Prediction 707
Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
---|---|
Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state PR.
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date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-06-11 | 2131.43 | - | 2090.87 | - | - | - | - | 2172.58 | - |
2023-06-18 | 1751.59 | - | 1715.08 | - | - | - | - | 1788.67 | - |
2023-06-25 | 1513.65 | - | 1479.87 | - | - | - | - | 1547.99 | - |
2023-07-02 | 1142.84 | - | 1113.73 | - | - | - | - | 1172.51 | - |
2023-07-09 | 1002.44 | - | 975.28 | - | - | - | - | 1030.16 | - |
2023-07-16 | 881.88 | - | 856.49 | - | - | - | - | 907.82 | - |
2023-07-23 | 835.48 | - | 810.80 | - | - | - | - | 860.70 | - |
2023-07-30 | 753.36 | - | 729.99 | - | - | - | - | 777.27 | - |
2023-08-06 | 709.47 | - | 686.83 | - | - | - | - | 732.66 | - |
2023-08-13 | 674.58 | - | 652.53 | - | - | - | - | 697.18 | - |
2023-08-20 | 702.87 | - | 680.34 | - | - | - | - | 725.95 | - |
2023-08-27 | 689.06 | - | 666.76 | - | - | - | - | 711.90 | - |
2023-09-03 | 670.88 | - | 648.88 | - | - | - | - | 693.41 | - |
2023-09-10 | 818.37 | - | 793.96 | - | - | - | - | 843.34 | - |
2023-09-17 | 769.04 | - | 745.42 | - | - | - | - | 793.21 | - |
2023-09-24 | 752.01 | - | 728.66 | - | - | - | - | 775.90 | - |
2023-10-01 | 835.69 | - | 811.01 | - | - | - | - | 860.92 | - |
2023-10-08 | 886.08 | - | 860.63 | - | - | - | - | 912.09 | - |
2023-10-15 | 1010.57 | - | 983.29 | - | - | - | - | 1038.40 | - |
2023-10-22 | 1012.61 | - | 985.30 | - | - | - | - | 1040.47 | - |
2023-10-29 | 1080.93 | - | 1052.67 | - | - | - | - | 1109.75 | - |
2023-11-05 | 1220.18 | - | 1190.05 | - | - | - | - | 1250.87 | - |
2023-11-12 | 1338.36 | - | 1306.71 | - | - | - | - | 1370.56 | - |
2023-11-19 | 1652.19 | - | 1616.80 | - | - | - | - | 1688.16 | - |
2023-11-26 | 1806.79 | - | 1769.67 | - | - | - | - | 1844.49 | - |
2023-12-03 | 2036.76 | - | 1997.18 | - | - | - | - | 2076.93 | - |
2023-12-10 | 2220.46 | - | 2178.99 | - | - | - | - | 2262.52 | - |
2023-12-17 | 2037.14 | - | 1997.54 | - | - | - | - | 2077.31 | - |
2023-12-24 | 1518.05 | - | 1487.74 | - | - | - | - | 1548.81 | - |
2023-12-31 | 1174.56 | - | 141.53 | - | - | - | - | 4486.82 | - |
2024-01-07 | 1473.14 | - | 177.52 | - | - | - | - | 5627.35 | - |
2024-01-14 | 1846.09 | - | 222.46 | - | - | - | - | 7051.92 | - |
2024-01-21 | 2231.27 | - | 268.88 | - | - | - | - | 8523.28 | - |
2024-01-28 | 2643.29 | - | 318.53 | - | - | - | - | 10097.11 | - |
2024-02-04 | 3354.75 | - | 404.27 | - | - | - | - | 12814.77 | - |
2024-02-11 | 4109.16 | - | 495.19 | - | - | - | - | 15696.50 | - |
2024-02-18 | 4325.65 | - | 521.28 | - | - | - | - | 16523.44 | - |
2024-02-25 | 5042.58 | - | 607.68 | - | - | - | - | 19262.01 | - |
2024-03-03 | 5733.55 | - | 690.95 | - | - | - | - | 21901.40 | - |
2024-03-10 | 6094.58 | - | 734.46 | - | - | - | - | 23280.46 | - |
2024-03-17 | 6652.62 | - | 801.71 | - | - | - | - | 25412.11 | - |
2024-03-24 | 6953.06 | - | 837.91 | - | - | - | - | 26559.71 | - |
2024-03-31 | 7215.49 | - | 869.54 | - | - | - | - | 27562.15 | - |
2024-04-07 | 7336.90 | - | 884.17 | - | - | - | - | 28025.95 | - |
2024-04-14 | 6661.78 | - | 802.81 | - | - | - | - | 25447.09 | - |
2024-04-21 | 5753.13 | - | 693.31 | - | - | - | - | 21976.18 | - |
2024-04-28 | 5493.77 | - | 662.05 | - | - | - | - | 20985.47 | - |
2024-05-05 | 4680.46 | - | 564.04 | - | - | - | - | 17878.76 | - |
2024-05-12 | 3512.87 | - | 423.33 | - | - | - | - | 13418.76 | - |
2024-05-19 | 2453.84 | - | 295.70 | - | - | - | - | 9373.45 | - |
2024-05-26 | 1798.86 | - | 216.77 | - | - | - | - | 6871.53 | - |
2024-06-02 | 1375.85 | - | 165.79 | - | - | - | - | 5255.71 | - |
2024-06-09 | 1096.20 | - | 132.09 | - | - | - | - | 4187.51 | - |
2024-06-16 | 900.84 | - | 108.54 | - | - | - | - | 3441.29 | - |
2024-06-23 | 778.47 | - | 93.80 | - | - | - | - | 2973.83 | - |
2024-06-30 | 587.76 | - | 70.81 | - | - | - | - | 2245.37 | - |
2024-07-07 | 515.56 | - | 62.11 | - | - | - | - | 1969.55 | - |
2024-07-14 | 453.55 | - | 54.64 | - | - | - | - | 1732.69 | - |
2024-07-21 | 429.69 | - | 51.76 | - | - | - | - | 1641.54 | - |
2024-07-28 | 387.45 | - | 46.67 | - | - | - | - | 1480.21 | - |
2024-08-04 | 364.88 | - | 43.95 | - | - | - | - | 1394.00 | - |
2024-08-11 | 346.94 | - | 41.79 | - | - | - | - | 1325.46 | - |
2024-08-18 | 361.49 | - | 43.55 | - | - | - | - | 1381.04 | - |
2024-08-25 | 354.38 | - | 42.69 | - | - | - | - | 1353.90 | - |
2024-09-01 | 345.03 | - | 41.56 | - | - | - | - | 1318.17 | - |
2024-09-08 | 420.89 | - | 50.70 | - | - | - | - | 1607.94 | - |
2024-09-15 | 395.52 | - | 47.65 | - | - | - | - | 1511.02 | - |
2024-09-22 | 386.76 | - | 46.59 | - | - | - | - | 1477.56 | - |
2024-09-29 | 429.79 | - | 51.78 | - | - | - | - | 1641.95 | - |