Prediction 717

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state CE.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 911.07 - 893.48 - - - - 928.90 -
2022-07-03 857.34 - 840.47 - - - - 874.47 -
2022-07-10 756.37 - 740.85 - - - - 772.13 -
2022-07-17 671.44 - 657.09 - - - - 686.03 -
2022-07-24 595.45 - 582.16 - - - - 608.96 -
2022-07-31 561.21 - 548.41 - - - - 574.22 -
2022-08-07 513.66 - 501.55 - - - - 525.97 -
2022-08-14 459.57 - 448.27 - - - - 471.07 -
2022-08-21 389.80 - 379.58 - - - - 400.21 -
2022-08-28 324.47 - 315.32 - - - - 333.81 -
2022-09-04 300.37 - 291.63 - - - - 309.30 -
2022-09-11 274.95 - 266.65 - - - - 283.44 -
2022-09-18 272.80 - 264.54 - - - - 281.25 -
2022-09-25 249.88 - 242.03 - - - - 257.91 -
2022-10-02 229.95 - 222.47 - - - - 237.61 -
2022-10-09 220.30 - 213.00 - - - - 227.78 -
2022-10-16 189.54 - 182.85 - - - - 196.41 -
2022-10-23 174.19 - 167.81 - - - - 180.75 -
2022-10-30 184.81 - 178.21 - - - - 191.58 -
2022-11-06 209.27 - 202.19 - - - - 216.54 -
2022-11-13 213.78 - 206.61 - - - - 221.13 -
2022-11-20 224.16 - 216.79 - - - - 231.71 -
2022-11-27 244.01 - 236.27 - - - - 251.94 -
2022-12-04 251.09 - 243.22 - - - - 259.15 -
2022-12-11 219.80 - 212.51 - - - - 227.27 -
2022-12-18 194.14 - 187.35 - - - - 201.11 -
2022-12-25 185.49 - 179.10 - - - - 192.04 -
2023-01-01 384.67 - 79.82 - - - - 1167.71 -
2023-01-08 438.21 - 90.94 - - - - 1330.20 -
2023-01-15 531.51 - 110.30 - - - - 1613.39 -
2023-01-22 621.13 - 128.91 - - - - 1885.42 -
2023-01-29 775.24 - 160.90 - - - - 2353.16 -
2023-02-05 843.12 - 174.99 - - - - 2559.19 -
2023-02-12 940.09 - 195.12 - - - - 2853.50 -
2023-02-19 1003.33 - 208.25 - - - - 3045.44 -
2023-02-26 1168.80 - 242.60 - - - - 3547.68 -
2023-03-05 1338.23 - 277.76 - - - - 4061.90 -
2023-03-12 1450.83 - 301.14 - - - - 4403.67 -
2023-03-19 1517.07 - 314.89 - - - - 4604.71 -
2023-03-26 1717.05 - 356.40 - - - - 5211.70 -
2023-04-02 2118.24 - 439.68 - - - - 6429.37 -
2023-04-09 2302.17 - 477.86 - - - - 6987.63 -
2023-04-16 2352.75 - 488.36 - - - - 7141.13 -
2023-04-23 2393.14 - 496.75 - - - - 7263.74 -
2023-04-30 2503.71 - 519.70 - - - - 7599.33 -
2023-05-07 2681.28 - 556.56 - - - - 8138.28 -
2023-05-14 2639.45 - 547.88 - - - - 8011.31 -
2023-05-21 2202.82 - 457.24 - - - - 6686.09 -
2023-05-28 1911.57 - 396.78 - - - - 5802.08 -
2023-06-04 1767.03 - 366.78 - - - - 5363.40 -
2023-06-11 1585.64 - 329.12 - - - - 4812.85 -
2023-06-18 1356.06 - 281.47 - - - - 4116.04 -
2023-06-25 1147.79 - 238.23 - - - - 3483.92 -
2023-07-02 1080.11 - 224.18 - - - - 3278.50 -
2023-07-09 952.90 - 197.77 - - - - 2892.39 -
2023-07-16 845.90 - 175.57 - - - - 2567.65 -
2023-07-23 750.16 - 155.69 - - - - 2277.06 -
2023-07-30 707.03 - 146.74 - - - - 2146.13 -
2023-08-06 647.12 - 134.30 - - - - 1964.31 -
2023-08-13 578.98 - 120.16 - - - - 1757.49 -
2023-08-20 491.08 - 101.91 - - - - 1490.70 -
2023-08-27 408.77 - 84.83 - - - - 1240.89 -
2023-09-03 378.41 - 78.52 - - - - 1148.73 -
2023-09-10 346.39 - 71.88 - - - - 1051.56 -
2023-09-17 343.68 - 71.31 - - - - 1043.32 -
2023-09-24 314.80 - 65.32 - - - - 955.67 -
2023-10-01 289.70 - 60.11 - - - - 879.47 -
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