Prediction 700
| Model | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Goiás |
Description:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state GO.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-11 | 999.56 | - | 984.21 | - | - | - | - | 1015.09 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 816.14 | - | 802.72 | - | - | - | - | 829.72 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 636.85 | - | 625.40 | - | - | - | - | 648.44 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 509.11 | - | 499.15 | - | - | - | - | 519.21 | - |
| 2023-07-09 | 432.42 | - | 423.40 | - | - | - | - | 441.59 | - |
| 2023-07-16 | 379.28 | - | 370.94 | - | - | - | - | 387.77 | - |
| 2023-07-23 | 316.95 | - | 309.43 | - | - | - | - | 324.59 | - |
| 2023-07-30 | 309.52 | - | 302.11 | - | - | - | - | 317.07 | - |
| 2023-08-06 | 287.94 | - | 280.83 | - | - | - | - | 295.18 | - |
| 2023-08-13 | 285.46 | - | 278.39 | - | - | - | - | 292.67 | - |
| 2023-08-20 | 263.44 | - | 256.69 | - | - | - | - | 270.33 | - |
| 2023-08-27 | 248.18 | - | 241.65 | - | - | - | - | 254.84 | - |
| 2023-09-03 | 246.78 | - | 240.27 | - | - | - | - | 253.41 | - |
| 2023-09-10 | 263.02 | - | 256.27 | - | - | - | - | 269.90 | - |
| 2023-09-17 | 276.14 | - | 269.20 | - | - | - | - | 283.21 | - |
| 2023-09-24 | 286.55 | - | 279.46 | - | - | - | - | 293.77 | - |
| 2023-10-01 | 307.79 | - | 300.41 | - | - | - | - | 315.31 | - |
| 2023-10-08 | 311.20 | - | 303.77 | - | - | - | - | 318.77 | - |
| 2023-10-15 | 337.03 | - | 329.24 | - | - | - | - | 344.95 | - |
| 2023-10-22 | 323.24 | - | 315.64 | - | - | - | - | 330.98 | - |
| 2023-10-29 | 330.00 | - | 322.31 | - | - | - | - | 337.82 | - |
| 2023-11-05 | 388.21 | - | 379.75 | - | - | - | - | 396.80 | - |
| 2023-11-12 | 424.71 | - | 415.79 | - | - | - | - | 433.78 | - |
| 2023-11-19 | 489.64 | - | 479.92 | - | - | - | - | 499.51 | - |
| 2023-11-26 | 536.82 | - | 526.53 | - | - | - | - | 547.25 | - |
| 2023-12-03 | 617.16 | - | 605.94 | - | - | - | - | 628.53 | - |
| 2023-12-10 | 609.21 | - | 598.08 | - | - | - | - | 620.49 | - |
| 2023-12-17 | 498.16 | - | 488.33 | - | - | - | - | 508.14 | - |
| 2023-12-24 | 516.23 | - | 506.60 | - | - | - | - | 525.99 | - |
| 2023-12-31 | 2353.05 | - | 622.72 | - | - | - | - | 6308.73 | - |
| 2024-01-07 | 2749.07 | - | 727.53 | - | - | - | - | 7370.47 | - |
| 2024-01-14 | 3163.85 | - | 837.30 | - | - | - | - | 8482.50 | - |
| 2024-01-21 | 3456.30 | - | 914.70 | - | - | - | - | 9266.55 | - |
| 2024-01-28 | 3993.34 | - | 1056.84 | - | - | - | - | 10706.36 | - |
| 2024-02-04 | 3962.70 | - | 1048.72 | - | - | - | - | 10624.20 | - |
| 2024-02-11 | 4187.35 | - | 1108.18 | - | - | - | - | 11226.50 | - |
| 2024-02-18 | 4316.80 | - | 1142.44 | - | - | - | - | 11573.55 | - |
| 2024-02-25 | 4662.36 | - | 1233.90 | - | - | - | - | 12500.00 | - |
| 2024-03-03 | 4761.03 | - | 1260.01 | - | - | - | - | 12764.53 | - |
| 2024-03-10 | 4917.18 | - | 1301.34 | - | - | - | - | 13183.17 | - |
| 2024-03-17 | 4890.26 | - | 1294.21 | - | - | - | - | 13110.99 | - |
| 2024-03-24 | 4722.31 | - | 1249.76 | - | - | - | - | 12660.71 | - |
| 2024-03-31 | 5010.08 | - | 1325.92 | - | - | - | - | 13432.22 | - |
| 2024-04-07 | 4700.82 | - | 1244.07 | - | - | - | - | 12603.10 | - |
| 2024-04-14 | 4588.82 | - | 1214.43 | - | - | - | - | 12302.83 | - |
| 2024-04-21 | 4601.00 | - | 1217.66 | - | - | - | - | 12335.50 | - |
| 2024-04-28 | 4547.95 | - | 1203.62 | - | - | - | - | 12193.25 | - |
| 2024-05-05 | 4216.19 | - | 1115.81 | - | - | - | - | 11303.82 | - |
| 2024-05-12 | 3685.28 | - | 975.30 | - | - | - | - | 9880.45 | - |
| 2024-05-19 | 3016.89 | - | 798.41 | - | - | - | - | 8088.48 | - |
| 2024-05-26 | 2585.53 | - | 684.24 | - | - | - | - | 6932.02 | - |
| 2024-06-02 | 2266.29 | - | 599.76 | - | - | - | - | 6076.15 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 1880.34 | - | 497.61 | - | - | - | - | 5041.42 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 1535.29 | - | 406.29 | - | - | - | - | 4116.33 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 1198.02 | - | 317.02 | - | - | - | - | 3212.10 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 957.71 | - | 253.43 | - | - | - | - | 2567.86 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 813.46 | - | 215.25 | - | - | - | - | 2181.10 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 713.49 | - | 188.79 | - | - | - | - | 1913.10 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 596.23 | - | 157.75 | - | - | - | - | 1598.71 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 582.26 | - | 154.06 | - | - | - | - | 1561.27 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 541.66 | - | 143.31 | - | - | - | - | 1452.42 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 537.00 | - | 142.08 | - | - | - | - | 1439.92 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 495.58 | - | 131.12 | - | - | - | - | 1328.87 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 466.87 | - | 123.52 | - | - | - | - | 1251.89 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 464.23 | - | 122.82 | - | - | - | - | 1244.81 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 494.79 | - | 130.91 | - | - | - | - | 1326.76 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 519.47 | - | 137.44 | - | - | - | - | 1392.92 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 539.05 | - | 142.62 | - | - | - | - | 1445.42 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 579.01 | - | 153.20 | - | - | - | - | 1552.55 | - |
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Confidence Interval
To toggle the Prediction's Confidence Interval bounds of the in the chart, click in the Prediction's legend
or line
Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
