Prediction 707

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state PR.


Mostrar Tabela
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-06-11 2131.43 - 2090.87 - - - - 2172.58 -
2023-06-18 1751.59 - 1715.08 - - - - 1788.67 -
2023-06-25 1513.65 - 1479.87 - - - - 1547.99 -
2023-07-02 1142.84 - 1113.73 - - - - 1172.51 -
2023-07-09 1002.44 - 975.28 - - - - 1030.16 -
2023-07-16 881.88 - 856.49 - - - - 907.82 -
2023-07-23 835.48 - 810.80 - - - - 860.70 -
2023-07-30 753.36 - 729.99 - - - - 777.27 -
2023-08-06 709.47 - 686.83 - - - - 732.66 -
2023-08-13 674.58 - 652.53 - - - - 697.18 -
2023-08-20 702.87 - 680.34 - - - - 725.95 -
2023-08-27 689.06 - 666.76 - - - - 711.90 -
2023-09-03 670.88 - 648.88 - - - - 693.41 -
2023-09-10 818.37 - 793.96 - - - - 843.34 -
2023-09-17 769.04 - 745.42 - - - - 793.21 -
2023-09-24 752.01 - 728.66 - - - - 775.90 -
2023-10-01 835.69 - 811.01 - - - - 860.92 -
2023-10-08 886.08 - 860.63 - - - - 912.09 -
2023-10-15 1010.57 - 983.29 - - - - 1038.40 -
2023-10-22 1012.61 - 985.30 - - - - 1040.47 -
2023-10-29 1080.93 - 1052.67 - - - - 1109.75 -
2023-11-05 1220.18 - 1190.05 - - - - 1250.87 -
2023-11-12 1338.36 - 1306.71 - - - - 1370.56 -
2023-11-19 1652.19 - 1616.80 - - - - 1688.16 -
2023-11-26 1806.79 - 1769.67 - - - - 1844.49 -
2023-12-03 2036.76 - 1997.18 - - - - 2076.93 -
2023-12-10 2220.46 - 2178.99 - - - - 2262.52 -
2023-12-17 2037.14 - 1997.54 - - - - 2077.31 -
2023-12-24 1518.05 - 1487.74 - - - - 1548.81 -
2023-12-31 1174.56 - 141.53 - - - - 4486.82 -
2024-01-07 1473.14 - 177.52 - - - - 5627.35 -
2024-01-14 1846.09 - 222.46 - - - - 7051.92 -
2024-01-21 2231.27 - 268.88 - - - - 8523.28 -
2024-01-28 2643.29 - 318.53 - - - - 10097.11 -
2024-02-04 3354.75 - 404.27 - - - - 12814.77 -
2024-02-11 4109.16 - 495.19 - - - - 15696.50 -
2024-02-18 4325.65 - 521.28 - - - - 16523.44 -
2024-02-25 5042.58 - 607.68 - - - - 19262.01 -
2024-03-03 5733.55 - 690.95 - - - - 21901.40 -
2024-03-10 6094.58 - 734.46 - - - - 23280.46 -
2024-03-17 6652.62 - 801.71 - - - - 25412.11 -
2024-03-24 6953.06 - 837.91 - - - - 26559.71 -
2024-03-31 7215.49 - 869.54 - - - - 27562.15 -
2024-04-07 7336.90 - 884.17 - - - - 28025.95 -
2024-04-14 6661.78 - 802.81 - - - - 25447.09 -
2024-04-21 5753.13 - 693.31 - - - - 21976.18 -
2024-04-28 5493.77 - 662.05 - - - - 20985.47 -
2024-05-05 4680.46 - 564.04 - - - - 17878.76 -
2024-05-12 3512.87 - 423.33 - - - - 13418.76 -
2024-05-19 2453.84 - 295.70 - - - - 9373.45 -
2024-05-26 1798.86 - 216.77 - - - - 6871.53 -
2024-06-02 1375.85 - 165.79 - - - - 5255.71 -
2024-06-09 1096.20 - 132.09 - - - - 4187.51 -
2024-06-16 900.84 - 108.54 - - - - 3441.29 -
2024-06-23 778.47 - 93.80 - - - - 2973.83 -
2024-06-30 587.76 - 70.81 - - - - 2245.37 -
2024-07-07 515.56 - 62.11 - - - - 1969.55 -
2024-07-14 453.55 - 54.64 - - - - 1732.69 -
2024-07-21 429.69 - 51.76 - - - - 1641.54 -
2024-07-28 387.45 - 46.67 - - - - 1480.21 -
2024-08-04 364.88 - 43.95 - - - - 1394.00 -
2024-08-11 346.94 - 41.79 - - - - 1325.46 -
2024-08-18 361.49 - 43.55 - - - - 1381.04 -
2024-08-25 354.38 - 42.69 - - - - 1353.90 -
2024-09-01 345.03 - 41.56 - - - - 1318.17 -
2024-09-08 420.89 - 50.70 - - - - 1607.94 -
2024-09-15 395.52 - 47.65 - - - - 1511.02 -
2024-09-22 386.76 - 46.59 - - - - 1477.56 -
2024-09-29 429.79 - 51.78 - - - - 1641.95 -
Chat