Prediction 696
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state PE.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-11 | 174.23 | - | 168.69 | - | - | - | - | 179.90 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 146.69 | - | 141.93 | - | - | - | - | 151.58 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 145.94 | - | 141.19 | - | - | - | - | 150.80 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 138.89 | - | 134.34 | - | - | - | - | 143.55 | - |
| 2023-07-09 | 125.36 | - | 121.19 | - | - | - | - | 129.63 | - |
| 2023-07-16 | 116.64 | - | 112.72 | - | - | - | - | 120.66 | - |
| 2023-07-23 | 97.88 | - | 94.49 | - | - | - | - | 101.35 | - |
| 2023-07-30 | 96.47 | - | 93.12 | - | - | - | - | 99.90 | - |
| 2023-08-06 | 92.23 | - | 89.01 | - | - | - | - | 95.55 | - |
| 2023-08-13 | 85.68 | - | 82.64 | - | - | - | - | 88.80 | - |
| 2023-08-20 | 82.84 | - | 79.88 | - | - | - | - | 85.88 | - |
| 2023-08-27 | 76.87 | - | 74.08 | - | - | - | - | 79.73 | - |
| 2023-09-03 | 74.23 | - | 71.53 | - | - | - | - | 77.02 | - |
| 2023-09-10 | 69.07 | - | 66.51 | - | - | - | - | 71.70 | - |
| 2023-09-17 | 61.72 | - | 59.38 | - | - | - | - | 64.14 | - |
| 2023-09-24 | 63.30 | - | 60.91 | - | - | - | - | 65.76 | - |
| 2023-10-01 | 62.27 | - | 59.91 | - | - | - | - | 64.70 | - |
| 2023-10-08 | 59.56 | - | 57.28 | - | - | - | - | 61.91 | - |
| 2023-10-15 | 63.13 | - | 60.74 | - | - | - | - | 65.58 | - |
| 2023-10-22 | 69.79 | - | 67.21 | - | - | - | - | 72.44 | - |
| 2023-10-29 | 84.79 | - | 81.78 | - | - | - | - | 87.89 | - |
| 2023-11-05 | 99.25 | - | 95.82 | - | - | - | - | 102.77 | - |
| 2023-11-12 | 107.90 | - | 104.23 | - | - | - | - | 111.67 | - |
| 2023-11-19 | 101.04 | - | 97.56 | - | - | - | - | 104.61 | - |
| 2023-11-26 | 120.12 | - | 116.10 | - | - | - | - | 124.24 | - |
| 2023-12-03 | 118.43 | - | 114.46 | - | - | - | - | 122.50 | - |
| 2023-12-10 | 113.45 | - | 109.62 | - | - | - | - | 117.38 | - |
| 2023-12-17 | 88.65 | - | 85.53 | - | - | - | - | 91.86 | - |
| 2023-12-24 | 75.22 | - | 72.51 | - | - | - | - | 78.01 | - |
| 2023-12-31 | 848.81 | - | 101.20 | - | - | - | - | 3254.85 | - |
| 2024-01-07 | 904.67 | - | 107.86 | - | - | - | - | 3469.02 | - |
| 2024-01-14 | 969.86 | - | 115.64 | - | - | - | - | 3719.01 | - |
| 2024-01-21 | 1036.61 | - | 123.59 | - | - | - | - | 3974.96 | - |
| 2024-01-28 | 1155.80 | - | 137.81 | - | - | - | - | 4431.99 | - |
| 2024-02-04 | 1278.38 | - | 152.42 | - | - | - | - | 4902.02 | - |
| 2024-02-11 | 1336.94 | - | 159.41 | - | - | - | - | 5126.54 | - |
| 2024-02-18 | 1399.73 | - | 166.89 | - | - | - | - | 5367.32 | - |
| 2024-02-25 | 1453.95 | - | 173.36 | - | - | - | - | 5575.19 | - |
| 2024-03-03 | 1500.53 | - | 178.91 | - | - | - | - | 5753.83 | - |
| 2024-03-10 | 1596.74 | - | 190.39 | - | - | - | - | 6122.75 | - |
| 2024-03-17 | 1592.20 | - | 189.85 | - | - | - | - | 6105.32 | - |
| 2024-03-24 | 1475.85 | - | 175.97 | - | - | - | - | 5659.19 | - |
| 2024-03-31 | 1614.59 | - | 192.51 | - | - | - | - | 6191.17 | - |
| 2024-04-07 | 1623.09 | - | 193.53 | - | - | - | - | 6223.75 | - |
| 2024-04-14 | 1690.18 | - | 201.53 | - | - | - | - | 6481.03 | - |
| 2024-04-21 | 1687.28 | - | 201.18 | - | - | - | - | 6469.91 | - |
| 2024-04-28 | 1772.35 | - | 211.33 | - | - | - | - | 6796.09 | - |
| 2024-05-05 | 1717.64 | - | 204.80 | - | - | - | - | 6586.32 | - |
| 2024-05-12 | 1710.16 | - | 203.91 | - | - | - | - | 6557.64 | - |
| 2024-05-19 | 1519.82 | - | 181.21 | - | - | - | - | 5827.80 | - |
| 2024-05-26 | 1453.67 | - | 173.33 | - | - | - | - | 5574.13 | - |
| 2024-06-02 | 1347.23 | - | 160.63 | - | - | - | - | 5166.00 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 1146.42 | - | 136.69 | - | - | - | - | 4396.01 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 965.23 | - | 115.08 | - | - | - | - | 3701.24 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 960.26 | - | 114.49 | - | - | - | - | 3682.19 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 913.89 | - | 108.96 | - | - | - | - | 3504.38 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 824.86 | - | 98.34 | - | - | - | - | 3163.01 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 767.51 | - | 91.51 | - | - | - | - | 2943.11 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 644.03 | - | 76.78 | - | - | - | - | 2469.64 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 634.76 | - | 75.68 | - | - | - | - | 2434.09 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 606.89 | - | 72.35 | - | - | - | - | 2327.24 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 563.74 | - | 67.21 | - | - | - | - | 2161.76 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 545.09 | - | 64.98 | - | - | - | - | 2090.26 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 505.79 | - | 60.30 | - | - | - | - | 1939.58 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 488.46 | - | 58.23 | - | - | - | - | 1873.12 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 454.50 | - | 54.18 | - | - | - | - | 1742.89 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 406.14 | - | 48.42 | - | - | - | - | 1557.46 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 416.52 | - | 49.65 | - | - | - | - | 1597.28 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 409.76 | - | 48.85 | - | - | - | - | 1571.34 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
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Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
