Prediction 708

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state RS.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-06-11 216.04 - 199.97 - - - - 233.04 -
2023-06-18 155.17 - 141.78 - - - - 169.47 -
2023-06-25 140.44 - 127.78 - - - - 154.02 -
2023-07-02 113.52 - 102.28 - - - - 125.66 -
2023-07-09 90.23 - 80.35 - - - - 100.98 -
2023-07-16 76.92 - 67.90 - - - - 86.79 -
2023-07-23 71.07 - 62.45 - - - - 80.53 -
2023-07-30 73.55 - 64.77 - - - - 83.19 -
2023-08-06 71.63 - 62.98 - - - - 81.15 -
2023-08-13 58.29 - 50.62 - - - - 66.79 -
2023-08-20 55.98 - 48.49 - - - - 64.31 -
2023-08-27 45.38 - 38.77 - - - - 52.79 -
2023-09-03 41.56 - 35.29 - - - - 48.61 -
2023-09-10 38.95 - 32.91 - - - - 45.74 -
2023-09-17 43.32 - 36.89 - - - - 50.54 -
2023-09-24 50.22 - 43.20 - - - - 58.07 -
2023-10-01 48.34 - 41.47 - - - - 56.00 -
2023-10-08 52.01 - 44.84 - - - - 60.00 -
2023-10-15 54.49 - 47.12 - - - - 62.69 -
2023-10-22 57.33 - 49.73 - - - - 65.75 -
2023-10-29 58.38 - 50.70 - - - - 66.89 -
2023-11-05 71.42 - 62.78 - - - - 80.90 -
2023-11-12 91.63 - 81.67 - - - - 102.48 -
2023-11-19 104.19 - 93.48 - - - - 115.79 -
2023-11-26 117.01 - 105.57 - - - - 129.34 -
2023-12-03 132.94 - 120.65 - - - - 146.12 -
2023-12-10 139.73 - 127.10 - - - - 153.26 -
2023-12-17 138.95 - 126.36 - - - - 152.45 -
2023-12-24 119.38 - 108.01 - - - - 131.61 -
2023-12-31 45.05 - 0.98 - - - - 254.92 -
2024-01-07 48.42 - 1.06 - - - - 273.99 -
2024-01-14 51.74 - 1.13 - - - - 292.74 -
2024-01-21 48.34 - 1.06 - - - - 273.52 -
2024-01-28 58.83 - 1.29 - - - - 332.83 -
2024-02-04 77.12 - 1.69 - - - - 436.29 -
2024-02-11 121.20 - 2.65 - - - - 685.67 -
2024-02-18 194.66 - 4.26 - - - - 1101.21 -
2024-02-25 323.72 - 7.08 - - - - 1831.23 -
2024-03-03 464.42 - 10.16 - - - - 2627.17 -
2024-03-10 601.51 - 13.16 - - - - 3402.62 -
2024-03-17 783.49 - 17.15 - - - - 4432.06 -
2024-03-24 884.92 - 19.37 - - - - 5005.81 -
2024-03-31 955.72 - 20.91 - - - - 5406.29 -
2024-04-07 1099.02 - 24.05 - - - - 6216.88 -
2024-04-14 1117.94 - 24.47 - - - - 6323.93 -
2024-04-21 993.14 - 21.73 - - - - 5617.97 -
2024-04-28 880.97 - 19.28 - - - - 4983.48 -
2024-05-05 640.79 - 14.02 - - - - 3624.85 -
2024-05-12 547.29 - 11.98 - - - - 3095.94 -
2024-05-19 353.48 - 7.73 - - - - 1999.62 -
2024-05-26 270.13 - 5.91 - - - - 1528.10 -
2024-06-02 154.95 - 3.39 - - - - 876.58 -
2024-06-09 66.41 - 1.45 - - - - 375.76 -
2024-06-16 47.70 - 1.04 - - - - 269.91 -
2024-06-23 43.17 - 0.94 - - - - 244.30 -
2024-06-30 34.90 - 0.76 - - - - 197.49 -
2024-07-07 27.74 - 0.60 - - - - 156.99 -
2024-07-14 23.65 - 0.52 - - - - 133.84 -
2024-07-21 21.85 - 0.48 - - - - 123.66 -
2024-07-28 22.61 - 0.49 - - - - 127.98 -
2024-08-04 22.02 - 0.48 - - - - 124.65 -
2024-08-11 17.92 - 0.39 - - - - 101.45 -
2024-08-18 17.21 - 0.37 - - - - 97.43 -
2024-08-25 13.95 - 0.30 - - - - 79.00 -
2024-09-01 12.78 - 0.28 - - - - 72.35 -
2024-09-08 11.97 - 0.26 - - - - 67.80 -
2024-09-15 13.32 - 0.29 - - - - 75.41 -
2024-09-22 15.44 - 0.34 - - - - 87.41 -
2024-09-29 14.86 - 0.32 - - - - 84.13 -