Prediction 702
Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
---|---|
Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state MS.
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date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-06-11 | 438.97 | - | 425.68 | - | - | - | - | 452.57 | - |
2023-06-18 | 370.57 | - | 358.48 | - | - | - | - | 382.95 | - |
2023-06-25 | 302.30 | - | 291.51 | - | - | - | - | 313.39 | - |
2023-07-02 | 241.46 | - | 231.93 | - | - | - | - | 251.29 | - |
2023-07-09 | 198.04 | - | 189.49 | - | - | - | - | 206.88 | - |
2023-07-16 | 173.49 | - | 165.54 | - | - | - | - | 181.73 | - |
2023-07-23 | 153.59 | - | 146.15 | - | - | - | - | 161.31 | - |
2023-07-30 | 153.17 | - | 145.73 | - | - | - | - | 160.88 | - |
2023-08-06 | 135.14 | - | 128.20 | - | - | - | - | 142.36 | - |
2023-08-13 | 132.92 | - | 126.04 | - | - | - | - | 140.07 | - |
2023-08-20 | 123.20 | - | 116.60 | - | - | - | - | 130.07 | - |
2023-08-27 | 128.93 | - | 122.17 | - | - | - | - | 135.97 | - |
2023-09-03 | 127.51 | - | 120.78 | - | - | - | - | 134.50 | - |
2023-09-10 | 139.01 | - | 131.96 | - | - | - | - | 146.33 | - |
2023-09-17 | 136.78 | - | 129.79 | - | - | - | - | 144.04 | - |
2023-09-24 | 144.82 | - | 137.61 | - | - | - | - | 152.30 | - |
2023-10-01 | 145.14 | - | 137.92 | - | - | - | - | 152.63 | - |
2023-10-08 | 146.80 | - | 139.54 | - | - | - | - | 154.34 | - |
2023-10-15 | 173.74 | - | 165.77 | - | - | - | - | 181.98 | - |
2023-10-22 | 193.24 | - | 184.80 | - | - | - | - | 201.96 | - |
2023-10-29 | 221.03 | - | 211.94 | - | - | - | - | 230.40 | - |
2023-11-05 | 277.41 | - | 267.11 | - | - | - | - | 287.99 | - |
2023-11-12 | 336.56 | - | 325.10 | - | - | - | - | 348.31 | - |
2023-11-19 | 443.55 | - | 430.18 | - | - | - | - | 457.22 | - |
2023-11-26 | 534.13 | - | 519.27 | - | - | - | - | 549.30 | - |
2023-12-03 | 597.57 | - | 581.72 | - | - | - | - | 613.73 | - |
2023-12-10 | 641.19 | - | 624.68 | - | - | - | - | 658.02 | - |
2023-12-17 | 565.76 | - | 550.40 | - | - | - | - | 581.44 | - |
2023-12-24 | 668.26 | - | 652.08 | - | - | - | - | 684.74 | - |
2023-12-31 | 1131.80 | - | 115.43 | - | - | - | - | 4585.80 | - |
2024-01-07 | 1456.33 | - | 148.53 | - | - | - | - | 5900.68 | - |
2024-01-14 | 1807.66 | - | 184.36 | - | - | - | - | 7324.17 | - |
2024-01-21 | 2102.25 | - | 214.41 | - | - | - | - | 8517.72 | - |
2024-01-28 | 2218.12 | - | 226.23 | - | - | - | - | 8987.18 | - |
2024-02-04 | 2198.43 | - | 224.22 | - | - | - | - | 8907.40 | - |
2024-02-11 | 2219.28 | - | 226.35 | - | - | - | - | 8991.91 | - |
2024-02-18 | 2156.00 | - | 219.89 | - | - | - | - | 8735.50 | - |
2024-02-25 | 2254.79 | - | 229.97 | - | - | - | - | 9135.76 | - |
2024-03-03 | 2275.74 | - | 232.10 | - | - | - | - | 9220.66 | - |
2024-03-10 | 2296.11 | - | 234.18 | - | - | - | - | 9303.20 | - |
2024-03-17 | 2177.39 | - | 222.07 | - | - | - | - | 8822.16 | - |
2024-03-24 | 2024.42 | - | 206.47 | - | - | - | - | 8202.39 | - |
2024-03-31 | 1925.10 | - | 196.34 | - | - | - | - | 7799.98 | - |
2024-04-07 | 1875.86 | - | 191.32 | - | - | - | - | 7600.47 | - |
2024-04-14 | 1684.94 | - | 171.85 | - | - | - | - | 6826.94 | - |
2024-04-21 | 1489.94 | - | 151.96 | - | - | - | - | 6036.87 | - |
2024-04-28 | 1388.28 | - | 141.59 | - | - | - | - | 5624.99 | - |
2024-05-05 | 1159.35 | - | 118.24 | - | - | - | - | 4697.44 | - |
2024-05-12 | 899.65 | - | 91.75 | - | - | - | - | 3645.21 | - |
2024-05-19 | 672.64 | - | 68.59 | - | - | - | - | 2725.45 | - |
2024-05-26 | 554.25 | - | 56.52 | - | - | - | - | 2245.78 | - |
2024-06-02 | 458.68 | - | 46.77 | - | - | - | - | 1858.57 | - |
2024-06-09 | 389.10 | - | 39.67 | - | - | - | - | 1576.67 | - |
2024-06-16 | 328.46 | - | 33.49 | - | - | - | - | 1331.00 | - |
2024-06-23 | 267.96 | - | 27.32 | - | - | - | - | 1085.84 | - |
2024-06-30 | 214.03 | - | 21.82 | - | - | - | - | 867.35 | - |
2024-07-07 | 175.54 | - | 17.89 | - | - | - | - | 711.40 | - |
2024-07-14 | 153.78 | - | 15.67 | - | - | - | - | 623.24 | - |
2024-07-21 | 136.14 | - | 13.87 | - | - | - | - | 551.77 | - |
2024-07-28 | 135.76 | - | 13.83 | - | - | - | - | 550.24 | - |
2024-08-04 | 119.79 | - | 12.21 | - | - | - | - | 485.51 | - |
2024-08-11 | 117.82 | - | 12.00 | - | - | - | - | 477.52 | - |
2024-08-18 | 109.20 | - | 11.13 | - | - | - | - | 442.62 | - |
2024-08-25 | 114.28 | - | 11.64 | - | - | - | - | 463.21 | - |
2024-09-01 | 113.02 | - | 11.51 | - | - | - | - | 458.08 | - |
2024-09-08 | 123.22 | - | 12.55 | - | - | - | - | 499.40 | - |
2024-09-15 | 121.24 | - | 12.35 | - | - | - | - | 491.38 | - |
2024-09-22 | 128.37 | - | 13.08 | - | - | - | - | 520.27 | - |
2024-09-29 | 128.65 | - | 13.11 | - | - | - | - | 521.40 | - |