Prediction 705
| Model | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | São Paulo |
Description:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state SP.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-11 | 4039.84 | - | 4001.73 | - | - | - | - | 4078.22 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 3164.94 | - | 3131.79 | - | - | - | - | 3198.36 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 2664.77 | - | 2634.65 | - | - | - | - | 2695.14 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 1965.73 | - | 1940.25 | - | - | - | - | 1991.46 | - |
| 2023-07-09 | 1679.82 | - | 1656.41 | - | - | - | - | 1703.47 | - |
| 2023-07-16 | 1449.64 | - | 1428.02 | - | - | - | - | 1471.51 | - |
| 2023-07-23 | 1326.96 | - | 1306.33 | - | - | - | - | 1347.83 | - |
| 2023-07-30 | 1192.04 | - | 1172.56 | - | - | - | - | 1211.77 | - |
| 2023-08-06 | 1149.37 | - | 1130.25 | - | - | - | - | 1168.72 | - |
| 2023-08-13 | 1041.69 | - | 1023.54 | - | - | - | - | 1060.08 | - |
| 2023-08-20 | 1028.83 | - | 1010.80 | - | - | - | - | 1047.10 | - |
| 2023-08-27 | 1004.73 | - | 986.93 | - | - | - | - | 1022.77 | - |
| 2023-09-03 | 1027.07 | - | 1009.06 | - | - | - | - | 1045.32 | - |
| 2023-09-10 | 1223.58 | - | 1203.82 | - | - | - | - | 1243.58 | - |
| 2023-09-17 | 1254.13 | - | 1234.11 | - | - | - | - | 1274.39 | - |
| 2023-09-24 | 1213.58 | - | 1193.91 | - | - | - | - | 1233.49 | - |
| 2023-10-01 | 1291.70 | - | 1271.36 | - | - | - | - | 1312.27 | - |
| 2023-10-08 | 1336.85 | - | 1316.14 | - | - | - | - | 1357.80 | - |
| 2023-10-15 | 1450.73 | - | 1429.09 | - | - | - | - | 1472.61 | - |
| 2023-10-22 | 1365.44 | - | 1344.49 | - | - | - | - | 1386.63 | - |
| 2023-10-29 | 1460.12 | - | 1438.41 | - | - | - | - | 1482.07 | - |
| 2023-11-05 | 1562.33 | - | 1539.82 | - | - | - | - | 1585.09 | - |
| 2023-11-12 | 1597.69 | - | 1574.90 | - | - | - | - | 1620.71 | - |
| 2023-11-19 | 1809.76 | - | 1785.39 | - | - | - | - | 1834.37 | - |
| 2023-11-26 | 1990.62 | - | 1964.96 | - | - | - | - | 2016.53 | - |
| 2023-12-03 | 2206.60 | - | 2179.46 | - | - | - | - | 2234.00 | - |
| 2023-12-10 | 2330.91 | - | 2302.94 | - | - | - | - | 2359.13 | - |
| 2023-12-17 | 2170.42 | - | 2143.53 | - | - | - | - | 2197.57 | - |
| 2023-12-24 | 2158.18 | - | 2132.82 | - | - | - | - | 2183.78 | - |
| 2023-12-31 | 3794.36 | - | 591.98 | - | - | - | - | 13092.14 | - |
| 2024-01-07 | 4540.42 | - | 708.38 | - | - | - | - | 15666.31 | - |
| 2024-01-14 | 5890.85 | - | 919.07 | - | - | - | - | 20325.79 | - |
| 2024-01-21 | 7397.72 | - | 1154.17 | - | - | - | - | 25525.06 | - |
| 2024-01-28 | 9036.17 | - | 1409.80 | - | - | - | - | 31178.32 | - |
| 2024-02-04 | 10663.05 | - | 1663.63 | - | - | - | - | 36791.65 | - |
| 2024-02-11 | 12411.07 | - | 1936.36 | - | - | - | - | 42822.98 | - |
| 2024-02-18 | 14068.77 | - | 2194.99 | - | - | - | - | 48542.66 | - |
| 2024-02-25 | 16335.18 | - | 2548.59 | - | - | - | - | 56362.62 | - |
| 2024-03-03 | 18089.66 | - | 2822.33 | - | - | - | - | 62416.23 | - |
| 2024-03-10 | 19968.68 | - | 3115.49 | - | - | - | - | 68899.53 | - |
| 2024-03-17 | 19973.85 | - | 3116.30 | - | - | - | - | 68917.38 | - |
| 2024-03-24 | 20087.34 | - | 3134.01 | - | - | - | - | 69308.96 | - |
| 2024-03-31 | 21970.27 | - | 3427.78 | - | - | - | - | 75805.74 | - |
| 2024-04-07 | 21893.62 | - | 3415.82 | - | - | - | - | 75541.27 | - |
| 2024-04-14 | 21094.57 | - | 3291.15 | - | - | - | - | 72784.25 | - |
| 2024-04-21 | 19656.15 | - | 3066.73 | - | - | - | - | 67821.18 | - |
| 2024-04-28 | 17481.33 | - | 2727.42 | - | - | - | - | 60317.28 | - |
| 2024-05-05 | 14882.37 | - | 2321.93 | - | - | - | - | 51349.88 | - |
| 2024-05-12 | 12143.37 | - | 1894.59 | - | - | - | - | 41899.32 | - |
| 2024-05-19 | 8754.05 | - | 1365.79 | - | - | - | - | 30204.90 | - |
| 2024-05-26 | 6524.78 | - | 1017.98 | - | - | - | - | 22513.08 | - |
| 2024-06-02 | 4981.38 | - | 777.17 | - | - | - | - | 17187.78 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 4095.16 | - | 638.91 | - | - | - | - | 14130.01 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 3208.28 | - | 500.53 | - | - | - | - | 11069.97 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 2701.26 | - | 421.43 | - | - | - | - | 9320.54 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 1992.65 | - | 310.87 | - | - | - | - | 6875.58 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 1702.82 | - | 265.65 | - | - | - | - | 5875.57 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 1469.49 | - | 229.25 | - | - | - | - | 5070.49 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 1345.13 | - | 209.85 | - | - | - | - | 4641.40 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 1208.37 | - | 188.51 | - | - | - | - | 4169.51 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 1165.11 | - | 181.76 | - | - | - | - | 4020.24 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 1055.96 | - | 164.73 | - | - | - | - | 3643.63 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 1042.92 | - | 162.69 | - | - | - | - | 3598.65 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 1018.49 | - | 158.88 | - | - | - | - | 3514.37 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 1041.14 | - | 162.42 | - | - | - | - | 3592.51 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 1240.34 | - | 193.50 | - | - | - | - | 4279.82 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 1271.30 | - | 198.33 | - | - | - | - | 4386.67 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 1230.20 | - | 191.91 | - | - | - | - | 4244.84 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 1309.39 | - | 204.27 | - | - | - | - | 4518.06 | - |
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