - |
| 2023-07-16 | 161.62 | - | 155.26 | - | - | - | - | 168.17 | - |
| 2023-07-23 | 137.38 | - | 131.76 | - | - | - | - | 143.18 | - |
| 2023-07-30 | 126.26 | - | 120.98 | - | - | - | - | 131.70 | - |
| 2023-08-06 | 117.00 | - | 112.01 | - | - | - | - | 122.15 | - |
| 2023-08-13 | 114.39 | - | 109.48 | - | - | - | - | 119.46 | - |
| 2023-08-20 | 93.20 | - | 88.96 | - | - | - | - | 97.58 | - |
| 2023-08-27 | 90.23 | - | 86.10 | - | - | - | - | 94.52 | - |
| 2023-09-03 | 81.13 | - | 77.29 | - | - | - | - | 85.11 | - |
| 2023-09-10 | 72.77 | - | 69.21 | - | - | - | - | 76.46 | - |
| 2023-09-17 | 66.03 | - | 62.70 | - | - | - | - | 69.50 | - |
| 2023-09-24 | 56.89 | - | 53.87 | - | - | - | - | 60.02 | - |
| 2023-10-01 | 57.43 | - | 54.39 | - | - | - | - | 60.58 | - |
| 2023-10-08 | 52.01 | - | 49.18 | - | - | - | - | 54.97 | - |
| 2023-10-15 | 48.64 | - | 45.93 | - | - | - | - | 51.48 | - |
| 2023-10-22 | 41.63 | - | 39.17 | - | - | - | - | 44.19 | - |
| 2023-10-29 | 40.35 | - | 37.95 | - | - | - | - | 42.86 | - |
| 2023-11-05 | 40.01 | - | 37.63 | - | - | - | - | 42.51 | - |
| 2023-11-12 | 40.44 | - | 38.04 | - | - | - | - | 42.96 | - |
| 2023-11-19 | 40.36 | - | 37.96 | - | - | - | - | 42.88 | - |
| 2023-11-26 | 46.33 | - | 43.70 | - | - | - | - | 49.07 | - |
| 2023-12-03 | 60.08 | - | 56.95 | - | - | - | - | 63.34 | - |
| 2023-12-10 | 56.82 | - | 53.81 | - | - | - | - | 59.95 | - |
| 2023-12-17 | 54.55 | - | 51.62 | - | - | - | - | 57.60 | - |
| 2023-12-24 | 44.26 | - | 41.73 | - | - | - | - | 46.90 | - |
| 2023-12-31 | 144.68 | - | 31.23 | - | - | - | - | 430.71 | - |
| 2024-01-07 | 158.65 | - | 34.25 | - | - | - | - | 472.30 | - |
| 2024-01-14 | 195.48 | - | 42.20 | - | - | - | - | 581.89 | - |
| 2024-01-21 | 231.90 | - | 50.07 | - | - | - | - | 690.26 | - |
| 2024-01-28 | 272.44 | - | 58.83 | - | - | - | - | 810.91 | - |
| 2024-02-04 | 297.95 | - | 64.34 | - | - | - | - | 886.83 | - |
| 2024-02-11 | 371.52 | - | 80.24 | - | - | - | - | 1105.76 | - |
| 2024-02-18 | 375.23 | - | 81.04 | - | - | - | - | 1116.80 | - |
| 2024-02-25 | 469.77 | - | 101.47 | - | - | - | - | 1398.14 | - |
| 2024-03-03 | 514.80 | - | 111.20 | - | - | - | - | 1532.13 | - |
| 2024-03-10 | 529.92 | - | 114.46 | - | - | - | - | 1577.13 | - |
| 2024-03-17 | 518.10 | - | 111.91 | - | - | - | - | 1541.94 | - |
| 2024-03-24 | 540.78 | - | 116.81 | - | - | - | - | 1609.45 | - |
| 2024-03-31 | 584.40 | - | 126.23 | - | - | - | - | 1739.24 | - |
| 2024-04-07 | 605.13 | - | 130.71 | - | - | - | - | 1800.91 | - |
| 2024-04-14 | 602.86 | - | 130.22 | - | - | - | - | 1794.17 | - |
| 2024-04-21 | 596.60 | - | 128.87 | - | - | - | - | 1775.53 | - |
| 2024-04-28 | 681.32 | - | 147.17 | - | - | - | - | 2027.65 | - |
| 2024-05-05 | 717.94 | - | 155.08 | - | - | - | - | 2136.61 | - |
| 2024-05-12 | 737.66 | - | 159.34 | - | - | - | - | 2195.30 | - |
| 2024-05-19 | 635.83 | - | 137.34 | - | - | - | - | 1892.28 | - |
| 2024-05-26 | 624.50 | - | 134.90 | - | - | - | - | 1858.58 | - |
| 2024-06-02 | 570.25 | - | 123.18 | - | - | - | - | 1697.14 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 495.94 | - | 107.12 | - | - | - | - | 1476.01 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 443.00 | - | 95.68 | - | - | - | - | 1318.48 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 437.98 | - | 94.60 | - | - | - | - | 1303.53 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 425.56 | - | 91.91 | - | - | - | - | 1266.58 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 392.04 | - | 84.67 | - | - | - | - | 1166.83 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 368.34 | - | 79.55 | - | - | - | - | 1096.31 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 313.10 | - | 67.62 | - | - | - | - | 931.92 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 287.75 | - | 62.14 | - | - | - | - | 856.48 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 266.65 | - | 57.58 | - | - | - | - | 793.69 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 260.69 | - | 56.29 | - | - | - | - | 775.96 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 212.41 | - | 45.86 | - | - | - | - | 632.28 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 205.65 | - | 44.40 | - | - | - | - | 612.16 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 184.90 | - | 39.92 | - | - | - | - | 550.41 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 165.84 | - | 35.80 | - | - | - | - | 493.69 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 150.50 | - | 32.49 | - | - | - | - | 448.03 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 129.65 | - | 27.98 | - | - | - | - | 385.99 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 130.88 | - | 28.25 | - | - | - | - | 389.65 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
