Prediction 716

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state TO.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 248.82 - 237.84 - - - - 260.17 -
2022-07-03 201.24 - 191.52 - - - - 211.31 -
2022-07-10 169.46 - 160.66 - - - - 178.61 -
2022-07-17 153.74 - 145.43 - - - - 162.41 -
2022-07-24 137.82 - 130.00 - - - - 145.97 -
2022-07-31 141.44 - 133.51 - - - - 149.72 -
2022-08-07 129.78 - 122.23 - - - - 137.67 -
2022-08-14 127.61 - 120.13 - - - - 135.42 -
2022-08-21 114.34 - 107.33 - - - - 121.69 -
2022-08-28 99.02 - 92.55 - - - - 105.80 -
2022-09-04 95.91 - 89.57 - - - - 102.57 -
2022-09-11 97.31 - 90.92 - - - - 104.03 -
2022-09-18 98.07 - 91.65 - - - - 104.82 -
2022-09-25 99.02 - 92.56 - - - - 105.80 -
2022-10-02 97.56 - 91.15 - - - - 104.29 -
2022-10-09 107.24 - 100.48 - - - - 114.33 -
2022-10-16 130.28 - 122.72 - - - - 138.19 -
2022-10-23 151.88 - 143.62 - - - - 160.48 -
2022-10-30 189.31 - 179.93 - - - - 199.04 -
2022-11-06 222.86 - 212.55 - - - - 233.52 -
2022-11-13 273.04 - 261.45 - - - - 285.01 -
2022-11-20 330.56 - 317.58 - - - - 343.92 -
2022-11-27 440.22 - 424.82 - - - - 456.04 -
2022-12-04 511.76 - 494.87 - - - - 529.07 -
2022-12-11 549.08 - 531.43 - - - - 567.17 -
2022-12-18 411.19 - 396.40 - - - - 426.38 -
2022-12-25 371.94 - 358.28 - - - - 385.97 -
2023-01-01 1176.70 - 78.10 - - - - 5423.38 -
2023-01-08 1304.97 - 86.62 - - - - 6014.61 -
2023-01-15 1413.74 - 93.84 - - - - 6515.93 -
2023-01-22 1520.82 - 100.95 - - - - 7009.44 -
2023-01-29 1701.42 - 112.94 - - - - 7841.75 -
2023-02-05 1739.64 - 115.48 - - - - 8017.90 -
2023-02-12 1764.35 - 117.12 - - - - 8131.79 -
2023-02-19 1676.36 - 111.28 - - - - 7726.29 -
2023-02-26 1659.32 - 110.15 - - - - 7647.75 -
2023-03-05 1554.98 - 103.22 - - - - 7166.87 -
2023-03-12 1615.85 - 107.26 - - - - 7447.39 -
2023-03-19 1607.66 - 106.72 - - - - 7409.63 -
2023-03-26 1499.54 - 99.54 - - - - 6911.34 -
2023-04-02 1559.21 - 103.50 - - - - 7186.38 -
2023-04-09 1522.43 - 101.06 - - - - 7016.86 -
2023-04-16 1388.15 - 92.14 - - - - 6397.96 -
2023-04-23 1407.25 - 93.41 - - - - 6485.99 -
2023-04-30 1377.08 - 91.41 - - - - 6346.95 -
2023-05-07 1288.90 - 85.55 - - - - 5940.57 -
2023-05-14 1172.30 - 77.81 - - - - 5403.20 -
2023-05-21 1018.59 - 67.61 - - - - 4694.76 -
2023-05-28 870.03 - 57.75 - - - - 4010.07 -
2023-06-04 758.10 - 50.31 - - - - 3494.21 -
2023-06-11 675.76 - 44.85 - - - - 3114.75 -
2023-06-18 545.19 - 36.18 - - - - 2512.99 -
2023-06-25 453.22 - 30.07 - - - - 2089.17 -
2023-07-02 366.56 - 24.32 - - - - 1689.74 -
2023-07-09 308.67 - 20.47 - - - - 1422.96 -
2023-07-16 280.05 - 18.57 - - - - 1291.03 -
2023-07-23 251.04 - 16.65 - - - - 1157.35 -
2023-07-30 257.64 - 17.09 - - - - 1187.74 -
2023-08-06 236.40 - 15.68 - - - - 1089.88 -
2023-08-13 232.44 - 15.41 - - - - 1071.60 -
2023-08-20 208.28 - 13.81 - - - - 960.25 -
2023-08-27 180.36 - 11.96 - - - - 831.59 -
2023-09-03 174.70 - 11.58 - - - - 805.49 -
2023-09-10 177.25 - 11.75 - - - - 817.25 -
2023-09-17 178.64 - 11.84 - - - - 823.67 -
2023-09-24 180.36 - 11.96 - - - - 831.59 -
2023-10-01 177.71 - 11.78 - - - - 819.37 -