Prediction 704
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state MG.
Mostrar Tabela
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-11 | 4408.60 | - | 4357.99 | - | - | - | - | 4459.64 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 3048.52 | - | 3007.09 | - | - | - | - | 3090.36 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 2349.58 | - | 2313.53 | - | - | - | - | 2386.05 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 1805.83 | - | 1774.46 | - | - | - | - | 1837.62 | - |
| 2023-07-09 | 1329.56 | - | 1302.83 | - | - | - | - | 1356.69 | - |
| 2023-07-16 | 1048.01 | - | 1024.40 | - | - | - | - | 1072.03 | - |
| 2023-07-23 | 885.72 | - | 864.08 | - | - | - | - | 907.75 | - |
| 2023-07-30 | 789.82 | - | 769.43 | - | - | - | - | 810.61 | - |
| 2023-08-06 | 723.71 | - | 704.23 | - | - | - | - | 743.59 | - |
| 2023-08-13 | 690.64 | - | 671.62 | - | - | - | - | 710.06 | - |
| 2023-08-20 | 688.88 | - | 669.88 | - | - | - | - | 708.27 | - |
| 2023-08-27 | 653.58 | - | 635.10 | - | - | - | - | 672.46 | - |
| 2023-09-03 | 676.11 | - | 657.30 | - | - | - | - | 695.32 | - |
| 2023-09-10 | 783.53 | - | 763.23 | - | - | - | - | 804.24 | - |
| 2023-09-17 | 775.48 | - | 755.28 | - | - | - | - | 796.07 | - |
| 2023-09-24 | 746.71 | - | 726.90 | - | - | - | - | 766.91 | - |
| 2023-10-01 | 752.50 | - | 732.62 | - | - | - | - | 772.78 | - |
| 2023-10-08 | 763.17 | - | 743.14 | - | - | - | - | 783.60 | - |
| 2023-10-15 | 895.56 | - | 873.79 | - | - | - | - | 917.72 | - |
| 2023-10-22 | 876.20 | - | 854.69 | - | - | - | - | 898.12 | - |
| 2023-10-29 | 882.28 | - | 860.68 | - | - | - | - | 904.27 | - |
| 2023-11-05 | 1008.87 | - | 985.71 | - | - | - | - | 1032.42 | - |
| 2023-11-12 | 1086.38 | - | 1062.32 | - | - | - | - | 1110.85 | - |
| 2023-11-19 | 1352.22 | - | 1325.26 | - | - | - | - | 1379.60 | - |
| 2023-11-26 | 1508.15 | - | 1479.60 | - | - | - | - | 1537.10 | - |
| 2023-12-03 | 1814.98 | - | 1783.52 | - | - | - | - | 1846.85 | - |
| 2023-12-10 | 2032.59 | - | 1999.20 | - | - | - | - | 2066.39 | - |
| 2023-12-17 | 2197.26 | - | 2162.47 | - | - | - | - | 2232.47 | - |
| 2023-12-24 | 2595.58 | - | 2558.61 | - | - | - | - | 2632.95 | - |
| 2023-12-31 | 3364.11 | - | 205.80 | - | - | - | - | 15841.56 | - |
| 2024-01-07 | 4285.87 | - | 262.19 | - | - | - | - | 20182.04 | - |
| 2024-01-14 | 5072.96 | - | 310.34 | - | - | - | - | 23888.44 | - |
| 2024-01-21 | 5923.09 | - | 362.35 | - | - | - | - | 27891.64 | - |
| 2024-01-28 | 7077.85 | - | 433.00 | - | - | - | - | 33329.35 | - |
| 2024-02-04 | 8198.16 | - | 501.54 | - | - | - | - | 38604.80 | - |
| 2024-02-11 | 10274.09 | - | 628.54 | - | - | - | - | 48380.24 | - |
| 2024-02-18 | 11926.03 | - | 729.60 | - | - | - | - | 56159.15 | - |
| 2024-02-25 | 13077.95 | - | 800.07 | - | - | - | - | 61583.45 | - |
| 2024-03-03 | 14117.37 | - | 863.66 | - | - | - | - | 66478.03 | - |
| 2024-03-10 | 15992.03 | - | 978.35 | - | - | - | - | 75305.69 | - |
| 2024-03-17 | 16671.29 | - | 1019.90 | - | - | - | - | 78504.26 | - |
| 2024-03-24 | 17260.71 | - | 1055.96 | - | - | - | - | 81279.81 | - |
| 2024-03-31 | 19225.61 | - | 1176.17 | - | - | - | - | 90532.39 | - |
| 2024-04-07 | 19134.67 | - | 1170.61 | - | - | - | - | 90104.16 | - |
| 2024-04-14 | 17573.14 | - | 1075.07 | - | - | - | - | 82751.02 | - |
| 2024-04-21 | 16905.85 | - | 1034.25 | - | - | - | - | 79608.80 | - |
| 2024-04-28 | 15121.90 | - | 925.11 | - | - | - | - | 71208.29 | - |
| 2024-05-05 | 13116.61 | - | 802.44 | - | - | - | - | 61765.50 | - |
| 2024-05-12 | 10666.45 | - | 652.54 | - | - | - | - | 50227.86 | - |
| 2024-05-19 | 8070.48 | - | 493.73 | - | - | - | - | 38003.59 | - |
| 2024-05-26 | 6080.18 | - | 371.96 | - | - | - | - | 28631.36 | - |
| 2024-06-02 | 4563.17 | - | 279.16 | - | - | - | - | 21487.85 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 3293.76 | - | 201.50 | - | - | - | - | 15510.29 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 2277.61 | - | 139.33 | - | - | - | - | 10725.31 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 1755.42 | - | 107.38 | - | - | - | - | 8266.36 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 1349.18 | - | 82.53 | - | - | - | - | 6353.37 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 993.34 | - | 60.76 | - | - | - | - | 4677.76 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 782.99 | - | 47.89 | - | - | - | - | 3687.24 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 661.74 | - | 40.48 | - | - | - | - | 3116.26 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 590.09 | - | 36.09 | - | - | - | - | 2778.88 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 540.70 | - | 33.07 | - | - | - | - | 2546.30 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 515.99 | - | 31.56 | - | - | - | - | 2429.96 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 514.67 | - | 31.48 | - | - | - | - | 2423.74 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 488.30 | - | 29.86 | - | - | - | - | 2299.56 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 505.14 | - | 30.89 | - | - | - | - | 2378.84 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 585.40 | - | 35.80 | - | - | - | - | 2756.76 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 579.38 | - | 35.44 | - | - | - | - | 2728.43 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 557.88 | - | 34.12 | - | - | - | - | 2627.21 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 562.21 | - | 34.39 | - | - | - | - | 2647.59 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
