Prediction 698
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state RN.
Mostrar Tabela
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-11 | 199.80 | - | 192.93 | - | - | - | - | 206.84 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 183.61 | - | 177.21 | - | - | - | - | 190.18 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 159.84 | - | 154.12 | - | - | - | - | 165.70 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 158.72 | - | 153.04 | - | - | - | - | 164.55 | - |
| 2023-07-09 | 153.39 | - | 147.86 | - | - | - | - | 159.06 | - |
| 2023-07-16 | 142.98 | - | 137.76 | - | - | - | - | 148.34 | - |
| 2023-07-23 | 126.30 | - | 121.57 | - | - | - | - | 131.17 | - |
| 2023-07-30 | 119.00 | - | 114.48 | - | - | - | - | 123.65 | - |
| 2023-08-06 | 115.73 | - | 111.31 | - | - | - | - | 120.28 | - |
| 2023-08-13 | 97.06 | - | 93.20 | - | - | - | - | 101.04 | - |
| 2023-08-20 | 84.76 | - | 81.27 | - | - | - | - | 88.36 | - |
| 2023-08-27 | 71.30 | - | 68.23 | - | - | - | - | 74.48 | - |
| 2023-09-03 | 65.49 | - | 62.60 | - | - | - | - | 68.48 | - |
| 2023-09-10 | 58.86 | - | 56.18 | - | - | - | - | 61.63 | - |
| 2023-09-17 | 52.02 | - | 49.56 | - | - | - | - | 54.56 | - |
| 2023-09-24 | 43.16 | - | 40.99 | - | - | - | - | 45.41 | - |
| 2023-10-01 | 43.44 | - | 41.27 | - | - | - | - | 45.70 | - |
| 2023-10-08 | 42.73 | - | 40.58 | - | - | - | - | 44.96 | - |
| 2023-10-15 | 42.27 | - | 40.14 | - | - | - | - | 44.49 | - |
| 2023-10-22 | 36.56 | - | 34.62 | - | - | - | - | 38.57 | - |
| 2023-10-29 | 33.70 | - | 31.86 | - | - | - | - | 35.61 | - |
| 2023-11-05 | 37.48 | - | 35.51 | - | - | - | - | 39.53 | - |
| 2023-11-12 | 37.09 | - | 35.14 | - | - | - | - | 39.12 | - |
| 2023-11-19 | 37.66 | - | 35.69 | - | - | - | - | 39.72 | - |
| 2023-11-26 | 39.92 | - | 37.87 | - | - | - | - | 42.06 | - |
| 2023-12-03 | 37.54 | - | 35.57 | - | - | - | - | 39.59 | - |
| 2023-12-10 | 37.03 | - | 35.08 | - | - | - | - | 39.06 | - |
| 2023-12-17 | 34.84 | - | 32.96 | - | - | - | - | 36.79 | - |
| 2023-12-24 | 33.72 | - | 31.91 | - | - | - | - | 35.61 | - |
| 2023-12-31 | 218.48 | - | 28.60 | - | - | - | - | 808.92 | - |
| 2024-01-07 | 247.06 | - | 32.35 | - | - | - | - | 914.72 | - |
| 2024-01-14 | 304.43 | - | 39.86 | - | - | - | - | 1127.08 | - |
| 2024-01-21 | 370.97 | - | 48.58 | - | - | - | - | 1373.41 | - |
| 2024-01-28 | 496.03 | - | 64.96 | - | - | - | - | 1836.35 | - |
| 2024-02-04 | 623.11 | - | 81.60 | - | - | - | - | 2306.77 | - |
| 2024-02-11 | 776.43 | - | 101.69 | - | - | - | - | 2874.33 | - |
| 2024-02-18 | 836.95 | - | 109.61 | - | - | - | - | 3098.33 | - |
| 2024-02-25 | 975.35 | - | 127.74 | - | - | - | - | 3610.67 | - |
| 2024-03-03 | 961.65 | - | 125.95 | - | - | - | - | 3559.95 | - |
| 2024-03-10 | 990.29 | - | 129.70 | - | - | - | - | 3665.96 | - |
| 2024-03-17 | 930.62 | - | 121.89 | - | - | - | - | 3445.09 | - |
| 2024-03-24 | 868.88 | - | 113.80 | - | - | - | - | 3216.54 | - |
| 2024-03-31 | 1017.11 | - | 133.22 | - | - | - | - | 3765.26 | - |
| 2024-04-07 | 1067.71 | - | 139.84 | - | - | - | - | 3952.57 | - |
| 2024-04-14 | 1059.91 | - | 138.82 | - | - | - | - | 3923.70 | - |
| 2024-04-21 | 1038.20 | - | 135.98 | - | - | - | - | 3843.32 | - |
| 2024-04-28 | 1060.26 | - | 138.87 | - | - | - | - | 3924.98 | - |
| 2024-05-05 | 1016.72 | - | 133.16 | - | - | - | - | 3763.79 | - |
| 2024-05-12 | 1052.69 | - | 137.88 | - | - | - | - | 3896.96 | - |
| 2024-05-19 | 953.71 | - | 124.91 | - | - | - | - | 3530.56 | - |
| 2024-05-26 | 894.73 | - | 117.18 | - | - | - | - | 3312.25 | - |
| 2024-06-02 | 856.83 | - | 112.22 | - | - | - | - | 3171.92 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 765.27 | - | 100.23 | - | - | - | - | 2833.00 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 703.27 | - | 92.10 | - | - | - | - | 2603.50 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 612.21 | - | 80.18 | - | - | - | - | 2266.40 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 607.92 | - | 79.61 | - | - | - | - | 2250.54 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 587.50 | - | 76.94 | - | - | - | - | 2174.94 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 547.63 | - | 71.72 | - | - | - | - | 2027.38 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 483.75 | - | 63.35 | - | - | - | - | 1790.89 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 455.80 | - | 59.69 | - | - | - | - | 1687.44 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 443.26 | - | 58.05 | - | - | - | - | 1641.00 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 371.78 | - | 48.68 | - | - | - | - | 1376.39 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 324.64 | - | 42.51 | - | - | - | - | 1201.91 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 273.10 | - | 35.76 | - | - | - | - | 1011.12 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 250.85 | - | 32.84 | - | - | - | - | 928.76 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 225.44 | - | 29.51 | - | - | - | - | 834.68 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 199.23 | - | 26.08 | - | - | - | - | 737.67 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 165.30 | - | 21.64 | - | - | - | - | 612.08 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 166.39 | - | 21.78 | - | - | - | - | 616.10 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
