Prediction 706
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state RJ.
Mostrar Tabela
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-11 | 582.41 | - | 571.62 | - | - | - | - | 593.34 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 457.01 | - | 447.87 | - | - | - | - | 466.28 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 373.20 | - | 365.20 | - | - | - | - | 381.33 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 319.01 | - | 311.78 | - | - | - | - | 326.37 | - |
| 2023-07-09 | 243.34 | - | 237.23 | - | - | - | - | 249.57 | - |
| 2023-07-16 | 204.70 | - | 199.20 | - | - | - | - | 210.32 | - |
| 2023-07-23 | 170.13 | - | 165.20 | - | - | - | - | 175.17 | - |
| 2023-07-30 | 165.17 | - | 160.33 | - | - | - | - | 170.13 | - |
| 2023-08-06 | 158.17 | - | 153.44 | - | - | - | - | 163.00 | - |
| 2023-08-13 | 142.44 | - | 137.99 | - | - | - | - | 146.99 | - |
| 2023-08-20 | 127.72 | - | 123.55 | - | - | - | - | 132.00 | - |
| 2023-08-27 | 115.14 | - | 111.21 | - | - | - | - | 119.17 | - |
| 2023-09-03 | 101.49 | - | 97.83 | - | - | - | - | 105.25 | - |
| 2023-09-10 | 101.54 | - | 97.88 | - | - | - | - | 105.30 | - |
| 2023-09-17 | 96.28 | - | 92.73 | - | - | - | - | 99.94 | - |
| 2023-09-24 | 92.38 | - | 88.91 | - | - | - | - | 95.95 | - |
| 2023-10-01 | 92.06 | - | 88.60 | - | - | - | - | 95.62 | - |
| 2023-10-08 | 93.79 | - | 90.29 | - | - | - | - | 97.39 | - |
| 2023-10-15 | 100.02 | - | 96.39 | - | - | - | - | 103.75 | - |
| 2023-10-22 | 102.01 | - | 98.34 | - | - | - | - | 105.78 | - |
| 2023-10-29 | 109.45 | - | 105.63 | - | - | - | - | 113.37 | - |
| 2023-11-05 | 121.62 | - | 117.56 | - | - | - | - | 125.78 | - |
| 2023-11-12 | 128.31 | - | 124.13 | - | - | - | - | 132.60 | - |
| 2023-11-19 | 157.31 | - | 152.60 | - | - | - | - | 162.13 | - |
| 2023-11-26 | 185.09 | - | 179.91 | - | - | - | - | 190.38 | - |
| 2023-12-03 | 237.81 | - | 231.78 | - | - | - | - | 243.95 | - |
| 2023-12-10 | 261.47 | - | 255.09 | - | - | - | - | 267.98 | - |
| 2023-12-17 | 241.02 | - | 234.95 | - | - | - | - | 247.22 | - |
| 2023-12-24 | 289.37 | - | 282.61 | - | - | - | - | 296.25 | - |
| 2023-12-31 | 1526.96 | - | 26.59 | - | - | - | - | 8830.99 | - |
| 2024-01-07 | 1688.78 | - | 29.41 | - | - | - | - | 9766.84 | - |
| 2024-01-14 | 1966.11 | - | 34.24 | - | - | - | - | 11370.76 | - |
| 2024-01-21 | 2155.38 | - | 37.54 | - | - | - | - | 12465.35 | - |
| 2024-01-28 | 2313.17 | - | 40.29 | - | - | - | - | 13377.91 | - |
| 2024-02-04 | 2612.31 | - | 45.50 | - | - | - | - | 15107.92 | - |
| 2024-02-11 | 3026.76 | - | 52.71 | - | - | - | - | 17504.82 | - |
| 2024-02-18 | 3647.81 | - | 63.53 | - | - | - | - | 21096.58 | - |
| 2024-02-25 | 4247.23 | - | 73.97 | - | - | - | - | 24563.25 | - |
| 2024-03-03 | 4768.93 | - | 83.06 | - | - | - | - | 27580.37 | - |
| 2024-03-10 | 5621.66 | - | 97.91 | - | - | - | - | 32512.02 | - |
| 2024-03-17 | 6081.30 | - | 105.91 | - | - | - | - | 35170.28 | - |
| 2024-03-24 | 6182.07 | - | 107.67 | - | - | - | - | 35753.09 | - |
| 2024-03-31 | 6959.67 | - | 121.21 | - | - | - | - | 40250.20 | - |
| 2024-04-07 | 7193.08 | - | 125.28 | - | - | - | - | 41600.05 | - |
| 2024-04-14 | 6666.21 | - | 116.10 | - | - | - | - | 38553.00 | - |
| 2024-04-21 | 6319.81 | - | 110.07 | - | - | - | - | 36549.63 | - |
| 2024-04-28 | 5781.98 | - | 100.70 | - | - | - | - | 33439.24 | - |
| 2024-05-05 | 5519.27 | - | 96.13 | - | - | - | - | 31919.86 | - |
| 2024-05-12 | 4678.03 | - | 81.47 | - | - | - | - | 27054.66 | - |
| 2024-05-19 | 3790.49 | - | 66.02 | - | - | - | - | 21921.75 | - |
| 2024-05-26 | 3019.96 | - | 52.60 | - | - | - | - | 17465.52 | - |
| 2024-06-02 | 2368.22 | - | 41.24 | - | - | - | - | 13696.28 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 1919.47 | - | 33.43 | - | - | - | - | 11101.00 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 1506.19 | - | 26.23 | - | - | - | - | 8710.86 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 1229.97 | - | 21.42 | - | - | - | - | 7113.42 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 1051.39 | - | 18.31 | - | - | - | - | 6080.64 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 801.99 | - | 13.97 | - | - | - | - | 4638.28 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 674.66 | - | 11.75 | - | - | - | - | 3901.84 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 560.71 | - | 9.76 | - | - | - | - | 3242.84 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 544.37 | - | 9.48 | - | - | - | - | 3148.35 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 521.28 | - | 9.08 | - | - | - | - | 3014.80 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 469.44 | - | 8.17 | - | - | - | - | 2715.04 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 420.94 | - | 7.33 | - | - | - | - | 2434.54 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 379.47 | - | 6.61 | - | - | - | - | 2194.68 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 334.50 | - | 5.82 | - | - | - | - | 1934.59 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 334.65 | - | 5.83 | - | - | - | - | 1935.48 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 317.33 | - | 5.52 | - | - | - | - | 1835.32 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 304.46 | - | 5.30 | - | - | - | - | 1760.85 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 303.42 | - | 5.28 | - | - | - | - | 1754.84 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
