Prediction 709
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state SC.
Mostrar Tabela
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-11 | 2064.63 | - | 1978.77 | - | - | - | - | 2153.21 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 1736.87 | - | 1658.56 | - | - | - | - | 1817.88 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 1236.05 | - | 1170.70 | - | - | - | - | 1304.07 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 823.94 | - | 771.31 | - | - | - | - | 879.16 | - |
| 2023-07-09 | 637.00 | - | 591.21 | - | - | - | - | 685.36 | - |
| 2023-07-16 | 479.07 | - | 439.87 | - | - | - | - | 520.79 | - |
| 2023-07-23 | 401.55 | - | 366.00 | - | - | - | - | 439.59 | - |
| 2023-07-30 | 370.97 | - | 336.95 | - | - | - | - | 407.48 | - |
| 2023-08-06 | 296.95 | - | 266.92 | - | - | - | - | 329.38 | - |
| 2023-08-13 | 277.43 | - | 248.55 | - | - | - | - | 308.71 | - |
| 2023-08-20 | 261.24 | - | 233.34 | - | - | - | - | 291.53 | - |
| 2023-08-27 | 245.71 | - | 218.76 | - | - | - | - | 275.01 | - |
| 2023-09-03 | 264.77 | - | 236.66 | - | - | - | - | 295.28 | - |
| 2023-09-10 | 296.87 | - | 266.86 | - | - | - | - | 329.34 | - |
| 2023-09-17 | 279.53 | - | 250.53 | - | - | - | - | 310.93 | - |
| 2023-09-24 | 268.76 | - | 240.40 | - | - | - | - | 299.53 | - |
| 2023-10-01 | 231.25 | - | 205.18 | - | - | - | - | 259.62 | - |
| 2023-10-08 | 263.46 | - | 235.43 | - | - | - | - | 293.89 | - |
| 2023-10-15 | 289.45 | - | 259.87 | - | - | - | - | 321.46 | - |
| 2023-10-22 | 299.70 | - | 269.53 | - | - | - | - | 332.29 | - |
| 2023-10-29 | 306.44 | - | 275.88 | - | - | - | - | 339.42 | - |
| 2023-11-05 | 347.64 | - | 314.84 | - | - | - | - | 382.91 | - |
| 2023-11-12 | 386.27 | - | 351.47 | - | - | - | - | 423.54 | - |
| 2023-11-19 | 442.88 | - | 405.35 | - | - | - | - | 482.93 | - |
| 2023-11-26 | 497.59 | - | 457.56 | - | - | - | - | 540.14 | - |
| 2023-12-03 | 645.16 | - | 599.04 | - | - | - | - | 693.88 | - |
| 2023-12-10 | 679.69 | - | 632.26 | - | - | - | - | 729.70 | - |
| 2023-12-17 | 670.39 | - | 623.30 | - | - | - | - | 720.08 | - |
| 2023-12-24 | 530.33 | - | 490.31 | - | - | - | - | 572.73 | - |
| 2023-12-31 | 96.14 | - | 0.39 | - | - | - | - | 561.95 | - |
| 2024-01-07 | 101.86 | - | 0.41 | - | - | - | - | 595.34 | - |
| 2024-01-14 | 116.24 | - | 0.47 | - | - | - | - | 679.40 | - |
| 2024-01-21 | 139.95 | - | 0.56 | - | - | - | - | 817.98 | - |
| 2024-01-28 | 202.66 | - | 0.82 | - | - | - | - | 1184.51 | - |
| 2024-02-04 | 269.33 | - | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | 1574.16 | - |
| 2024-02-11 | 318.48 | - | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | 1861.45 | - |
| 2024-02-18 | 392.86 | - | 1.58 | - | - | - | - | 2296.19 | - |
| 2024-02-25 | 647.78 | - | 2.61 | - | - | - | - | 3786.11 | - |
| 2024-03-03 | 946.03 | - | 3.81 | - | - | - | - | 5529.30 | - |
| 2024-03-10 | 1266.56 | - | 5.10 | - | - | - | - | 7402.72 | - |
| 2024-03-17 | 1790.61 | - | 7.21 | - | - | - | - | 10465.70 | - |
| 2024-03-24 | 2342.62 | - | 9.43 | - | - | - | - | 13692.06 | - |
| 2024-03-31 | 2674.29 | - | 10.76 | - | - | - | - | 15630.57 | - |
| 2024-04-07 | 2893.54 | - | 11.64 | - | - | - | - | 16912.08 | - |
| 2024-04-14 | 3114.78 | - | 12.53 | - | - | - | - | 18205.16 | - |
| 2024-04-21 | 2856.12 | - | 11.49 | - | - | - | - | 16693.32 | - |
| 2024-04-28 | 2925.13 | - | 11.77 | - | - | - | - | 17096.68 | - |
| 2024-05-05 | 2670.71 | - | 10.75 | - | - | - | - | 15609.64 | - |
| 2024-05-12 | 2170.49 | - | 8.73 | - | - | - | - | 12686.01 | - |
| 2024-05-19 | 1573.62 | - | 6.33 | - | - | - | - | 9197.42 | - |
| 2024-05-26 | 1227.87 | - | 4.94 | - | - | - | - | 7176.62 | - |
| 2024-06-02 | 870.14 | - | 3.50 | - | - | - | - | 5085.75 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 488.61 | - | 1.97 | - | - | - | - | 2855.82 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 411.04 | - | 1.65 | - | - | - | - | 2402.46 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 292.52 | - | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | 1709.72 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 194.99 | - | 0.78 | - | - | - | - | 1139.68 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 150.75 | - | 0.61 | - | - | - | - | 881.11 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 113.38 | - | 0.46 | - | - | - | - | 662.66 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 95.03 | - | 0.38 | - | - | - | - | 555.44 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 87.79 | - | 0.35 | - | - | - | - | 513.13 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 70.27 | - | 0.28 | - | - | - | - | 410.75 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 65.66 | - | 0.26 | - | - | - | - | 383.75 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 61.82 | - | 0.25 | - | - | - | - | 361.36 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 58.15 | - | 0.23 | - | - | - | - | 339.88 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 62.66 | - | 0.25 | - | - | - | - | 366.25 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 70.26 | - | 0.28 | - | - | - | - | 410.65 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 66.15 | - | 0.27 | - | - | - | - | 386.65 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 63.60 | - | 0.26 | - | - | - | - | 371.76 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 54.73 | - | 0.22 | - | - | - | - | 319.88 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
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Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
