Prediction 713

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state PA.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 63.20 - 59.87 - - - - 66.67 -
2022-07-03 57.72 - 54.59 - - - - 60.99 -
2022-07-10 53.87 - 50.87 - - - - 57.00 -
2022-07-17 54.33 - 51.32 - - - - 57.48 -
2022-07-24 55.60 - 52.53 - - - - 58.79 -
2022-07-31 64.11 - 60.75 - - - - 67.62 -
2022-08-07 71.60 - 67.97 - - - - 75.37 -
2022-08-14 67.61 - 64.12 - - - - 71.24 -
2022-08-21 63.63 - 60.28 - - - - 67.11 -
2022-08-28 59.48 - 56.27 - - - - 62.81 -
2022-09-04 59.01 - 55.83 - - - - 62.33 -
2022-09-11 59.37 - 56.17 - - - - 62.70 -
2022-09-18 59.32 - 56.13 - - - - 62.65 -
2022-09-25 57.32 - 54.20 - - - - 60.57 -
2022-10-02 52.52 - 49.57 - - - - 55.60 -
2022-10-09 61.28 - 58.01 - - - - 64.68 -
2022-10-16 55.19 - 52.14 - - - - 58.37 -
2022-10-23 50.83 - 47.94 - - - - 53.85 -
2022-10-30 66.35 - 62.91 - - - - 69.94 -
2022-11-06 76.27 - 72.48 - - - - 80.20 -
2022-11-13 88.97 - 84.75 - - - - 93.34 -
2022-11-20 98.08 - 93.57 - - - - 102.76 -
2022-11-27 106.35 - 101.56 - - - - 111.30 -
2022-12-04 110.15 - 105.24 - - - - 115.23 -
2022-12-11 100.11 - 95.53 - - - - 104.85 -
2022-12-18 76.19 - 72.40 - - - - 80.13 -
2022-12-25 77.34 - 73.58 - - - - 81.24 -
2023-01-01 163.02 - 61.21 - - - - 356.41 -
2023-01-08 193.08 - 72.51 - - - - 422.12 -
2023-01-15 231.11 - 86.80 - - - - 505.24 -
2023-01-22 270.09 - 101.45 - - - - 590.42 -
2023-01-29 308.76 - 115.98 - - - - 674.96 -
2023-02-05 286.67 - 107.68 - - - - 626.68 -
2023-02-12 306.05 - 114.96 - - - - 669.03 -
2023-02-19 289.18 - 108.62 - - - - 632.16 -
2023-02-26 299.33 - 112.43 - - - - 654.33 -
2023-03-05 297.26 - 111.65 - - - - 649.81 -
2023-03-12 300.36 - 112.82 - - - - 656.60 -
2023-03-19 262.44 - 98.57 - - - - 573.72 -
2023-03-26 233.12 - 87.55 - - - - 509.62 -
2023-04-02 242.47 - 91.07 - - - - 530.07 -
2023-04-09 219.47 - 82.43 - - - - 479.80 -
2023-04-16 189.99 - 71.35 - - - - 415.36 -
2023-04-23 166.13 - 62.39 - - - - 363.23 -
2023-04-30 170.58 - 64.06 - - - - 372.95 -
2023-05-07 157.65 - 59.20 - - - - 344.68 -
2023-05-14 139.98 - 52.56 - - - - 306.06 -
2023-05-21 114.50 - 42.99 - - - - 250.38 -
2023-05-28 103.74 - 38.94 - - - - 226.86 -
2023-06-04 93.64 - 35.15 - - - - 204.78 -
2023-06-11 86.54 - 32.48 - - - - 189.28 -
2023-06-18 73.77 - 27.68 - - - - 161.36 -
2023-06-25 70.92 - 26.61 - - - - 155.13 -
2023-07-02 64.77 - 24.30 - - - - 141.70 -
2023-07-09 60.45 - 22.68 - - - - 132.25 -
2023-07-16 60.97 - 22.87 - - - - 133.38 -
2023-07-23 62.38 - 23.40 - - - - 136.48 -
2023-07-30 71.94 - 26.99 - - - - 157.37 -
2023-08-06 80.34 - 30.15 - - - - 175.73 -
2023-08-13 75.87 - 28.47 - - - - 165.95 -
2023-08-20 71.40 - 26.79 - - - - 156.18 -
2023-08-27 66.74 - 25.04 - - - - 145.99 -
2023-09-03 66.22 - 24.84 - - - - 144.86 -
2023-09-10 66.61 - 24.99 - - - - 145.73 -
2023-09-17 66.56 - 24.97 - - - - 145.62 -
2023-09-24 64.32 - 24.13 - - - - 140.70 -
2023-10-01 58.93 - 22.11 - - - - 128.94 -