Prediction 703
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state DF.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-11 | 677.77 | - | 660.33 | - | - | - | - | 695.55 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 491.75 | - | 477.54 | - | - | - | - | 506.26 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 391.45 | - | 379.12 | - | - | - | - | 404.08 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 302.60 | - | 292.03 | - | - | - | - | 313.45 | - |
| 2023-07-09 | 242.45 | - | 233.17 | - | - | - | - | 252.00 | - |
| 2023-07-16 | 217.62 | - | 208.91 | - | - | - | - | 226.60 | - |
| 2023-07-23 | 182.25 | - | 174.38 | - | - | - | - | 190.37 | - |
| 2023-07-30 | 161.99 | - | 154.63 | - | - | - | - | 169.60 | - |
| 2023-08-06 | 139.27 | - | 132.52 | - | - | - | - | 146.27 | - |
| 2023-08-13 | 128.14 | - | 121.70 | - | - | - | - | 134.82 | - |
| 2023-08-20 | 119.18 | - | 113.00 | - | - | - | - | 125.61 | - |
| 2023-08-27 | 111.46 | - | 105.51 | - | - | - | - | 117.65 | - |
| 2023-09-03 | 118.71 | - | 112.55 | - | - | - | - | 125.13 | - |
| 2023-09-10 | 125.20 | - | 118.85 | - | - | - | - | 131.80 | - |
| 2023-09-17 | 123.33 | - | 117.03 | - | - | - | - | 129.87 | - |
| 2023-09-24 | 133.63 | - | 127.04 | - | - | - | - | 140.47 | - |
| 2023-10-01 | 124.16 | - | 117.83 | - | - | - | - | 130.73 | - |
| 2023-10-08 | 115.97 | - | 109.88 | - | - | - | - | 122.30 | - |
| 2023-10-15 | 121.48 | - | 115.24 | - | - | - | - | 127.98 | - |
| 2023-10-22 | 108.92 | - | 103.05 | - | - | - | - | 115.04 | - |
| 2023-10-29 | 110.96 | - | 105.02 | - | - | - | - | 117.13 | - |
| 2023-11-05 | 118.36 | - | 112.21 | - | - | - | - | 124.76 | - |
| 2023-11-12 | 128.01 | - | 121.58 | - | - | - | - | 134.69 | - |
| 2023-11-19 | 138.16 | - | 131.44 | - | - | - | - | 145.13 | - |
| 2023-11-26 | 146.10 | - | 139.17 | - | - | - | - | 153.29 | - |
| 2023-12-03 | 180.29 | - | 172.47 | - | - | - | - | 188.36 | - |
| 2023-12-10 | 197.89 | - | 189.64 | - | - | - | - | 206.40 | - |
| 2023-12-17 | 181.52 | - | 173.67 | - | - | - | - | 189.63 | - |
| 2023-12-24 | 142.36 | - | 136.03 | - | - | - | - | 148.89 | - |
| 2023-12-31 | 303.06 | - | 31.80 | - | - | - | - | 1216.10 | - |
| 2024-01-07 | 327.75 | - | 34.39 | - | - | - | - | 1315.18 | - |
| 2024-01-14 | 390.46 | - | 40.97 | - | - | - | - | 1566.78 | - |
| 2024-01-21 | 445.28 | - | 46.73 | - | - | - | - | 1786.73 | - |
| 2024-01-28 | 555.12 | - | 58.26 | - | - | - | - | 2227.45 | - |
| 2024-02-04 | 694.85 | - | 72.93 | - | - | - | - | 2788.09 | - |
| 2024-02-11 | 697.22 | - | 73.17 | - | - | - | - | 2797.59 | - |
| 2024-02-18 | 760.35 | - | 79.80 | - | - | - | - | 3050.86 | - |
| 2024-02-25 | 856.13 | - | 89.85 | - | - | - | - | 3435.16 | - |
| 2024-03-03 | 942.15 | - | 98.88 | - | - | - | - | 3780.30 | - |
| 2024-03-10 | 1049.56 | - | 110.16 | - | - | - | - | 4211.26 | - |
| 2024-03-17 | 1098.99 | - | 115.35 | - | - | - | - | 4409.60 | - |
| 2024-03-24 | 1142.17 | - | 119.88 | - | - | - | - | 4582.82 | - |
| 2024-03-31 | 1217.29 | - | 127.76 | - | - | - | - | 4884.22 | - |
| 2024-04-07 | 1334.78 | - | 140.10 | - | - | - | - | 5355.63 | - |
| 2024-04-14 | 1352.35 | - | 141.94 | - | - | - | - | 5426.11 | - |
| 2024-04-21 | 1339.99 | - | 140.64 | - | - | - | - | 5376.52 | - |
| 2024-04-28 | 1316.97 | - | 138.23 | - | - | - | - | 5284.16 | - |
| 2024-05-05 | 1226.19 | - | 128.70 | - | - | - | - | 4919.93 | - |
| 2024-05-12 | 1206.45 | - | 126.63 | - | - | - | - | 4840.74 | - |
| 2024-05-19 | 1080.53 | - | 113.41 | - | - | - | - | 4335.51 | - |
| 2024-05-26 | 1006.80 | - | 105.67 | - | - | - | - | 4039.70 | - |
| 2024-06-02 | 857.95 | - | 90.05 | - | - | - | - | 3442.46 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 692.69 | - | 72.70 | - | - | - | - | 2779.42 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 502.57 | - | 52.74 | - | - | - | - | 2016.62 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 400.07 | - | 41.98 | - | - | - | - | 1605.36 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 309.26 | - | 32.45 | - | - | - | - | 1241.00 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 247.79 | - | 26.00 | - | - | - | - | 994.37 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 222.41 | - | 23.33 | - | - | - | - | 892.54 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 186.26 | - | 19.54 | - | - | - | - | 747.50 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 165.55 | - | 17.36 | - | - | - | - | 664.41 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 142.33 | - | 14.93 | - | - | - | - | 571.25 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 130.96 | - | 13.73 | - | - | - | - | 525.60 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 121.81 | - | 12.77 | - | - | - | - | 488.88 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 113.91 | - | 11.94 | - | - | - | - | 457.22 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 121.33 | - | 12.72 | - | - | - | - | 486.97 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 127.96 | - | 13.42 | - | - | - | - | 513.57 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 126.04 | - | 13.22 | - | - | - | - | 505.89 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 136.57 | - | 14.32 | - | - | - | - | 548.13 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 126.89 | - | 13.31 | - | - | - | - | 509.28 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
